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Thessaloniki Police 4, Mbarara Hounds 3                      2046-04-21 · #940
at Iron Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Mbarara                 3    3    4    0
Thessaloniki            4    4    3    0

MBARARA HOUNDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Eledge      cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Lindsay     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kennedy     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Browne      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Torreira    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hall        rf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Robinette   ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rackley     lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  a-Christe ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Betsa       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Eaton       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Jones       j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Totals                  29   3   4   1   0   0   1   2  11   0   0  0.138
  2B: Eaton (12).
  HBP: Eledge (1).
  GIDP: Eaton (1).
  a-Grounded out for Rackley in the 9th.

THESSALONIKI POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gourriel    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Couts   pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Liz         ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cure        lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Marston     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   2   .000
  b-Bautist ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alarcón     c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Thompso ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Bohrnstedt  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Chu         cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Marte   pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Leverin ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Langenf lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
  g-Wiggins pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Brawley ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Santiago    j  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Suero       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Watley      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  22   4   3   0   0   0   4   8   4   0   2  0.136
  SB: Marte (1).
  CS: Langenfeld (2).
  GIDP: Bohrnstedt (1), Thompson (1).
  a-Ran for Gourriel in the 6th.
  b-Grounded out for Marston in the 6th.
  c-Grounded out for Alarcón in the 8th.
  d-Ran for Chu in the 4th.
  e-Entered at SS in the 7th.
  f-Entered at LF in the 9th.
  g-Ran for Levering in the 6th.
  h-Grounded out in the 7th.

MBARARA HOUNDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Betsa (L, 1-1) ......    29   26  96%    2    4    4    8    4    0  116    -

THESSALONIKI POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Marston (W, 4-2) ....    32   27 100%    4    3    3    2   11    0  133    -

  Batting order: Thessaloniki Police (home) batted second; Mbarara Hounds batted first.
  First pitch 1:05 PM. Weather: 70°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 322659.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Armando Torreira Steve Eledge (3B) 1–0
T 11 Hal Eaton Sion Jones (3B) 2–0
T 18 Graydon Betsa Hal Eaton (3B) 3–0
B 9 Anthony Langenfeld Tristan Cure (3B) 3–1
B 10 Mardy Marston Dagoberto Marte (3B) 3–2
B 19 Hanley Suero Joe Wiggins (2B) 3–3
B 25 Hanley Suero Dagoberto Marte (3B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Iron Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 370' · CF 477' · RF 365' · 11' wall). Cavernous.
Crow's Nest Death Valley The Crater
Mbarara Hounds — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Sven Kennedy — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +32° · 220 ft Hal Eaton — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +24° · 274 ft Sion Jones — single · EV 87 mph · LA +22° · 209 ft Andy Hall — single · EV 61 mph · LA +15° · 76 ft Steve Eledge — fly_out · EV 83 mph · LA +28° · 230 ft Diehl Christenson — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 183 ft Everett Lindsay — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 194 ft Hal Eaton — double · EV 101 mph · LA +17° · 230 ft Sion Jones — single · EV 79 mph · LA +19° · 154 ft Derrick Robinette — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 113 ft Graydon Betsa — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +50° · 242 ft Everett Lindsay — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 294 ft Hal Eaton — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA +19° · 96 ft Sion Jones — fielders_choice · EV 78 mph · LA +10° · 82 ft
Thessaloniki Police — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
370' 477' 365' Jacob Levering — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +7° · 57 ft Junior Liz — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +24° · 101 ft Ozan Bohrnstedt — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Ángel Bautista — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Russell Watley — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +20° · 70 ft Hanley Suero — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Dave Brawley — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft George Thompson — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft Jacob Levering — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +46° · 231 ft Anthony Langenfeld — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Junior Liz — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +2° · 87 ft Leonys Alarcón — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -20° · 49 ft Hanley Suero — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Anthony Langenfeld — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 283 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Mbarara Hounds
46% deserve-to-win  ·  4.0 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 8.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-3.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hal Eaton 96 / +24° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.31
Derrick Robinette 92 / +10° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Everett Lindsay 92 / +30° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.78
Andy Hall 61 / +15° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.56
Hal Eaton 63 / +19° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Thessaloniki Police
54% deserve-to-win  ·  4.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -0.3 vs expected
contact: 5.3 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-3.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Anthony Langenfeld 92 / +28° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.78
Hanley Suero 76 / -9° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Junior Liz 59 / +24° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Anthony Langenfeld 76 / +12° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Ángel Bautista 76 / +15° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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