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Brasília Stevedores 6, Pan Am Mountaineers 5                 2046-04-20 · #895
at Barquisimeto Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Brasília                6    6    6    0
Barquisimeto            5    5    2    0

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cruz        c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Núñez       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
  a-Martine 3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Watanab ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Delgado c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Sosa    lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Kobayas lf ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
  f-Guerra  c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Encarna c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Saprissa    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Polanco     j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  13   6   6   1   0   1   6   3   4   0   1  0.462
  2B: Cruz (3).
  HR: Sosa (1), off Santos.
  SB: Kobayashi-Ferreira (1).
  HBP: Polanco (1).
  GIDP: Saprissa (1).
  a-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at LF in the 4th.
  e-Entered at LF in the 4th.
  f-Entered at C in the 5th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Wanjiru     1b ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Feliz       c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Riccobono   lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Quiñones    cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
Tomita-Alme ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dybala      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Santos      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Martins     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Santos      p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Vargas  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Melo        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Sampaio     j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Paniagua    j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  25   5   2   1   0   0   5   6  11   0   0  0.080
  2B: Paniagua (6).
  HBP: Wanjiru (1), Sampaio (1), Riccobono (1).
  GIDP: Santos (1).
  a-Ran for Santos in the 7th.

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Núñez (W, 3-0) ......    25   21  78%    1    2    2    4   10    0   94    -
Macedo ..............     8    4  15%    1    3    3    2    1    0   20  2-1
Quiñones ............     1    2   7%    0    0    0    0    0    0    4  3-0

PAN AM MOUNTAINEERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Santos (L, 1-3) .....    17   11  41%    6    6    5    3    4    1   62    -

  Batting order: Pan Am Mountaineers (home) batted first; Brasília Stevedores batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 85°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 48765.
  Walk-Back runs: off Santos 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Sadiel Quiñones Tom Wanjiru (3B) 0–1
B 20 Francisco Melo Wander De los Santos (3B) 0–2
B 21 Eloy Feliz Víctor Vargas (3B) 0–3
B 23 Néstor Paniagua Tom Wanjiru (2B) 0–4
B 25 Paulo Dybala Ronaldo Sampaio (3B) 0–5
T 1 Carlos Sosa Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira (1B) 1–5
T 1 Carlos Sosa Carlos Sosa (HR) 2–5
T 1 Junior Cabrera Carlos Sosa (3B) 3–5
T 1 Manny Cruz Junior Cabrera (3B) 4–5
T 2 Teoscar Núñez Jean Delgado (3B) 5–5
T 10 Joaquín Saprissa Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira (3B) 6–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Barquisimeto Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 347' · CF 445' · RF 354' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 4 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
347' 445' 354' Carlos Sosa — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +26° · 365 ft Junior Cabrera — single · EV 81 mph · LA +8° · 77 ft Jean Delgado — single · EV 94 mph · LA +22° · 243 ft Manny Cruz — double · EV 95 mph · LA +10° · 129 ft Robinson Polanco — single · EV 77 mph · LA +9° · 75 ft Joaquín Saprissa — double_play · EV 95 mph · LA +1° · 90 ft Junior Cabrera — single · EV 82 mph · LA +17° · 155 ft Joaquín Saprissa — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +39° · 279 ft
Pan Am Mountaineers — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 1 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
347' 445' 354' Sadiel Quiñones — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +54° · 340 ft Marcelo Tomita-Almeida — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -2° · 60 ft Wander De los Santos — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA +7° · 61 ft Eloy Feliz — fly_out · EV 63 mph · LA +34° · 148 ft Aymeric Riccobono — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +9° · 90 ft Francisco Melo — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -10° · 77 ft Paulo Dybala — line_out · EV 95 mph · LA +22° · 257 ft Eloy Feliz — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +8° · 78 ft Francisco Melo — single · EV 81 mph · LA +21° · 174 ft Néstor Paniagua — double · EV 95 mph · LA +37° · 347 ft Marcelo Tomita-Almeida — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 127 ft Eulis De los Santos — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA +4° · 55 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Brasília Stevedores
53% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 7.1 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Carlos Sosa 108 / +26° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.94
Manny Cruz 95 / +10° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Joaquín Saprissa 85 / +39° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.52
Robinson Polanco 77 / +9° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Joaquín Saprissa 95 / +1° Pull Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.49
Pan Am Mountaineers
47% deserve-to-win  ·  5.6 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 6.4 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-3.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Paulo Dybala 95 / +22° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Aymeric Riccobono 85 / +9° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Marcelo Tomita-Almeida 76 / +17° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Néstor Paniagua 95 / +37° Center Double 1.6 → 2 +0.44
Sadiel Quiñones 94 / +54° Pull Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
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