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Seville Continental Garage 6, Zagreb Miners 5                2046-04-22 · #977
at The Wedge
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                        1    R    H    E
Zagreb                  5    5    6    0
Seville                 6    6    7    0

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Fitzgerald  cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
Earls       lf ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ambri       ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Mazza       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Lovren      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Oberdorf    rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Valle       2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Fagioli     c  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Jelavić     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.000
Burley      j  ......    3   1   3   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  27   5   6   3   0   0   4   6   9   0   1  0.222
  2B: Burley 2 (11), Fagioli (2).
  GIDP: Earls 2 (4), Lovren (1).


SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Braun       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sané        2b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lange       lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Ferhat      rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Brook   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lehmann     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  b-Bedrane cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Bonfant cf ......    2   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Zografo c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  e-Oršić   3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Greggi      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Saidi       j  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tyler       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  14   6   7   2   1   0   5   1   5   0   1  0.500
  2B: Lange (13), Saidi (11).
  3B: Bonfantini (2).
  SB: Zografos (3).
  CS: Lange (2).
  a-Ran for Ferhat in the 3rd.
  b-Entered at CF in the 6th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 6th.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Entered at 3B in the 8th.

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jelavić (L, 0-1) ....    14    9  33%    6    6    6    1    5    0   54    -

SEVILLE CONTINENTAL GARAGE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lehmann (W, 2-1) ....    31   24  89%    5    5    5    6    9    0  119    -
Durm ................     2    3  11%    1    0    0    0    0    0   11  3-0

  Batting order: Seville Continental Garage (home) batted second; Zagreb Miners batted first.
  First pitch 2:00 PM GMT. Weather: 45°F · Wind in · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 952241.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 6 Dejan Jelavić Peter Earls (3B) 1–0
T 10 Hélio Ambri Mateo Lovren (3B) 2–0
T 23 Michele Fagioli Per Oberdorf (3B) 3–0
T 23 Michele Fagioli Nico Della Valle (1B) 4–0
T 23 Toni Fitzgerald Geoff Burley (3B) 5–0
B 1 Aristotelis Zografos Giampaolo Bonfantini (3B) 5–1
B 1 Jakarrion Tyler Aristotelis Zografos (3B) 5–2
B 4 Amayas Ferhat Mustapha Saidi (2B) 5–3
B 7 Giampaolo Bonfantini Roman Sané (3B) 5–4
B 8 Aristotelis Zografos Jarell Brook (3B) 5–5
B 9 Mustapha Saidi Robert Lange (3B) 5–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Wedge's actual outfield dimensions (LF 348' · CF 419' · RF 309' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
348' 419' 309' Wall 14' Peter Earls — fielders_choice · EV 54 mph · LA +4° · 51 ft Hélio Ambri — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 298 ft Mateo Lovren — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Per Oberdorf — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +49° · 228 ft Toni Fitzgerald — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +33° · 229 ft Geoff Burley — double · EV 96 mph · LA +17° · 212 ft Dejan Jelavić — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft Peter Earls — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +7° · 49 ft Michele Fagioli — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 160 ft Toni Fitzgerald — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +51° · 332 ft Geoff Burley — double · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 235 ft Peter Earls — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 87 ft Mateo Lovren — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -3° · 49 ft Per Oberdorf — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 98 ft Michele Fagioli — double · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 286 ft Geoff Burley — single · EV 61 mph · LA +23° · 106 ft
Seville Continental Garage — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
348' 419' 309' Wall 14' Robert Lange — double · EV 114 mph · LA +24° · 384 ft Giampaolo Bonfantini — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 195 ft Aristotelis Zografos — single · EV 94 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Mustapha Saidi — single · EV 100 mph · LA +2° · 95 ft Jakarrion Tyler — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 396 ft Amayas Ferhat — single · EV 98 mph · LA +0° · 94 ft Giampaolo Bonfantini — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA -21° · 86 ft Mustapha Saidi — double · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 421 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Zagreb Miners
55% deserve-to-win  ·  5.2 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 7.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+1.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Michele Fagioli 92 / +29° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Geoff Burley 92 / +22° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Michele Fagioli 92 / +14° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Hélio Ambri 92 / +31° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Mateo Lovren 76 / -9° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Seville Continental Garage
45% deserve-to-win  ·  4.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +1.3 vs expected
contact: 10.9 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-0.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Jakarrion Tyler 100 / +41° Pull Out 2.5 → 0 -2.51
Giampaolo Bonfantini 100 / +15° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Mustapha Saidi 119 / +24° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Amayas Ferhat 98 / +0° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.51
Giampaolo Bonfantini 90 / -21° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.45
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