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Maturín Wolves 19, Stratton Construction 1                   2046-04-21 · #928
at Marufu Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Maturín                19      0   19   23    0
Stratton                1      0    1    1    0

MATURÍN WOLVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Balko       1b ......    5   3   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.400
Bolder      3b ......    6   4   4   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.667
Moten       c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.333
Bentancur   ss ......    5   2   4   3   0   0   5   0   1   0   0  0.800
Gilgeous-Al rf ......    5   2   4   1   0   0   4   0   1   1   0  0.800
Kerr        p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   1  0.000
Cabrera     lf ......    5   2   3   2   0   0   3   0   2   1   0  0.600
Montero     cf ......    5   2   3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.600
Chien       2b ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.400
Totals                  41  19  23  10   0   0  18   5   8   2   1  0.561
  2B: Balko (14), Bolder (13), Bentancur 3 (9), Gilgeous-Alexander (5), Cabrera 2 (6), Montero (2), Chien (1).
  CS: Bentancur (1).


STRATTON CONSTRUCTION
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Wambachov   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Earnov      ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Dangerfield lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Armitage    c  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   .000
Stralem     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bamidele    2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Evans       1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Probst      rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cummings-Co p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Pauling     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  24   1   1   0   0   0   0   5  11   0   0  0.042
  SB: Earnov (2).
  HBP: Stralem (1).
  GIDP: Stralem (5), Pauling (3), Bamidele (1).


MATURÍN WOLVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kerr (W, 3-1) .......    30   27 100%    1    1    1    5   11    0  118    -

STRATTON CONSTRUCTION PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cummings-Col (L, 0-1)     18    9  33%    9    7    7    2    5    0   75    -
Seyfertov ...........    12    5  19%    7    8    8    2    1    0   47  1-0
Dentonov ............    16   13  48%    7    4    4    1    2    0   71    -

  Batting order: Stratton Construction (home) batted second; Maturín Wolves batted first.
  Seconds: MW o23 (19-0), SC o24 (1-19).
  First pitch 2:00 PM VLAT. Weather: 49°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 448156.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Austin Bentancur Mario Balko (2B) 1–0
T 1 Bret Gilgeous-Alexander Kingman Moten (3B) 2–0
T 1 Bret Gilgeous-Alexander Austin Bentancur (2B) 3–0
T 3 Sheng-feng Chien Renato Cabrera (3B) 4–0
T 3 Sheng-feng Chien Robinson Montero (1B) 5–0
T 5 Austin Bentancur Sheng-feng Chien (3B) 6–0
T 5 Austin Bentancur Rand Bolder (1B) 7–0
T 7 Renato Cabrera Dwight Kerr (1B) 8–0
T 7 Sheng-feng Chien Renato Cabrera (3B) 9–0
T 7 Rand Bolder Robinson Montero (3B) 10–0
T 7 Kingman Moten Sheng-feng Chien (3B) 11–0
T 8 Austin Bentancur Mario Balko (3B) 12–0
T 8 Bret Gilgeous-Alexander Rand Bolder (3B) 13–0
T 8 Renato Cabrera Austin Bentancur (3B) 14–0
T 8 Renato Cabrera Bret Gilgeous-Alexander (2B) 15–0
T 14 Bret Gilgeous-Alexander Mario Balko (3B) 16–0
T 14 Dwight Kerr Rand Bolder (3B) 17–0
T 19 Austin Bentancur Bret Gilgeous-Alexander (3B) 18–0
T 19 Austin Bentancur Rand Bolder (2B) 19–0
B 23 Dexter Earnov Wyatt Armitage (3B) 19–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Marufu Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 337' · CF 410' · RF 332' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Maturín Wolves — Batted Balls
33 BIP· 13 1B · 10 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Mario Balko — single · EV 111 mph · LA +20° · 316 ft Austin Bentancur — double · EV 91 mph · LA +31° · 294 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — double · EV 98 mph · LA +29° · 326 ft Renato Cabrera — single · EV 97 mph · LA -8° · 93 ft Robinson Montero — single · EV 97 mph · LA +26° · 293 ft Sheng-feng Chien — double · EV 84 mph · LA +39° · 278 ft Dwight Kerr — error · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 118 ft Mario Balko — line_out · EV 61 mph · LA +21° · 99 ft Rand Bolder — single · EV 85 mph · LA +24° · 215 ft Austin Bentancur — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 202 ft Renato Cabrera — double · EV 104 mph · LA +19° · 261 ft Robinson Montero — double · EV 95 mph · LA +14° · 171 ft Sheng-feng Chien — single · EV 83 mph · LA +22° · 193 ft Kingman Moten — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +7° · 83 ft Dwight Kerr — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +60° · 219 ft Rand Bolder — single · EV 74 mph · LA +25° · 168 ft Austin Bentancur — single · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 174 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — single · EV 93 mph · LA +24° · 255 ft Renato Cabrera — double · EV 90 mph · LA +16° · 171 ft Robinson Montero — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA -6° · 81 ft Mario Balko — double · EV 104 mph · LA +13° · 188 ft Kingman Moten — single · EV 69 mph · LA +20° · 124 ft Renato Cabrera — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +32° · 332 ft Rand Bolder — double · EV 99 mph · LA +19° · 245 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 88 ft Robinson Montero — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -6° · 77 ft Sheng-feng Chien — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +19° · 173 ft Mario Balko — fly_out · EV 103 mph · LA +32° · 385 ft Rand Bolder — single · EV 87 mph · LA +10° · 105 ft Austin Bentancur — double · EV 108 mph · LA +40° · 457 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — single · EV 86 mph · LA -13° · 81 ft Robinson Montero — single · EV 97 mph · LA +6° · 92 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 214 ft
Stratton Construction — Batted Balls
12 BIP· 1 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
337' 410' 332' Dexter Earnov — single · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Chimezie Bamidele — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA -2° · 50 ft Tylen Evans — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +37° · 241 ft Ronald Probst — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 107 ft Gerry Cummings-Coleman — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 49 ft Phillip Pauling — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -19° · 49 ft Larry Stralem — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -2° · 57 ft Chimezie Bamidele — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -12° · 49 ft Ronald Probst — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Gerry Cummings-Coleman — fly_out · EV 62 mph · LA +31° · 137 ft Joey Wambachov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Gerry Cummings-Coleman — ground_out · EV 59 mph · LA +3° · 56 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Maturín Wolves
99% deserve-to-win  ·  17.5 expected runs
actual 19 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 28.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 32.0 (+3.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mario Balko 103 / +32° Oppo Out 2.1 → 0 -2.06
Austin Bentancur 108 / +40° Center Double 3.6 → 2 -1.64
Sheng-feng Chien 84 / +39° Center Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Austin Bentancur 91 / +31° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.22
Renato Cabrera 96 / +32° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.19
Stratton Construction
1% deserve-to-win  ·  1.6 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 2.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 1.0 (-1.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Dexter Earnov 76 / -1° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Ronald Probst 76 / +14° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Ronald Probst 76 / -2° Oppo Out 0.3 → 0 -0.28
Gerry Cummings-Coleman 62 / +31° Center Out 0.2 → 0 -0.19
Gerry Cummings-Coleman 52 / -12° Pull Out 0.2 → 0 -0.16
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