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Smirnykh Glassworks 8, Stirling Mercantile 1                 2046-04-21 · #946
at Rui Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Smirnykh                8    8    8    0
Stirling                1    1    8    0

SMIRNYKH GLASSWORKS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Bellov      2b ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Guskova     rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Glimakova   lf ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Youzhny     1b ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Wightmanov  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schukin     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cherkasov   3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Demekhine   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kulikova    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Hirai   ph ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Semenenko   j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Tkacheva    j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Bykov       j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  30   8   8   2   1   2   8   2   6   0   0  0.267
  2B: Bellov (10), Bykov (13).
  3B: Youzhny (2).
  HR: Glimakova (4), off Bony; Semenenko (7), off Bony.
  SB: Tkacheva (6).
  CS: Bellov 2 (5).
  HBP: Hirai (2).
  a-Batted for Kulikova in the 7th.

STIRLING MERCANTILE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gaber       3b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Barbosa pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Wilombe     c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bony        p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Nzimand 3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
  c-Mordi   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Poojary cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Opondo  3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Opare   c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  g-Darboe  c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Kokila  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  i-Tamene  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mungai      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Martínez    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Macandza    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  28   1   8   1   0   0   1   2   8   0   0  0.286
  2B: Gaber (4).
  HBP: Macandza (1).
  GIDP: Opare (2).
  a-Ran for Gaber in the 4th.
  b-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  e-Entered at 3B in the 4th.
  f-Entered at C in the 5th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.
  h-Batted for Opondo in the 5th.
  i-Singled for Barbosa in the 6th.

SMIRNYKH GLASSWORKS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kulikova (W, 3-0) ...    19   17  63%    4    1    1    1    6    0   68    -
Eustatia (F, 10) ....    10   10  37%    2    0    0    1    2    0   43  2-0

STIRLING MERCANTILE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bony (L, 0-5) .......    27   22  81%    7    6    6    2    5    2   89    -
Yahya ...............     6    5  19%    1    2    1    0    1    0   30  1-1

  Batting order: Stirling Mercantile (home) batted second; Smirnykh Glassworks batted first.
  First pitch 1:05 PM. Weather: 76°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 128402.
  Walk-Back runs: off Yahya 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 13 Eduard Semenenko Daniil Guskova (1B) 1–0
T 13 Eduard Semenenko Eduard Semenenko (HR) 2–0
T 18 Maksim Bykov Alibek Tkacheva (2B) 3–0
T 20 Sasha Bellov Maksim Bykov (3B) 4–0
T 20 Daniil Guskova Jun Hirai (2B) 5–0
T 22 Alen Glimakova Alen Glimakova (HR) 6–0
T 22 Rifat Youzhny Alen Glimakova (3B) 7–0
T 22 Oscar Wightmanov Rifat Youzhny (3B) 8–0
B 13 Zinho Opare Loide Barbosa (3B) 8–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Rui Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 353' · CF 469' · RF 367' · 12' wall). Cavernous.
Death Valley Crow's Nest
Smirnykh Glassworks — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 2 HR
353' 469' 367' Sasha Bellov — double · EV 113 mph · LA +18° · 302 ft Daniil Guskova — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +17° · 177 ft Teymuraz Cherkasov — single · EV 96 mph · LA -20° · 91 ft Victor Demekhine — fly_out · EV 101 mph · LA +14° · 194 ft Eduard Semenenko — line_out · EV 115 mph · LA +19° · 322 ft Alibek Tkacheva — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Alen Glimakova — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +33° · 283 ft Sasha Bellov — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +32° · 348 ft Daniil Guskova — single · EV 91 mph · LA +14° · 151 ft Eduard Semenenko — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft Rifat Youzhny — fly_out · EV 112 mph · LA +18° · 294 ft Oscar Wightmanov — fly_out · EV 118 mph · LA +28° · 461 ft Maksim Bykov — double · EV 99 mph · LA +27° · 321 ft Teymuraz Cherkasov — fly_out · EV 104 mph · LA +28° · 356 ft Alen Glimakova — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +35° · 480 ft Sasha Bellov — single · EV 86 mph · LA +17° · 166 ft Daniil Guskova — ground_out · EV 109 mph · LA +10° · 155 ft Rifat Youzhny — triple · EV 101 mph · LA +42° · 402 ft Oscar Wightmanov — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +33° · 318 ft Teymuraz Cherkasov — ground_out · EV 108 mph · LA +7° · 102 ft
Stirling Mercantile — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
353' 469' 367' Njoroge Mungai — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA -3° · 81 ft Zinho Opare — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Tom Opondo — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +4° · 80 ft Marwan Gaber — double · EV 93 mph · LA +42° · 346 ft Akinola Darboe — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +6° · 73 ft Mauro Bony — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA -6° · 65 ft Steve Kokila — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +0° · 81 ft Dereje Tamene — single · EV 60 mph · LA +15° · 71 ft Thembekile Nzimande — line_out · EV 84 mph · LA +12° · 120 ft Ronald Martínez — single · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 211 ft Akinola Darboe — fielders_choice · EV 83 mph · LA -7° · 79 ft Jilson Wilombe — infield_single · EV 62 mph · LA -12° · 59 ft Thembekile Nzimande — single · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 88 ft Ronald Martínez — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA +2° · 63 ft Omar Macandza — fielders_choice · EV 64 mph · LA +4° · 61 ft Zinho Opare — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Smirnykh Glassworks
95% deserve-to-win  ·  13.3 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -5.3 vs expected
contact: 30.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (-12.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Oscar Wightmanov 118 / +28° Center Out 3.0 → 0 -3.01
Eduard Semenenko 115 / +19° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Rifat Youzhny 112 / +18° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.71
Teymuraz Cherkasov 104 / +28° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.41
Daniil Guskova 109 / +10° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.40
Stirling Mercantile
5% deserve-to-win  ·  3.2 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -2.2 vs expected
contact: 6.5 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (+0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mauro Bony 69 / -6° Pull Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Jilson Wilombe 62 / -12° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.84
Marwan Gaber 93 / +42° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.80
Thembekile Nzimande 84 / +12° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Dereje Tamene 60 / +15° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.56
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