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New York Baseball Club 22, Smirnykh Storms 6                 2046-04-19 · #852
at Hyyrynen Park
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                        1    R    H    E
New York               22   22   18    0
Smirnykh                6    6    7    0

NEW YORK BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Nye         lf ......    4   4   3   0   0   1   2   0   1   0   0  0.750
Gilleaudeau 2b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Moultrie    rf ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   2   1   2   0   0  0.500
Kitler      cf ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Nuveman-Den c  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Solliday    1b ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.500
Marte       3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Germán      ss ......    4   2   3   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.750
Cha         p  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   3   0   0  0.000
Eldredge    j  ......    5   2   2   0   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.400
Moffi       j  ......    5   3   2   1   0   0   5   0   1   0   1  0.400
Totals                  41  22  18   6   0   3  21   5  14   0   1  0.439
  2B: Gilleaudeau (1), Moffi (4), Moultrie (3), Kitler (1), Nuveman-Deniz (5), Germán (2).
  HR: Nye (2), off Kamenskaya; Eldredge (4), off Kamenskaya; Solliday (2), off Handin.
  SB: Eldredge (7), Moffi (1).
  CS: Solliday (2).
  HBP: Nye (1).


SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Vatutin     lf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
  a-Pervak  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ionov       2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Chang   pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  1.000
Youzhny     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lazareva    3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Jonesov     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Tcherne pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Reyngold    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Su      ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Simakin     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Kamenskaya  p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  e-Fuimaon ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Vatutin cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Gormanov    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  0.500
Amini       j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   6   7   4   0   0   6   8  13   1   0  0.259
  2B: Vatutin (5), Ionov (1), Lazareva (6), Gormanov (7).
  GIDP: Su (3), Reyngold (1).
  a-Ran for Vatutin in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Ionov in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Jonesov in the 5th.
  d-Batted for Reyngold in the 6th.
  e-Grounded out for Kamenskaya in the 9th.
  f-Entered at CF in the 7th.

NEW YORK BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cha (W, 3-1) ........    35   27 100%    7    6    6    8   13    0  147    -

SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kamenskaya ..........     4    2   7%    2    3    2    0    0    2   16    -
Kravtsov ............     9    6  22%    4    3    3    1    2    0   35  1-1
Borcherding- (L, 0-1)     10    5  19%    2    7    7    3    2    0   45  1-1
Ivakhnenko ..........     9    5  19%    5    3    3    0    2    0   32  1-1
Handin ..............     9    6  22%    3    5    4    0    5    1   35  2-2
Chang ...............     5    3  11%    1    1    1    1    3    0   28  1-1

  Batting order: Smirnykh Storms (home) batted second; New York Baseball Club batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind in · Overcast · Dry. seed 511925.
  Walk-Back runs: off Kamenskaya 1, off Handin 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Glenn Nye Glenn Nye (HR) 1–0
T 0 Murphy Eldredge Glenn Nye (3B) 2–0
T 0 Murphy Eldredge Murphy Eldredge (HR) 3–0
T 2 Alafia Moultrie Baboucarr Moffi (2B) 4–0
T 3 Norm Nuveman-Deniz Alafia Moultrie (2B) 5–0
T 7 Clark Gilleaudeau Aramis Marte (3B) 6–0
T 8 Murphy Eldredge Clark Gilleaudeau (3B) 7–0
T 8 Murphy Eldredge Alafia Moultrie (2B) 8–0
T 8 Baboucarr Moffi Fred Kitler (3B) 9–0
T 13 Baboucarr Moffi Murphy Eldredge (3B) 10–0
T 13 Baboucarr Moffi Min-jun Cha (3B) 11–0
T 13 Baboucarr Moffi Glenn Nye (2B) 12–0
T 13 Baboucarr Moffi Baboucarr Moffi (1B) 13–0
T 13 Alafia Moultrie Baboucarr Moffi (3B) 14–0
T 15 Norm Nuveman-Deniz Alafia Moultrie (2B) 15–0
T 15 Chris Solliday Norm Nuveman-Deniz (2B) 16–0
T 21 Fred Kitler Lester Germán (2B) 17–0
T 21 Fred Kitler Glenn Nye (1B) 18–0
T 23 Chris Solliday Fred Kitler (2B) 19–0
T 23 Chris Solliday Chris Solliday (HR) 20–0
T 24 Lester Germán Chris Solliday (3B) 21–0
T 25 Glenn Nye Lester Germán (3B) 22–0
B 20 Valery Ionov Vladimir Kamenskaya (3B) 22–1
B 22 Terrance Gormanov Talib Chang (3B) 22–2
B 22 Teymuraz Vatutin Alen Lazareva (3B) 22–3
B 22 Teymuraz Vatutin Terrance Gormanov (1B) 22–4
B 25 Terrance Gormanov Tommy Amini (3B) 22–5
B 26 Talib Chang Yuri Pervak (3B) 22–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hyyrynen Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 307' · CF 355' · RF 279' · 48' wall). The Bandbox.
Wire Basket
New York Baseball Club — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 8 1B · 6 XBH · 3 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Glenn Nye — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Murphy Eldredge — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +38° · 447 ft Baboucarr Moffi — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA -14° · 95 ft Clark Gilleaudeau — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +27° · 216 ft Alafia Moultrie — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 250 ft Fred Kitler — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 396 ft Norm Nuveman-Deniz — single · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 313 ft Chris Solliday — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +20° · 226 ft Lester Germán — single · EV 98 mph · LA +9° · 120 ft Clark Gilleaudeau — double · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 250 ft Murphy Eldredge — single · EV 112 mph · LA +21° · 335 ft Alafia Moultrie — single · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 193 ft Fred Kitler — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -10° · 78 ft Norm Nuveman-Deniz — double · EV 108 mph · LA +16° · 247 ft Murphy Eldredge — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +16° · 240 ft Chris Solliday — single · EV 81 mph · LA +11° · 100 ft Lester Germán — single · EV 104 mph · LA -3° · 99 ft Glenn Nye — single · EV 99 mph · LA +7° · 94 ft Fred Kitler — double · EV 91 mph · LA +16° · 171 ft Baboucarr Moffi — double · EV 113 mph · LA +18° · 297 ft Chris Solliday — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +36° · 408 ft Lester Germán — double · EV 119 mph · LA +26° · 445 ft Glenn Nye — single · EV 86 mph · LA +10° · 98 ft
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
307' 355' 279' Wall 48' Vladislav Youzhny — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +38° · 230 ft Alen Lazareva — double · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 241 ft Teymuraz Vatutin — single · EV 87 mph · LA +6° · 83 ft Grigori Reyngold — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +2° · 49 ft Jianhua Su — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Samson Fuimaono — line_out · EV 57 mph · LA +18° · 75 ft Talib Chang — single · EV 84 mph · LA +0° · 80 ft Alen Lazareva — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -5° · 81 ft Valery Ionov — double · EV 94 mph · LA +30° · 311 ft Terrance Gormanov — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 239 ft Yuri Vatutin — infield_single · EV 68 mph · LA -3° · 64 ft Teymuraz Vatutin — double · EV 96 mph · LA +35° · 348 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
New York Baseball Club
92% deserve-to-win  ·  17.1 expected runs
actual 22 runs  ·  +4.9 vs expected
contact: 32.8 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 32.0 (-0.8 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Fred Kitler 100 / +41° Center Out 2.5 → 0 -2.51
Chris Solliday 104 / +36° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Murphy Eldredge 105 / +16° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Fred Kitler 91 / +16° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Lester Germán 119 / +26° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Smirnykh Storms
8% deserve-to-win  ·  5.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 6.7 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+4.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Valery Ionov 94 / +30° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Alen Lazareva 92 / +23° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Terrance Gormanov 92 / +22° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Yuri Vatutin 68 / -3° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Teymuraz Vatutin 87 / +6° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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