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Khovd Police 18, Kaechon Tornados 3                          2046-04-20 · #890
at Khovd Park
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Kaechon                 3      0    3    6    1
Khovd                  18      0   18   15    1

KAECHON TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Soto        ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Coffel      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Chapman     cf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Kallman     rf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Kamara      lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Otto        3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Ouviña      c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Vázquez     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Frías   c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lakshman    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Howell      j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Scola       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  30   3   6   1   0   0   2   3   8   0   0  0.200
  2B: Chapman (4).
  E: Soto (2).
  GIDP: Lakshman (1), Ouviña (1).
  Squeeze: Chapman.
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

KHOVD POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
McClendon   2b ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   2   0   0  0.000
Kean        lf ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.250
Downs       c  ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.400
Martín      rf ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   2   3   0   0   0  0.500
Robinson    1b ......    5   2   3   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  0.600
Lerma       cf ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.400
D'Aquila    p  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   1  0.667
Schlukebir  ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Bebar       3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Rondón      j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Czeremcha   j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  40  18  15   6   0   1  17   7  11   0   1  0.375
  2B: Kean (8), Downs (4), Robinson (5), Lerma (1), D'Aquila (1), Rondón (11).
  HR: Robinson (3), off Vázquez.
  SB: McClendon (2).
  CS: Bebar (1).
  E: Robinson (2).


KAECHON TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Vázquez .............    29   18  67%    8   10   10    5    6    1  132    -
Dalton (L, 0-1) .....    15    8  30%    5    7    7    2    5    0   56  1-1
Elder ...............     3    1   4%    2    1    1    0    0    0   13  1-1

KHOVD POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
D'Aquila (W, 3-0) ...    32   27 100%    6    3    3    3    8    0  114    -

  Batting order: Khovd Police (home) batted first; Kaechon Tornados batted second.
  Seconds: KT o26 (3-18), KP o26 (18-0).
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 42°F · Wind out · Clear · Dry. seed 582719.
  Walk-Back runs: off Vázquez 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Jon Downs Wilbur McClendon (1B) 0–1
B 1 Wilbur Robinson Jon Downs (3B) 0–2
B 2 Teddy D'Aquila Bill Martín (3B) 0–3
B 8 Wilbur Robinson Wilbur McClendon (3B) 0–4
B 9 Teddy D'Aquila Nat Kean (3B) 0–5
B 17 Bill Martín Bill Martín (3B) 0–6
B 17 Wilbur Robinson Teddy D'Aquila (3B) 0–7
B 17 Wilbur Robinson Jon Downs (2B) 0–8
B 17 Wilbur Robinson Wilbur Robinson (HR) 0–9
B 17 Gerardo Lerma Wilbur Robinson (3B) 0–10
B 17 Taylor Schlukebir Teddy D'Aquila (2B) 0–11
B 20 Bill Martín Gerardo Lerma (3B) 0–12
B 21 Gerardo Lerma Taylor Schlukebir (3B) 0–13
B 21 Gerardo Lerma Sherwood Bebar (2B) 0–14
B 22 Taylor Schlukebir Bill Martín (3B) 0–15
B 23 Pablo Rondón Gerardo Lerma (3B) 0–16
B 23 Sherwood Bebar Pablo Rondón (3B) 0–17
B 25 Jon Downs Bryce Czeremcha (3B) 0–18
T 14 Jared Otto James Chapman (3B) 1–18
T 16 Wilmer Ouviña Carl Kallman (3B) 2–18
T 19 Carl Kallman Oiva Kamara (3B) 3–18
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Khovd Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 373' · CF 423' · RF 348' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Scoreboard Clock
Kaechon Tornados — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
373' 423' 348' James Chapman — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 132 ft Carl Kallman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 176 ft Oiva Kamara — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Ryler Soto — error · EV 52 mph · LA -6° · 49 ft Sandesh Lakshman — double_play · EV 55 mph · LA +6° · 52 ft Wilmer Ouviña — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft James Chapman — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 218 ft Carl Kallman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 171 ft Oiva Kamara — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 152 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft Jasper Coffel — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 218 ft Wilmer Ouviña — single · EV 59 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Sandesh Lakshman — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +4° · 87 ft Jared Otto — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Carl Kallman — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Oiva Kamara — fielders_choice · EV 62 mph · LA -15° · 59 ft Ryler Soto — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 194 ft Jasper Coffel — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 331 ft Wilmer Ouviña — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +43° · 345 ft
Khovd Police — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 8 1B · 6 XBH · 1 HR
373' 423' 348' Jon Downs — double · EV 103 mph · LA +14° · 201 ft Wilbur Robinson — error · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 265 ft Pablo Rondón — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 77 ft Sherwood Bebar — single · EV 78 mph · LA -12° · 75 ft Teddy D'Aquila — single · EV 85 mph · LA -13° · 81 ft Bryce Czeremcha — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +16° · 201 ft Bill Martín — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Wilbur Robinson — single · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 315 ft Gerardo Lerma — line_out · EV 65 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Sherwood Bebar — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +22° · 222 ft Teddy D'Aquila — double · EV 109 mph · LA +21° · 314 ft Bill Martín — line_out · EV 108 mph · LA +14° · 222 ft Jon Downs — error · EV 83 mph · LA +17° · 156 ft Wilbur Robinson — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +30° · 413 ft Gerardo Lerma — single · EV 86 mph · LA +20° · 189 ft Taylor Schlukebir — single · EV 80 mph · LA +17° · 146 ft Pablo Rondón — double · EV 99 mph · LA +26° · 307 ft Bryce Czeremcha — single · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 372 ft Sherwood Bebar — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +45° · 336 ft Wilbur Robinson — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +14° · 132 ft Gerardo Lerma — double · EV 112 mph · LA +11° · 187 ft Nat Kean — double · EV 111 mph · LA +23° · 354 ft Jon Downs — single · EV 102 mph · LA +6° · 97 ft Wilbur Robinson — double · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 212 ft Gerardo Lerma — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +4° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Kaechon Tornados
8% deserve-to-win  ·  4.6 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.6 vs expected
contact: 9.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-2.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Karl-Anthony Frías 92 / +46° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Wilmer Ouviña 93 / +43° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
James Chapman 92 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Jasper Coffel 92 / +39° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Carl Kallman 76 / +25° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Khovd Police
92% deserve-to-win  ·  15.4 expected runs
actual 18 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 25.1 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 24.0 (-1.1 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Wilbur Robinson 109 / +30° Center Home Run 2.3 → 4 +1.66
Bill Martín 108 / +14° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.40
Bryce Czeremcha 96 / +16° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Sherwood Bebar 92 / +45° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Bryce Czeremcha 100 / +34° Center Single 2.1 → 1 -1.09
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