==============================================================================
Esso BK 13, Maracay Auto Body 2                              2046-04-21 · #933
at Coffin Coliseum
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Esso                   13      0   13   15    0
Maracay                 2      0    2    9    0

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valiev      2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Bezecny     3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rangi       rf ......    3   2   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Allen       1b ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.667
Sastry      c  ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Canıtez     cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Andreev     ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kulikova    lf ......    3   2   3   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Moore       p  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  1.000
Fomin       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Twedtov     j  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  35  13  15   6   0   0  12   6   7   0   1  0.429
  2B: Rangi (3), Fomin (5), Sastry (1), Twedtov (4), Kulikova (4), Moore (1).
  SB: Sastry (2).
  CS: Allen (2).


MARACAY AUTO BODY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Grebenyuk   c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Bae         ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sulaeman    lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
An          1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Won         2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Đức         rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Woo         3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bellenfant  p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
  a-Shibasa c  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Behich      j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Sun         j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ishizu      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  28   2   9   3   0   0   2   1   9   0   1  0.321
  2B: Shibasaki (7), Grebenyuk (3), Behich (8).
  CS: Shibasaki 2 (3), Grebenyuk (1), An (1).
  GIDP: Behich (2).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moore (W, 2-1) ......    19   17  63%    8    2    2    0    4    0   71    -
Fomin (F, 10) .......     9   10  37%    1    0    0    1    5    0   39  1-0

MARACAY AUTO BODY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bellenfant ..........    21   15  56%    7    6    6    3    5    0   80    -
Ilohov (L, 0-2) .....    15    8  30%    7    7    7    1    2    0   65  1-1
Hietin ..............     5    4  15%    1    0    0    2    0    0   19  1-0

  Batting order: Maracay Auto Body (home) batted second; Esso BK batted first.
  Seconds: EB1 o26 (13-0), MAB o25 (2-13).
  First pitch 1:35 PM. Weather: 60°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 988081.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 3 Shawn Twedtov Charles Allen (2B) 1–0
T 6 Aslan Kulikova Ozan Canıtez (2B) 2–0
T 7 Semyon Valiev Karen Andreev (3B) 3–0
T 12 Shawn Twedtov Alex Rangi (2B) 4–0
T 12 Karthik Sastry Shawn Twedtov (2B) 5–0
T 14 Aslan Kulikova Karthik Sastry (3B) 6–0
T 14 Khalil Moore Aslan Kulikova (2B) 7–0
T 17 Karthik Sastry Alex Rangi (2B) 8–0
T 19 Aslan Kulikova Charles Allen (2B) 9–0
T 19 Vadim Fomin Karthik Sastry (3B) 10–0
T 19 Vadim Fomin Aslan Kulikova (1B) 11–0
T 21 Ronald Bezecny Vadim Fomin (3B) 12–0
T 22 Alex Rangi Khalil Moore (2B) 13–0
B 8 Warren Bellenfant Brad Behich (3B) 13–1
B 12 Hayato Shibasaki Tsukasa Ishizu (3B) 13–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Coffin Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 358' · CF 441' · RF 319' · 17' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Wire Basket Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Esso BK — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 6 XBH · 0 HR
358' 441' 319' Wall 17' Semyon Valiev — fly_out · EV 116 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Ronald Bezecny — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +52° · 389 ft Alex Rangi — double · EV 105 mph · LA +25° · 335 ft Vadim Fomin — fielders_choice · EV 99 mph · LA +6° · 94 ft Shawn Twedtov — single · EV 109 mph · LA +4° · 104 ft Aslan Kulikova — single · EV 100 mph · LA +8° · 95 ft Khalil Moore — double · EV 96 mph · LA +11° · 142 ft Ronald Bezecny — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +27° · 183 ft Alex Rangi — single · EV 89 mph · LA +17° · 176 ft Vadim Fomin — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -7° · 80 ft Shawn Twedtov — double · EV 101 mph · LA +15° · 207 ft Karthik Sastry — double · EV 97 mph · LA +15° · 187 ft Aslan Kulikova — double · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 211 ft Charles Allen — single · EV 83 mph · LA +15° · 138 ft Ozan Canıtez — line_out · EV 101 mph · LA +14° · 187 ft Khalil Moore — single · EV 97 mph · LA +26° · 297 ft Ronald Bezecny — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -8° · 74 ft Karthik Sastry — single · EV 79 mph · LA +9° · 77 ft Aslan Kulikova — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Vadim Fomin — double · EV 110 mph · LA +26° · 378 ft Alex Rangi — single · EV 85 mph · LA -0° · 81 ft Charles Allen — single · EV 74 mph · LA -3° · 71 ft Karen Andreev — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -4° · 82 ft Ronald Bezecny — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +7° · 83 ft
Maracay Auto Body — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
358' 441' 319' Wall 17' Wahyu Sulaeman — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -14° · 87 ft Brad Behich — double · EV 100 mph · LA +47° · 402 ft Hayato Shibasaki — single · EV 52 mph · LA +22° · 76 ft Hyon-min Sun — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Tsukasa Ishizu — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 166 ft Bom-chol Won — fly_out · EV 54 mph · LA +26° · 92 ft Phong Đức — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Yang Woo — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 203 ft Brad Behich — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +5° · 87 ft Hayato Shibasaki — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 304 ft Ki-su An — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Bom-chol Won — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +6° · 49 ft Wahyu Sulaeman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Semyon Grebenyuk — double · EV 115 mph · LA +16° · 279 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Esso BK
96% deserve-to-win  ·  13.9 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 22.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (-1.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.6 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Semyon Valiev 116 / +41° Center Out 3.7 → 0 -3.75
Ozan Canıtez 101 / +14° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.24
Aslan Kulikova 93 / +19° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Ronald Bezecny 100 / +52° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.94
Karthik Sastry 97 / +15° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Maracay Auto Body
4% deserve-to-win  ·  2.7 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.7 vs expected
contact: 10.6 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+1.4 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hayato Shibasaki 92 / +32° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.20
Yang Woo 92 / +18° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Brad Behich 100 / +47° Pull Double 2.5 → 2 -0.49
Hyon-min Sun 76 / +14° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Ki-su An 76 / +14° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →