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Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub 13, Istanbul Police 3                   2046-04-21 · #926
at Flores Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Istanbul                3      0    3    4    1
Lviv                   13      0   13   12    0

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Beach       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zerihun     ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Raharison   3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Zaki        cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Asefa       c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bendeck     1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zondi       lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Greyling    p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Belhaj  cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mhlawuli    j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Getahun     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Onumonu     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   3   4   0   0   0   1   4   8   0   0  0.143
  SB: Zaki (3).
  E: Beach (1).
  GIDP: Belhaj (1).
  a-Entered at CF in the 7th.

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Chauvin     lf ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Tinta   pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Faried      c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Nogueira    1b ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.500
Cooper      ss ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Muntari     cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Mansour     2b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kouassi     rf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Macnack     3b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Ozuna       p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gunter      j  ......    2   4   2   1   0   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Omondi      j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Kuria       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   3   1   1   0   1  0.333
Totals                  34  13  12   2   0   0  13   8  10   0   1  0.353
  2B: Gunter (6), Mansour (2).
  SB: Omondi (2), Tinta (1).
  GIDP: Faried (2), Kouassi (1).
  Squeeze: Kuria (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Chauvin in the 3rd.

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greyling ............    15   10  37%    5    3    3    2    3    0   47    -
Masakadza ...........    13   10  37%    2    4    4    2    4    0   49  3-3
Crawford (L, 0-3) ...    14    7  26%    5    6    6    4    3    0   54  2-2

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ozuna (W, 3-2) ......    32   27 100%    4    3    1    4    8    0  116    -

  Batting order: Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub (home) batted first; Istanbul Police batted second.
  Seconds: IP o26 (3-13), LBK o26 (13-0).
  First pitch 2:00 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 786643.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Owino Omondi Marnus Cooper (3B) 0–1
B 4 Mwaniki Kuria Dafydd Gunter (3B) 0–2
B 9 Gildo Nogueira Owino Omondi (3B) 0–3
B 9 Marnus Cooper Joe Kouassi (3B) 0–4
B 10 Dafydd Gunter Lonwabo Tinta (3B) 0–5
B 11 Rashid Mansour Gildo Nogueira (3B) 0–6
B 12 Mwaniki Kuria Dafydd Gunter (2B) 0–7
B 20 Mwaniki Kuria Lonwabo Tinta (3B) 0–8
B 20 Márcio Muntari Dafydd Gunter (3B) 0–9
B 20 Rashid Mansour Gildo Nogueira (3B) 0–10
B 24 Dafydd Gunter Márcio Muntari (3B) 0–11
B 25 Lonwabo Tinta Rudy Macnack (3B) 0–12
B 25 Patrik Faried Dafydd Gunter (3B) 0–13
T 2 Abdi Asefa Marwan Zaki (3B) 1–13
T 21 Nomenjanahary Raharison Morne Greyling (2B) 2–13
T 21 Rachid Belhaj Abraham Zerihun (3B) 3–13
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Flores Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 275' · CF 371' · RF 286' · 11' wall). The Bandbox.
Knothole Gates
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
275' 371' 286' Rachid Belhaj — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +25° · 208 ft Mohammed Getahun — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 229 ft Stephane Onumonu — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 192 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — single · EV 60 mph · LA +22° · 99 ft Marwan Zaki — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +48° · 254 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — single · EV 80 mph · LA +20° · 163 ft Abdi Asefa — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 270 ft Rachid Belhaj — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -13° · 72 ft Tom Beach — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 207 ft Godfrey Bendeck — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Abraham Zerihun — single · EV 59 mph · LA +20° · 88 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +27° · 248 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — fielders_choice · EV 60 mph · LA -1° · 57 ft Abdi Asefa — error · EV 86 mph · LA +22° · 207 ft Godfrey Bendeck — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 195 ft Katlego Zondi — single · EV 80 mph · LA +18° · 150 ft
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 10 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
275' 371' 286' Zack Chauvin — single · EV 69 mph · LA +20° · 124 ft Patrik Faried — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -1° · 51 ft Marnus Cooper — fielders_choice · EV 67 mph · LA +3° · 63 ft Dafydd Gunter — double · EV 79 mph · LA +49° · 250 ft Owino Omondi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Márcio Muntari — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 316 ft Salvador Ozuna — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 186 ft Gildo Nogueira — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 111 ft Rashid Mansour — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft Joe Kouassi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 102 ft Lonwabo Tinta — single · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Zack Chauvin — single · EV 60 mph · LA +16° · 76 ft Marnus Cooper — error · EV 76 mph · LA -15° · 72 ft Mwaniki Kuria — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -4° · 72 ft Rudy Macnack — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -2° · 49 ft Rashid Mansour — double · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 330 ft Joe Kouassi — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -2° · 57 ft Dafydd Gunter — single · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 199 ft Owino Omondi — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +41° · 335 ft Márcio Muntari — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 85 ft Mwaniki Kuria — single · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Patrik Faried — single · EV 54 mph · LA +24° · 89 ft Marnus Cooper — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -9° · 71 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Istanbul Police
23% deserve-to-win  ·  3.9 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 7.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-3.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Stephane Onumonu 92 / +17° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Abdi Asefa 92 / +26° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Mothobi Mhlawuli 88 / +27° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.80
Abdi Asefa 86 / +22° Center Reached on Error 0.7 → 0 -0.72
Mothobi Mhlawuli 60 / +22° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.48
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub
77% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  +5.7 vs expected
contact: 10.0 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+4.0 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dafydd Gunter 79 / +49° Pull Double 0.1 → 2 +1.92
Owino Omondi 92 / +41° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Márcio Muntari 92 / +35° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Rashid Mansour 92 / +39° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Patrik Faried 54 / +24° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.82
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