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Hermosillo BC 2, Olympika Imperial Tailors 1                 2046-04-21 · #937
at Copper Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Hermosillo              2    2    2    0
Olympika                1    1    3    0

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kretschman  lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Jung        c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Kangas  ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
O'Malley    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                   3   2   2   1   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
  2B: Kretschman (7).
  HR: O'Malley (4), off Reyes.
  a-Entered at SS in the 9th.

OLYMPIKA IMPERIAL TAILORS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Diatchenko  2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Malinovskyi rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ashbin      cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Novikov     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Fuda        1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sollidin    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Bricka  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Trivedi     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Iakovlev    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Reyes       p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Dunia   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Sergeev lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Davisov 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Dunne       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Watts       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Pylypenko   j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  26   1   3   2   0   0   1   2  17   0   0  0.115
  2B: Pylypenko (4), Reyes (1).
  CS: Bricka (1).
  GIDP: Iakovlev (1), Sergeev (1).
  a-Ran for Sollidin in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Reyes in the 8th.
  c-Replaced Dunne at LF in the 6th.
  d-Replaced Pylypenko at 2B in the 9th.

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rosa (W, 3-0) .......    28   27 100%    3    1    1    2   17    0  103    -

OLYMPIKA IMPERIAL TAILORS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Reyes (L, 0-2) ......     4    2   7%    2    2    2    1    1    1    6    -

  Batting order: Olympika Imperial Tailors (home) batted first; Hermosillo BC batted second.
  First pitch 2:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 48°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 642058.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Alibek Novikov Kyrylo Pylypenko (2B) 0–1
T 2 Mitchell O'Malley Logan Kretschman (2B) 1–1
T 2 Mitchell O'Malley Mitchell O'Malley (HR) 2–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Copper Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 279' · CF 355' · RF 277' · 12' wall). The Bandbox.
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 1 HR
279' 355' 277' Logan Kretschman — double · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 251 ft Mitchell O'Malley — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +29° · 366 ft
Olympika Imperial Tailors — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
279' 355' 277' Kyrylo Pylypenko — double · EV 105 mph · LA +22° · 310 ft Alibek Novikov — single · EV 71 mph · LA +14° · 93 ft Valery Iakovlev — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA -12° · 87 ft Nikita Sergeev — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA -11° · 57 ft Dmytro Malinovskyi — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -7° · 49 ft Jan-michael Ashbin — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +5° · 76 ft Taisei Fuda — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +8° · 79 ft Starlin Reyes — double · EV 93 mph · LA +13° · 154 ft Colm Dunne — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 81 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Hermosillo BC
76% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 3.4 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (+2.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mitchell O'Malley 104 / +29° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.93
Logan Kretschman 98 / +20° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.69
Olympika Imperial Tailors
24% deserve-to-win  ·  1.2 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 5.1 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-0.1 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Starlin Reyes 93 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.13
Taisei Fuda 82 / +8° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Alibek Novikov 71 / +14° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.49
Valery Iakovlev 92 / -12° Oppo Double Play 0.4 → 0 -0.43
Kyrylo Pylypenko 105 / +22° Center Double 1.6 → 2 +0.42
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