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Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers 6, Ryboreche Brickworks 5          2046-04-20 · #903
at The Cathedral
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                        1    R    H    E
Zaporizhzhia            6    6    5    0
Ryboreche               5    5    8    0

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Reyes       lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Peña        c  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Li          2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Goodling    ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Bartkowicz  1b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
Aulakh      cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Meza        3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Quiñones    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Talley      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Soeda       j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Belcher     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cota        j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  28   6   5   3   0   1   6   5  15   0   0  0.179
  2B: Bartkowicz (5), Soeda (2), Cota (5).
  HR: Peña (3), off Smirnov.


RYBORECHE BRICKWORKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rich        c  ......    3   1   2   0   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
  a-Kudryav pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lampe       lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jeon        rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Korolev pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Kanunnikov  3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  c-Kafelni pr ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Smirnov     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Lysenko ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Kalinsk 2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Quevedo ss ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Kosmins c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  h-Ozdoyev ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Olianov ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  j-Zotov   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Kaiser  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  l-Dube    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Brix        j  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Linkova     j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Totals                  28   5   8   1   2   0   5   2  11   0   1  0.286
  2B: Brix (7).
  3B: Kafelnikov (2), Rich (1).
  SB: Linkova (2).
  CS: Kalinskaya (4), Lampe (4), Linkova 2 (2), Dube (1).
  HBP: Kanunnikov (1).
  a-Ran for Rich in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Jeon in the 8th.
  c-Ran for Kanunnikov in the 6th.
  d-Batted for Smirnov in the 6th.
  e-Entered at 2B in the 4th.
  f-Entered at SS in the 4th.
  g-Entered at C in the 5th.
  h-Entered at SS in the 7th.
  i-Struck out for Kalinskaya in the 8th.
  j-Grounded out for Ozdoyev in the 8th.
  k-Singled for Quevedo in the 9th.
  l-Ran for Kaiser in the 9th.

ZAPORIZHZHIA BOILERMAKERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Talley (W, 3-2) .....    27   25  93%    7    5    5    2   11    0  109    -
Monticelli ..........     2    2   7%    1    0    0    0    1    0    4  1-0

RYBORECHE BRICKWORKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Smirnov (L, 2-1) ....    34   27 100%    5    6    5    5   16    1  138    -

  Batting order: Ryboreche Brickworks (home) batted second; Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM VLAT. Weather: 53°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 364638.
  Walk-Back runs: off Smirnov 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 16 Gerardo Cota Manny Reyes (2B) 1–0
T 21 Tony Peña Tony Peña (HR) 2–0
T 22 Kareem Bartkowicz Tony Peña (3B) 3–0
T 22 Kareem Bartkowicz Owen Goodling (1B) 4–0
T 22 Yasufumi Soeda Kareem Bartkowicz (2B) 5–0
T 22 Yasufumi Soeda Vikram Aulakh (1B) 6–0
B 10 Walter Rich Clint Quevedo (2B) 6–1
B 10 James Brix Walter Rich (3B) 6–2
B 18 Walter Rich Clint Quevedo (2B) 6–3
B 19 James Brix Bogdan Kafelnikov (2B) 6–4
B 25 Keldric Kaiser Anton Korolev (2B) 6–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Cathedral's actual outfield dimensions (LF 308' · CF 416' · RF 329' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
308' 416' 329' Wall 14' Owen Goodling — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +44° · 348 ft Yasufumi Soeda — line_out · EV 106 mph · LA -15° · 100 ft Gerardo Cota — double · EV 112 mph · LA +11° · 183 ft Manny Reyes — single · EV 83 mph · LA +2° · 79 ft Yasufumi Soeda — double · EV 91 mph · LA +44° · 332 ft Alex Belcher — fielders_choice · EV 116 mph · LA +6° · 110 ft Tony Peña — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +36° · 453 ft Kareem Bartkowicz — double · EV 104 mph · LA +32° · 388 ft
Ryboreche Brickworks — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 5 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
308' 416' 329' Wall 14' Randall Lampe — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -16° · 95 ft Timofey Smirnov — fly_out · EV 117 mph · LA +17° · 304 ft Clint Quevedo — single · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 195 ft Keldric Kaiser — single · EV 88 mph · LA -3° · 84 ft Bogdan Kafelnikov — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 365 ft Savriyan Linkova — single · EV 93 mph · LA -10° · 88 ft Walter Rich — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 338 ft James Brix — double · EV 86 mph · LA +13° · 132 ft Randall Lampe — fielders_choice · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 84 ft Savriyan Linkova — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Walter Rich — single · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 261 ft James Brix — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Mikhail Kosminskaya — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zaporizhzhia Boilermakers
86% deserve-to-win  ·  6.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 12.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (-1.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yasufumi Soeda 106 / -15° Oppo Out 1.8 → 0 -1.84
Owen Goodling 93 / +44° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Yasufumi Soeda 91 / +44° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Alex Belcher 116 / +6° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Manny Reyes 83 / +2° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Ryboreche Brickworks
14% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 11.7 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+1.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 5 CS (-3.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Timofey Smirnov 117 / +17° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
James Brix 86 / +13° Center Double 0.6 → 2 +1.39
Walter Rich 119 / +18° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.27
Bogdan Kafelnikov 100 / +33° Oppo Triple 2.1 → 3 +0.91
Savriyan Linkova 93 / -10° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
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