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Istanbul Police 10, Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub 7                   2046-04-22 · #971
at Flores Yards
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Istanbul               10      0   10   11    0
Lviv                    7      0    7   10    0

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Boudiaf     ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zaki        lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
Zerihun     1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Raharison   3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kalou       2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0  0.250
Beach       c  ......    3   3   3   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Maïga       cf ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Bautista    rf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
  a-Asefa   ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Sacko   pr ......    0   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Onumonu     j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Getahun     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Mhlawuli    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  33  10  11   2   0   0   8   4   7   1   0  0.333
  2B: Beach (2), Onumonu (2).
  SB: Beach (1).
  CS: Zaki (2).
  HBP: Boudiaf (4), Maïga (2), Bautista (1).
  GIDP: Kalou (2).
  a-Batted in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Asefa in the 3rd.

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Muntari     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Mdletshe    ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Cooper      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Tinta       cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Nogueira    1b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
Mansour     c  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kouassi     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Trabelsi    p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Faried  c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Mtshali pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gunter      j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Omondi      j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kuria       j  ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   1   0  0.667
Totals                  32   7  10   4   0   0   7   3  14   1   0  0.312
  2B: Omondi (4), Kuria (2), Mansour (3), Trabelsi (1).
  SB: Omondi (3), Mansour (1), Trabelsi (1).
  CS: Mtshali (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Faried in the 7th.

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Heredia (W, 3-0) ....    18   12  44%    7    5    5    1    5    0   71    -
Mansour .............    15   14  52%    3    2    2    2    8    0   66  1-0
Singo ...............     1    1   4%    0    0    0    0    1    0    6  1-0

LVIV BEYSBOLNYI KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Trabelsi (L, 2-2) ...    16   10  37%    6    5    5    1    4    0   59    -
Teferi ..............    14   12  44%    3    2    2    1    3    0   52  2-2
Salonen .............     9    5  19%    1    3    3    2    0    0   32  2-2

  Batting order: Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub (home) batted second; Istanbul Police batted first.
  Seconds: IP o25 (10-0), LBK o25 (7-10).
  First pitch 4:05 PM. Weather: 56°F · Wind calm · Overcast · Light rain · Humid. seed 214771.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 6 Abdi Asefa Tom Beach (3B) 1–0
T 7 Facinet Maïga Facinet Maïga (3B) 2–0
T 7 Tom Beach Jeimer Bautista (3B) 3–0
T 7 Tom Beach Karl Sacko (3B) 4–0
T 8 Nomenjanahary Raharison Facinet Maïga (3B) 5–0
T 12 Stephane Onumonu Tom Beach (3B) 6–0
T 13 Abraham Zerihun Nomenjanahary Raharison (3B) 7–0
T 21 Oussama Boudiaf Tom Beach (3B) 8–0
T 21 Marwan Zaki Jeimer Bautista (3B) 9–0
T 25 Tom Beach Karl Sacko (3B) 10–0
B 4 Gildo Nogueira Mwaniki Kuria (2B) 10–1
B 6 Rashid Mansour Dafydd Gunter (3B) 10–2
B 6 Joe Kouassi Gildo Nogueira (3B) 10–3
B 8 Mfanafuthi Mdletshe Rashid Mansour (3B) 10–4
B 10 Gildo Nogueira Mfanafuthi Mdletshe (2B) 10–5
B 12 Mwaniki Kuria Dafydd Gunter (3B) 10–6
B 12 Mwaniki Kuria Owino Omondi (2B) 10–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Flores Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 275' · CF 371' · RF 286' · 11' wall). The Bandbox.
Knothole Gates
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
275' 371' 286' Nomenjanahary Raharison — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Ivane Kalou — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Tom Beach — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 217 ft Jeimer Bautista — single · EV 52 mph · LA +10° · 60 ft Stephane Onumonu — double · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 325 ft Mohammed Getahun — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 166 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +60° · 125 ft Abdi Asefa — single · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 107 ft Tom Beach — double · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 297 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 82 ft Abraham Zerihun — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +7° · 83 ft Mohammed Getahun — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +57° · 363 ft Oussama Boudiaf — fly_out · EV 53 mph · LA +47° · 110 ft Abraham Zerihun — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 109 ft Ivane Kalou — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 172 ft Tom Beach — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 116 ft Jeimer Bautista — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 255 ft Ivane Kalou — double_play · EV 60 mph · LA +4° · 57 ft Nomenjanahary Raharison — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 278 ft Ivane Kalou — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 129 ft
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 6 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
275' 371' 286' Patrik Faried — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +33° · 336 ft Dafydd Gunter — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 154 ft Mwaniki Kuria — double · EV 110 mph · LA +21° · 325 ft Mfanafuthi Mdletshe — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 250 ft Gildo Nogueira — single · EV 69 mph · LA +18° · 113 ft Rashid Mansour — double · EV 107 mph · LA +24° · 344 ft Joe Kouassi — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -10° · 59 ft Patrik Faried — single · EV 91 mph · LA -16° · 86 ft Mfanafuthi Mdletshe — single · EV 86 mph · LA +10° · 96 ft Lonwabo Tinta — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -18° · 70 ft Gildo Nogueira — single · EV 71 mph · LA +16° · 103 ft Owino Omondi — double · EV 108 mph · LA +17° · 264 ft Mwaniki Kuria — single · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Ayoub Trabelsi — double · EV 96 mph · LA +20° · 244 ft Owino Omondi — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA -10° · 69 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Istanbul Police
59% deserve-to-win  ·  7.7 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 11.3 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+0.7 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tom Beach 92 / +31° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Stephane Onumonu 92 / +37° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Nomenjanahary Raharison 92 / +9° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Ivane Kalou 76 / +24° Center Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Nomenjanahary Raharison 92 / +28° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Lviv Beysbolnyi Klub
41% deserve-to-win  ·  6.5 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 13.2 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+0.8 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (-0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Patrik Faried 96 / +33° Oppo Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Mfanafuthi Mdletshe 92 / +24° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Ayoub Trabelsi 96 / +20° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Patrik Faried 91 / -16° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
Gildo Nogueira 69 / +18° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
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