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Matanzas Tornados 19, Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths 8       2046-04-22 · #980
at The Funnel
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Matanzas               19      -   19   19    0
Cienfuegos              8      0    8   12    0

MATANZAS TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Arce        3b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Suero       lf ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.400
Castillo    2b ......    5   2   3   2   0   0   5   0   0   0   0  0.600
Liriano     1b ......    3   4   3   1   0   1   3   2   0   0   0  1.000
Peña        p  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   1  1.000
  a-Bareiro pr ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Renner      cf ......    3   1   3   3   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Smit    pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Falcao      rf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mthembu     ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Coelho  c  ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Park        j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Paniagua    j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Mendes      j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  38  19  19   9   0   1  18   7   6   0   1  0.500
  2B: Bareiro (4), Suero (15), Castillo 2 (13), Liriano (12), Peña (5), Renner 3 (4).
  HR: Liriano (8), off Lacasse.
  CS: Liriano (3).
  HBP: Coelho (1).
  GIDP: Arce (1), Mthembu (1).
  a-Ran for Peña in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Renner in the 6th.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Carusa      lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Izidoro     1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Encarna pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Rosas       ss ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Fazio       c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Akiyama pr ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  1.000
Freitas     3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Yamamot ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Difo    ph ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
  e-Severin pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Coronad ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Arce    pr ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  h-Flores  ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  i-Zanetti lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  j-Pérez   ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  k-Ramos   pr ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Anderson    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Rodríguez   j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Valencia    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  32   8  12   3   0   1   8   4   9   1   0  0.375
  2B: Difo (3), Anderson (8), Rodríguez (8).
  HR: Rosas (3), off Peña.
  CS: Flores 2 (3).
  GIDP: Anderson (2), Valencia (3).
  a-Ran for Izidoro in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Fazio in the 6th.
  c-Singled in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Ran for Yamamoto-Silva in the 2nd.
  f-Grounded out in the 2nd.
  g-Ran for Coronado in the 3rd.
  h-Batted in the 3rd.
  i-Replaced Rodríguez at LF in the 4th.
  j-Walked in the 6th.
  k-Ran in the 7th.

MATANZAS TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Peña ................     9    6  22%    4    3    2    0    1    1   30    -
García (W, 1-0) .....    15   14  52%    4    0    0    2    4    0   64  1-0
Yotún ...............    12    7  26%    4    5    5    2    4    0   53  2-2

CIENFUEGOS NORTHERN GOLDSMITHS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Paniagua (L, 0-1) ...    12    6  22%    5    4    4    1    2    0   36    -
Rojas ...............     4    3  11%    2    3    3    1    0    0   14  2-2
Lacasse .............     5    5  19%    2    2    2    0    1    1   13  1-0
Suero ...............     7    4  15%    2    2    1    1    1    0   22  1-1
Pirelli .............     5    1   4%    2    4    4    2    0    0    7  2-2
Báez ................    10    6  22%    5    4    4    1    2    0   20  2-2
Tatís ...............     2    1   4%    1    0    0    1    0    0    9  2-0

  Batting order: Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths (home) batted first; Matanzas Tornados batted second.
  Seconds: MT o26 (19-8), CNG o26 (8-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 75°F · Wind in · Overcast · Humid. seed 208863.
  Walk-Back runs: off Peña 1, off Suero 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Cesar Rosas Cesar Rosas (HR) 0–1
B 5 Rory Anderson Cesar Rosas (3B) 0–2
B 5 Rory Anderson Fernando Severino (1B) 0–3
B 20 Juan Rodríguez Yefri Encarnación (3B) 0–4
B 24 Bruno Akiyama Juan Ramos (3B) 0–5
B 25 Juan Ramos Rory Anderson (3B) 0–6
B 25 Edwin Difo Juan Rodríguez (3B) 0–7
B 25 Edwin Difo Juan Ramos (1B) 0–8
T 4 Chris Renner Ángel Peña (1B) 1–8
T 6 Vladimir Suero Chris Renner (3B) 2–8
T 6 Tony Castillo Exequiel Arce (3B) 3–8
T 6 Tony Castillo Vladimir Suero (2B) 4–8
T 6 Ángel Peña Rodrigo Coelho (3B) 5–8
T 7 Chris Renner Tony Castillo (3B) 6–8
T 7 Chris Renner James Liriano (2B) 7–8
T 14 James Liriano Andrés Paniagua (1B) 8–8
T 14 James Liriano James Liriano (HR) 9–8
T 14 Ángel Peña James Liriano (3B) 10–8
T 17 Vladimir Suero Cesar Bareiro (3B) 11–8
T 19 Tony Castillo Nicolaas Smit (3B) 12–8
T 19 Tony Castillo Ji-sung Park (2B) 13–8
T 19 Cesar Bareiro Luís Mendes (3B) 14–8
T 19 Cesar Bareiro Tony Castillo (2B) 15–8
T 19 Ji-sung Park James Liriano (3B) 16–8
T 19 Nicolaas Smit Andrés Paniagua (2B) 17–8
T 24 Tony Castillo Cesar Bareiro (3B) 18–8
T 25 James Liriano Vladimir Suero (3B) 19–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Funnel's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 418' · RF 348' · 11' wall). Balanced.
Ivy Wall
Matanzas Tornados — Batted Balls
29 BIP· 9 1B · 9 XBH · 1 HR
346' 418' 348' James Liriano — double · EV 92 mph · LA +29° · 289 ft Chris Renner — double · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 140 ft Andy Falcao — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +3° · 88 ft Exequiel Arce — single · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 171 ft Andrés Paniagua — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 169 ft Ángel Peña — double · EV 95 mph · LA +42° · 361 ft Cesar Bareiro — double · EV 96 mph · LA +32° · 328 ft Ji-sung Park — single · EV 93 mph · LA +17° · 192 ft Nicolaas Smit — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 100 ft Vladimir Suero — double · EV 94 mph · LA +35° · 333 ft Tony Castillo — double · EV 96 mph · LA +28° · 307 ft Chris Renner — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 210 ft Andy Falcao — single · EV 79 mph · LA +16° · 132 ft Kagisho Mthembu — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -14° · 58 ft Exequiel Arce — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft James Liriano — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +33° · 422 ft Cesar Bareiro — single · EV 94 mph · LA +20° · 223 ft Tony Castillo — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +12° · 171 ft Chris Renner — double · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 122 ft Andy Falcao — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +29° · 291 ft Kagisho Mthembu — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 128 ft Rodrigo Coelho — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -1° · 54 ft James Liriano — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 231 ft Vladimir Suero — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 183 ft Tony Castillo — double · EV 99 mph · LA +18° · 229 ft Andy Falcao — single · EV 84 mph · LA -1° · 80 ft Exequiel Arce — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 183 ft Vladimir Suero — single · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 333 ft Tony Castillo — single · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 330 ft
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths — Batted Balls
23 BIP· 8 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
346' 418' 348' Ronan Carusa — line_out · EV 87 mph · LA +17° · 167 ft Cesar Rosas — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +38° · 454 ft Marco Fazio — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -3° · 77 ft Kenji Yamamoto-Silva — single · EV 86 mph · LA +18° · 169 ft Caio Freitas — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 156 ft Rory Anderson — double · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 280 ft Juan Rodríguez — double · EV 92 mph · LA +35° · 318 ft James Coronado — fielders_choice · EV 59 mph · LA +2° · 56 ft Moisés Valencia — double_play · EV 62 mph · LA +9° · 60 ft Sandro Zanetti — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +4° · 74 ft Yefri Encarnación — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +39° · 332 ft Bruno Akiyama — single · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Juan Ramos — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 105 ft Bruno Akiyama — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Rory Anderson — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA -3° · 73 ft Luís Izidoro — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 84 ft Moisés Valencia — single · EV 77 mph · LA -4° · 73 ft Marco Fazio — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 156 ft Caio Freitas — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 186 ft Carlos Arce — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 150 ft Daniel Flores — single · EV 100 mph · LA -10° · 95 ft Edwin Difo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 244 ft Caio Freitas — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 148 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Matanzas Tornados
75% deserve-to-win  ·  17.5 expected runs
actual 19 runs  ·  +1.5 vs expected
contact: 26.8 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 31.0 (+4.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tony Castillo 102 / +12° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
James Liriano 92 / +29° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Chris Renner 92 / +11° Oppo Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Exequiel Arce 92 / +16° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Vladimir Suero 94 / +35° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Cienfuegos Northern Goldsmiths
25% deserve-to-win  ·  10.1 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 17.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (+1.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yefri Encarnación 92 / +39° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Caio Freitas 92 / +17° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Edwin Difo 92 / +23° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Juan Rodríguez 92 / +35° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Caio Freitas 92 / +13° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
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