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Esso BK 8, Gannibal Stevedores 6                             2046-04-18 · #810
at Simakin Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Esso                    8    8    5    1
Gannibal                6    6   10    0

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Agafonov    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chappell    ss ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Sydorenko   p  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bezecny     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kulikova    rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Rangi       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Allen       1b ......    2   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Canıtez     2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  1.000
  a-Buster  ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Twedtov     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Fomin       j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  15   8   5   1   0   1   8   5   4   0   1  0.333
  2B: Sydorenko (2).
  HR: Chappell (1), off Carter.
  SB: Fomin (4), Canıtez (1).
  CS: Buster (3).
  E: Sydorenko (1).
  HBP: Sydorenko (1).
  a-Entered at SS in the 7th.

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Young       lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Hydrickov   2b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Hodgson     1b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Keenumov    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Dementi ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Abasirin    ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   2   2   1   1   0  1.000
Townsendov  cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Cissé       3b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Shaffer pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gu          rf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Rizzo       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Trapp       j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zaytseva    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ornstein    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   6  10   1   0   0   6   5   6   1   0  0.345
  2B: Cissé (1).
  SB: Townsendov (1).
  GIDP: Ornstein (2), Rizzo (1).
  a-Grounded out for Keenumov in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Cissé in the 7th.

ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sydorenko ...........    15   10  37%    7    3    3    1    1    0   56    -
Barrettov (W, 1-0) ..    14   12  44%    2    1    1    2    5    0   51  2-1
Zvereva .............     6    5  19%    1    2    2    2    1    0   26  3-2

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rizzo (L, 1-0) ......    15   10  37%    2    3    3    4    3    0   57    -
Carter ..............     4    3  11%    2    3    3    0    1    1   16  2-2
Ernst ...............     2    0   0%    1    2    2    1    0    0    3  1-1

  Batting order: Gannibal Stevedores (home) batted first; Esso BK batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 54°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 739989.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Bruce Cissé Tommy Hydrickov (3B) 0–1
B 7 Hyun-bin Gu Rostya Townsendov (3B) 0–2
B 10 Tanook Hodgson Bruce Cissé (3B) 0–3
B 11 Morris Abasirin Hyun-bin Gu (3B) 0–4
B 23 Morris Abasirin Daniel Trapp (3B) 0–5
B 24 Rostya Townsendov Javain Shaffer (3B) 0–6
T 6 Ozan Canıtez Charles Allen (2B) 1–6
T 9 Sven Buster Ozan Canıtez (3B) 2–6
T 9 Ronald Bezecny Bohdan Sydorenko (3B) 3–6
T 11 Joey Chappell Vadim Fomin (3B) 4–6
T 11 Joey Chappell Sven Buster (1B) 5–6
T 11 Joey Chappell Joey Chappell (HR) 6–6
T 13 Bohdan Sydorenko Charles Allen (3B) 7–6
T 13 Bohdan Sydorenko Aslan Kulikova (1B) 8–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Simakin Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 376' · CF 457' · RF 360' · 9' wall). Cavernous.
Crow's Nest Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Esso BK — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
376' 457' 360' Sven Buster — fielders_choice · EV 84 mph · LA -1° · 80 ft Charles Allen — single · EV 115 mph · LA -19° · 109 ft Ozan Canıtez — single · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 163 ft Karen Agafonov — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -10° · 84 ft Joey Chappell — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +44° · 400 ft Bohdan Sydorenko — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 220 ft Ronald Bezecny — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +32° · 255 ft Charles Allen — single · EV 119 mph · LA +7° · 113 ft Karen Agafonov — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +2° · 83 ft
Gannibal Stevedores — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 9 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
376' 457' 360' Tommy Hydrickov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Tanook Hodgson — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 278 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Donni Keenumov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Kevon Ornstein — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Rostya Townsendov — single · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Bruce Cissé — double · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 283 ft Hyun-bin Gu — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 162 ft Morris Abasirin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 154 ft Javain Shaffer — single · EV 55 mph · LA -11° · 52 ft Andres Young — single · EV 96 mph · LA +25° · 284 ft Tanook Hodgson — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 172 ft Daniel Trapp — error · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 148 ft Kevon Ornstein — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Hyun-bin Gu — single · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 185 ft Pasquale Rizzo — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Andres Young — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +33° · 344 ft Kevon Ornstein — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 49 ft Tanook Hodgson — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 210 ft Hyun-bin Gu — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Esso BK
51% deserve-to-win  ·  7.0 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 7.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+1.1 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Joey Chappell 100 / +44° Pull Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.49
Bohdan Sydorenko 92 / +20° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Ronald Bezecny 84 / +32° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Karen Agafonov 89 / -10° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.45
Karen Agafonov 87 / +2° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.39
Gannibal Stevedores
49% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 10.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andres Young 97 / +33° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Bruce Cissé 92 / +28° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Javain Shaffer 55 / -11° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Tanook Hodgson 92 / +28° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Hyun-bin Gu 78 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
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