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Adelaide Baseball Club 12, Brisbane Thunder 10               2046-04-21 · #922
at Billa Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Adelaide               12   12    8    0
Brisbane               10   10    9    0

ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Spiranovic  lf ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Cox         ss ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Herbert     1b ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Postecoglou 3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Ingles      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
Young       cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Ili         rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Hadlee      c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   1   1   0  0.500
  a-Schwarz cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Patel       j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Hrustic     j  ......    3   2   3   2   0   1   6   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  18  12   8   5   0   1  12   5   5   1   1  0.444
  2B: Spiranovic (5), Herbert (9), Hrustic 2 (3), Hadlee (2).
  HR: Hrustic (2), off Rodriguez.
  HBP: Patel (3).
  a-Entered at CF in the 7th.

BRISBANE THUNDER
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Paniagua    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Wagner      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Henry       cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Brondel pr ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Gauci       1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Gorry       lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gustavsson  2b ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Ingles      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Puhi        ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Morgan  ph ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Vukovic     j  ......    5   1   2   0   0   1   4   0   1   0   0  0.400
Toumi       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Robinson    j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Totals                  32  10   9   3   0   1   7   4  11   0   0  0.281
  2B: Robinson (5), Gustavsson 2 (2).
  HR: Vukovic (6), off Ingles.
  SB: Robinson (3), Brondello (3), Gustavsson (2), Puhi (3), Morgan 2 (5).
  CS: Vukovic (5).
  HBP: Henry (1).
  a-Ran for Henry in the 2nd.
  b-Batted in the 3rd.

ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ingles ..............    13    9  33%    4    5    5    2    1    1   48    -
Cummins (W, 2-0) ....    14   11  41%    2    3    3    2    5    0   52  1-0
Pi ..................     9    7  26%    2    2    2    0    5    0   35  1-1

BRISBANE THUNDER PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cooper (L, 0-2) .....     6    2   7%    3    3    3    1    1    0   27    -
Jiménez-Tromp .......     4    2   7%    1    3    3    2    0    0   21  1-1
Vukona ..............     4    1   4%    2    2    2    0    1    0   13    -
Kewell ..............     8    7  26%    1    2    2    2    3    0   33  1-0
Rodriguez ...........     2    1   4%    1    2    2    0    0    1    4  1-1

  Batting order: Brisbane Thunder (home) batted first; Adelaide Baseball Club batted second.
  First pitch 2:00 PM VLAT. Weather: 56°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 225093.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Aaron Vukovic Aaron Vukovic (HR) 0–1
B 7 Glenn Gustavsson David Gorry (3B) 0–2
B 8 Aaron Vukovic Glenn Gustavsson (3B) 0–3
B 8 Aaron Vukovic Mika Puhi (3B) 0–4
B 8 Aaron Vukovic Glenn Morgan (2B) 0–5
B 12 Luc Gauci Mark Robinson (3B) 0–6
B 13 Glenn Gustavsson Fran Brondello (3B) 0–7
B 16 Glenn Morgan Luc Gauci (2B) 0–8
B 21 Fran Brondello Glenn Morgan (3B) 0–9
B 25 Glenn Morgan Glenn Gustavsson (3B) 0–10
T 2 Dave Patel Miloš Postecoglou (2B) 1–10
T 2 Brad Hrustic Simon Cox (3B) 2–10
T 2 Brad Hrustic Dave Patel (1B) 3–10
T 3 Taylor Hadlee Brad Hrustic (3B) 4–10
T 3 Taylor Hadlee Jeremy Young (2B) 5–10
T 3 Taylor Hadlee Rachin Ili (1B) 6–10
T 5 Brad Hrustic Paul Herbert (2B) 7–10
T 5 Brad Hrustic Dave Patel (1B) 8–10
T 12 Simon Spiranovic Simon Cox (3B) 9–10
T 12 Simon Spiranovic Paul Herbert (1B) 10–10
T 13 Brad Hrustic Simon Spiranovic (2B) 11–10
T 13 Brad Hrustic Brad Hrustic (HR) 12–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Billa Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 387' · CF 416' · RF 367' · 6' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Members' Pavilion
Adelaide Baseball Club — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 2 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
387' 416' 367' Miloš Postecoglou — single · EV 113 mph · LA +0° · 107 ft Dave Patel — single · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 189 ft Brad Hrustic — double · EV 103 mph · LA +33° · 386 ft Taylor Hadlee — double · EV 94 mph · LA +21° · 235 ft Paul Herbert — double · EV 113 mph · LA +25° · 393 ft Jeremy Young — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +11° · 96 ft Rachin Ili — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -17° · 84 ft Taylor Hadlee — line_out · EV 107 mph · LA +16° · 246 ft Brad Hrustic — double · EV 107 mph · LA +14° · 218 ft Dave Patel — line_out · EV 108 mph · LA +12° · 195 ft Simon Spiranovic — double · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 376 ft Brad Hrustic — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +39° · 447 ft
Brisbane Thunder — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
387' 416' 367' Aaron Vukovic — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +46° · 468 ft Anis Toumi — single · EV 78 mph · LA +9° · 79 ft Mark Robinson — single · EV 92 mph · LA -3° · 87 ft Edwin Paniagua — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -14° · 79 ft David Gorry — fielders_choice · EV 72 mph · LA -6° · 69 ft Glenn Gustavsson — double · EV 103 mph · LA +30° · 368 ft Andrej Ingles — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 220 ft Mika Puhi — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +21° · 181 ft Glenn Morgan — single · EV 89 mph · LA -15° · 85 ft Fran Brondello — infield_single · EV 65 mph · LA +5° · 62 ft Anis Toumi — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +30° · 194 ft Mark Robinson — double · EV 97 mph · LA +28° · 309 ft Edwin Paniagua — ground_out · EV 65 mph · LA +1° · 62 ft Glenn Morgan — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -25° · 78 ft Aaron Vukovic — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +5° · 93 ft Casey Wagner — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Glenn Gustavsson — double · EV 108 mph · LA +26° · 368 ft Aaron Vukovic — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +6° · 84 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Adelaide Baseball Club
72% deserve-to-win  ·  12.6 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 18.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (-3.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Taylor Hadlee 107 / +16° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.58
Dave Patel 108 / +12° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Brad Hrustic 107 / +39° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.99
Paul Herbert 113 / +25° Oppo Double 3.0 → 2 -0.97
Brad Hrustic 107 / +14° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.59
Brisbane Thunder
28% deserve-to-win  ·  7.8 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +2.2 vs expected
contact: 13.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+0.5 on contact)
running: 6 SB · 1 CS
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Fran Brondello 65 / +5° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Mark Robinson 97 / +28° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.83
Mika Puhi 82 / +21° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Glenn Gustavsson 103 / +30° Oppo Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
Glenn Morgan 89 / -15° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.57
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