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Yekaterinburg Mustangs 28, Žilina BK 24                      2046-04-20 · #892
at Wedge Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Žilina                 24   24   21    0
Yekaterinburg          28   28   25    0

ŽILINA BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Govindasamy ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Akita       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Żurkowski   rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sigourney   cf ......    4   4   3   2   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
Noh         1b ......    4   1   3   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.750
Xue         c  ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.500
Wahyudi     3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   1   0   0  0.000
Takagi      p  ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Rengifo rf ......    4   5   4   1   0   2   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Beltré      j  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Pimpton     j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.333
Hisami      j  ......    4   5   4   1   0   2   6   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  43  24  21   8   0   7  23   3   5   0   0  0.488
  2B: Beltré (7), Rengifo (2), Sigourney 2 (10), Hisami (8), Noh 2 (6), Takagi (1).
  HR: Pimpton (9), off Okazaki; Rengifo 2 (2), off Peng, Bush; Sigourney (11), off Bush; Hisami 2 (12), off Peng, McMichael; Xue (2), off Peng.
  SB: Hisami (3).
  GIDP: Noh (1).
  a-Entered at RF in the 7th.

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Damdinsuren 2b ......    5   3   4   2   0   0   5   1   0   0   0  0.800
Trường      lf ......    5   5   3   2   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.600
Oda         cf ......    6   3   3   2   1   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.500
Wills       c  ......    5   4   4   1   1   0   4   1   1   0   0  0.800
Lew         rf ......    4   3   3   2   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.750
Ko          3b ......    4   1   2   2   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Luangaphay  1b ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.250
Pi          ss ......    5   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.200
Peng        p  ......    5   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.400
Ko          j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.500
Farkes      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ulaanbat    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  48  28  25  15   2   2  28   6   7   0   0  0.521
  2B: Damdinsuren 2 (6), Trường 2 (11), Oda 2 (19), Wills (18), Lew 2 (9), Ko 2 (3), Pi (1), Peng 2 (2), Ulaanbat (5).
  3B: Oda (2), Wills (4).
  HR: Trường (1), off Slocumov; Ko (2), off Slocumov.
  HBP: Farkes (1).


ŽILINA BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Takagi (L, 1-1) .....    12    4  15%    5    7    7    4    1    0   48    -
Gakhov ..............    15    9  33%    5    6    6    1    3    0   54  1-1
Slocumov ............     9    2   7%    5    9    7    1    1    2   22  1-1
Miyachi .............    14    8  30%    9    5    5    0    1    0   41  1-1
Noh .................     5    4  15%    1    1    1    0    1    0   24  1-1

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Peng ................    12    6  22%    6    8    5    1    0    3   43    -
Bush ................    13    7  26%    6    8    7    1    1    2   36  1-1
Okazaki .............     5    1   4%    4    5    3    0    1    1   16  1-1
McMichael (W, 2-0) ..    15   12  44%    5    3    3    1    3    1   59  1-0
Tiongson ............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    0    0    2  2-0

  Batting order: Yekaterinburg Mustangs (home) batted first; Žilina BK batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 41°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 457316.
  Walk-Back runs: off Slocumov 2, off Peng 3, off Bush 1, off Okazaki 2.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Shigeru Oda Vũ Trường (1B) 0–1
B 1 Maxime Wills Shigeru Oda (2B) 0–2
B 1 Chauncey Lew Maxime Wills (1B) 0–3
B 3 Guoqiang Peng Chauncey Lew (3B) 0–4
B 4 Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren Chol-yong Ko (3B) 0–5
B 4 Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren Sisavath Luangaphay (2B) 0–6
B 4 Vũ Trường Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren (1B) 0–7
B 5 Maxime Wills Vũ Trường (2B) 0–8
B 6 Sisavath Luangaphay Maxime Wills (3B) 0–9
B 7 Si-woo Pi Chauncey Lew (2B) 0–10
B 7 Guoqiang Peng Si-woo Pi (2B) 0–11
B 10 Maxime Wills Guoqiang Peng (2B) 0–12
B 11 Chol-yong Ko Maxime Wills (2B) 0–13
B 14 Yuan-hao Ko Sisavath Luangaphay (3B) 0–14
B 14 Yuan-hao Ko Deiton Farkes (2B) 0–15
B 14 Yuan-hao Ko Yuan-hao Ko (HR) 0–16
B 15 Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren Yuan-hao Ko (3B) 0–17
B 15 Vũ Trường Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren (2B) 0–18
B 15 Vũ Trường Vũ Trường (HR) 0–19
B 15 Shigeru Oda Vũ Trường (3B) 0–20
B 15 Chauncey Lew Shigeru Oda (2B) 0–21
B 15 Chauncey Lew Maxime Wills (1B) 0–22
B 15 Chol-yong Ko Chauncey Lew (2B) 0–23
B 18 Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren Guoqiang Peng (2B) 0–24
B 18 Vũ Trường Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren (2B) 0–25
B 18 Shigeru Oda Vũ Trường (2B) 0–26
B 18 Maxime Wills Shigeru Oda (3B) 0–27
B 24 Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren Boldbaatar Ulaanbat (2B) 0–28
T 4 Kotaro Hisami Kotaro Hisami (HR) 1–28
T 4 Zion Pimpton Kotaro Hisami (3B) 2–28
T 6 Salvador Rengifo Ketel Beltré (1B) 3–28
T 6 Salvador Rengifo Salvador Rengifo (HR) 4–28
T 6 Yibo Xue Salvador Rengifo (3B) 5–28
T 6 Yibo Xue Yibo Xue (HR) 6–28
T 6 Keishiro Takagi Yibo Xue (3B) 7–28
T 6 Keishiro Takagi Made Wahyudi (1B) 8–28
T 8 Armondo Sigourney Keishiro Takagi (2B) 9–28
T 9 Kotaro Hisami Armondo Sigourney (3B) 10–28
T 9 Kotaro Hisami Woo-sung Noh (1B) 11–28
T 9 Salvador Rengifo Kotaro Hisami (3B) 12–28
T 9 Salvador Rengifo Salvador Rengifo (HR) 13–28
T 11 Keishiro Takagi Salvador Rengifo (3B) 14–28
T 13 Armondo Sigourney Keishiro Takagi (2B) 15–28
T 13 Armondo Sigourney Armondo Sigourney (HR) 16–28
T 14 Zion Pimpton Armondo Sigourney (3B) 17–28
T 14 Zion Pimpton Zion Pimpton (HR) 18–28
T 14 Ketel Beltré Zion Pimpton (3B) 19–28
T 14 Kotaro Hisami Ketel Beltré (2B) 20–28
T 14 Woo-sung Noh Kotaro Hisami (1B) 21–28
T 24 Kotaro Hisami Armondo Sigourney (2B) 22–28
T 24 Kotaro Hisami Kotaro Hisami (HR) 23–28
T 26 Yibo Xue Salvador Rengifo (2B) 24–28
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Wedge Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 429' · RF 278' · 13' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Žilina BK — Batted Balls
35 BIP· 6 1B · 8 XBH · 7 HR
343' 429' 278' Dariusz Żurkowski — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +35° · 393 ft Armondo Sigourney — fly_out · EV 74 mph · LA +29° · 186 ft Sudhakar Govindasamy — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +36° · 413 ft Kotaro Hisami — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Zion Pimpton — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 308 ft Woo-sung Noh — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 307 ft Ketel Beltré — single · EV 97 mph · LA +5° · 92 ft Salvador Rengifo — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +41° · 389 ft Yibo Xue — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +39° · 425 ft Keishiro Takagi — double · EV 104 mph · LA +19° · 261 ft Daisuke Akita — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 214 ft Dariusz Żurkowski — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +35° · 291 ft Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 104 mph · LA +23° · 310 ft Sudhakar Govindasamy — fly_out · EV 69 mph · LA +31° · 170 ft Woo-sung Noh — single · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 218 ft Kotaro Hisami — double · EV 107 mph · LA +10° · 163 ft Salvador Rengifo — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +33° · 390 ft Keishiro Takagi — single · EV 96 mph · LA +8° · 91 ft Zion Pimpton — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Ketel Beltré — double · EV 97 mph · LA +13° · 164 ft Daisuke Akita — ground_out · EV 107 mph · LA +7° · 102 ft Dariusz Żurkowski — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +31° · 304 ft Armondo Sigourney — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 456 ft Kotaro Hisami — single · EV 104 mph · LA +19° · 264 ft Woo-sung Noh — double · EV 89 mph · LA +20° · 204 ft Salvador Rengifo — single · EV 88 mph · LA +4° · 83 ft Ketel Beltré — fly_out · EV 111 mph · LA +28° · 408 ft Daisuke Akita — line_out · EV 111 mph · LA +10° · 171 ft Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 108 mph · LA +19° · 285 ft Sudhakar Govindasamy — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +28° · 280 ft Kotaro Hisami — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +42° · 479 ft Woo-sung Noh — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +7° · 78 ft Salvador Rengifo — double · EV 98 mph · LA +11° · 144 ft Yibo Xue — single · EV 85 mph · LA +10° · 97 ft Keishiro Takagi — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 183 ft
Yekaterinburg Mustangs — Batted Balls
36 BIP· 6 1B · 17 XBH · 2 HR
343' 429' 278' Shigeru Oda — double · EV 107 mph · LA +17° · 258 ft Maxime Wills — single · EV 116 mph · LA +10° · 177 ft Chauncey Lew — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 248 ft Guoqiang Peng — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -3° · 75 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — single · EV 97 mph · LA +11° · 141 ft Vũ Trường — double · EV 106 mph · LA +23° · 325 ft Sisavath Luangaphay — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +23° · 208 ft Boldbaatar Ulaanbat — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +52° · 432 ft Deiton Farkes — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +34° · 361 ft Maxime Wills — triple · EV 115 mph · LA +16° · 283 ft Si-woo Pi — double · EV 106 mph · LA +38° · 438 ft Guoqiang Peng — double · EV 100 mph · LA +48° · 398 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +32° · 282 ft Chauncey Lew — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 172 ft Chol-yong Ko — double · EV 93 mph · LA +20° · 220 ft Sisavath Luangaphay — fielders_choice · EV 70 mph · LA +9° · 61 ft Yuan-hao Ko — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Boldbaatar Ulaanbat — double · EV 104 mph · LA +11° · 160 ft Shigeru Oda — line_out · EV 104 mph · LA +17° · 236 ft Maxime Wills — double · EV 110 mph · LA +28° · 400 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — double · EV 111 mph · LA +22° · 346 ft Vũ Trường — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +37° · 420 ft Chauncey Lew — double · EV 98 mph · LA +16° · 205 ft Chol-yong Ko — double · EV 96 mph · LA +34° · 339 ft Sisavath Luangaphay — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA +1° · 68 ft Shigeru Oda — double · EV 104 mph · LA +26° · 338 ft Si-woo Pi — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA +13° · 129 ft Guoqiang Peng — double · EV 109 mph · LA +36° · 454 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — double · EV 105 mph · LA +31° · 384 ft Vũ Trường — double · EV 108 mph · LA +17° · 266 ft Maxime Wills — single · EV 88 mph · LA +25° · 241 ft Chauncey Lew — single · EV 85 mph · LA +20° · 185 ft Chol-yong Ko — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -8° · 73 ft Sisavath Luangaphay — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -7° · 86 ft Shigeru Oda — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 199 ft Nyamdavaa Damdinsuren — single · EV 108 mph · LA +8° · 103 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Žilina BK
44% deserve-to-win  ·  24.2 expected runs
actual 24 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 53.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 50.0 (-3.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sudhakar Govindasamy 104 / +36° Oppo Out 3.0 → 0 -3.01
Ketel Beltré 111 / +28° Center Out 2.3 → 0 -2.34
Dariusz Żurkowski 102 / +35° Pull Out 2.1 → 0 -2.09
Salvador Rengifo 99 / +41° Oppo Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.05
Salvador Rengifo 104 / +33° Oppo Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Yekaterinburg Mustangs
56% deserve-to-win  ·  27.4 expected runs
actual 28 runs  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 51.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 50.0 (-1.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Shigeru Oda 100 / +15° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Deiton Farkes 99 / +34° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Shigeru Oda 104 / +17° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Guoqiang Peng 109 / +36° Center Double 3.5 → 2 -1.49
Maxime Wills 115 / +16° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.27
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