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Thessaloniki Police 7, Hermosillo BC 5                       2046-04-18 · #813
at Iron Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo              5    5    9    0
Thessaloniki            7    7    5    0

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lannoy      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Jung        c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Watling     1b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   1   0  0.667
Lenis       2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Fageros pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Profar      cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Norris      rf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gallatin    3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Jackson     ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Blake   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Kretsch ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Tang    pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Probst  rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Almeida ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Kangas  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Gill    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
O'Malley    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Strachan    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  27   5   9   2   0   0   5   6   7   1   0  0.333
  2B: Lenis (10), Norris (1).
  CS: Watling (6), Profar (1), Norris (1), Fageros (1).
  a-Ran for Lenis in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Jackson in the 3rd.
  c-Singled in the 3rd.
  d-Ran for Kretschman in the 3rd.
  e-Replaced O'Malley at RF in the 7th.
  f-Grounded out in the 8th.
  g-Struck out in the 9th.
  h-Ran in the 9th.

THESSALONIKI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gourriel    3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bautista    2b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Couts       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Levering    ss ......    2   1   1   0   1   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Rainey  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Machís      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Flanaga c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Alarcón c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Langenf lf ......    2   1   2   1   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Siska   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Watley      j  ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Santiago    j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Suero       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  18   7   5   3   2   0   7   4   9   0   0  0.278
  2B: Gourriel (7), Langenfeld (7), Santiago (4).
  3B: Langenfeld (1), Levering (2).
  SB: Levering (4).
  HBP: Siska (1).
  a-Ran for Levering in the 6th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.
  c-Entered at C in the 8th.
  d-Entered at LF in the 9th.
  e-Entered at CF in the 9th.

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moriwake (L, 1-1) ...    24   16  59%    5    7    7    4   10    0   94    -

THESSALONIKI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Machís (W, 3-0) .....    32   26  96%    7    4    4    6    7    0  119    -
Robinson ............     0    1   4%    1    1    1    0    0    0    3  3-1

  Batting order: Thessaloniki Police (home) batted second; Hermosillo BC batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 65°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 61790.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 10 Mateo Lenis Juan Norris (3B) 1–0
T 10 Shawn Profar Don Blake (3B) 2–0
T 26 Fernando de Lannoy Mitchell O'Malley (3B) 3–0
T 26 Dong-hyun Jung Vihaan Gill (3B) 4–0
T 26 Tom Watling Troy Gallatin (3B) 5–0
B 6 Anthony Langenfeld Russell Watley (2B) 5–1
B 13 Kendrys Gourriel Jacob Levering (3B) 5–2
B 13 Kendrys Gourriel Ángel Bautista (1B) 5–3
B 13 Anthony Langenfeld Kendrys Gourriel (2B) 5–4
B 15 Jacob Levering Anthony Langenfeld (2B) 5–5
B 16 Nicholas Santiago Liona Rainey (3B) 5–6
B 16 Nicholas Santiago Russell Watley (1B) 5–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Iron Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 370' · CF 477' · RF 365' · 11' wall). Cavernous.
Crow's Nest Death Valley The Crater
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 6 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Fernando de Lannoy — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +52° · 329 ft Mateo Lenis — double · EV 81 mph · LA +45° · 263 ft Shawn Profar — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 221 ft Mitchell O'Malley — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 327 ft Juan Norris — double · EV 99 mph · LA +22° · 267 ft Logan Kretschman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 176 ft Soane Strachan — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Jorge Almeida — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 239 ft Dong-hyun Jung — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Shawn Profar — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA +8° · 79 ft Juan Norris — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Soane Strachan — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Wenhao Tang — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 150 ft Fernando de Lannoy — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 185 ft Dong-hyun Jung — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Tom Watling — single · EV 60 mph · LA +22° · 103 ft Shawn Profar — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +17° · 60 ft Dong-hyun Jung — single · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 157 ft Tom Watling — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 125 ft
Thessaloniki Police — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 0 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Anthony Langenfeld — triple · EV 117 mph · LA +20° · 349 ft Leonys Alarcón — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +9° · 112 ft Kendrys Gourriel — double · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 207 ft Anthony Langenfeld — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 330 ft Jacob Levering — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 213 ft Nicholas Santiago — double · EV 111 mph · LA +11° · 191 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo BC
40% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 10.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.8 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 4 CS (-2.8 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mateo Lenis 81 / +45° Oppo Double 0.7 → 2 +1.35
Mitchell O'Malley 92 / +38° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Jorge Almeida 92 / +22° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Dong-hyun Jung 92 / +12° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Logan Kretschman 76 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Thessaloniki Police
60% deserve-to-win  ·  6.1 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.9 vs expected
contact: 8.9 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+3.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jacob Levering 100 / +16° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Anthony Langenfeld 117 / +20° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.27
Leonys Alarcón 95 / +9° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Kendrys Gourriel 98 / +16° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Nicholas Santiago 111 / +11° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.60
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