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Split BK 21, Osijek Moose 4                                  2046-04-22 · #991
at Léon Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Osijek                  4      0    4    5    0
Split                  21      -   21   16    0

OSIJEK MOOSE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Nieminen    ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Korhonen    lf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Leppänen    rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Engman      2b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Chigumb ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Figueroa    1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Hezonja     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Sainio      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Struthers   cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
Nemtsova    p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Koskinen    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dragoni     j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ahtinen     j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  29   4   5   2   0   0   3   4   8   0   0  0.172
  2B: Nieminen (3), Engman (6).
  SB: Struthers (1).
  CS: Hezonja (1).
  HBP: Dragoni (2).
  a-Struck out for Engman in the 9th.

SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solis       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Gosens      p  ......    2   3   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Pohjanp lf ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Wagner  nf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Seppälä cf ......    4   1   2   2   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Bautist cf ......    1   4   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Clardy  lf ......    4   2   3   1   1   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.750
  f-Eronen  c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
  g-Jantune cf ......    4   4   3   1   0   1   5   0   0   0   0  0.750
Franssi     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Franssi     j  ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   4   0   2   1   0  0.500
Totals                  37  21  16   5   1   1  19   7   9   1   0  0.432
  2B: Seppälä 2 (5), Clardy (1), Jantunen (1), Pikkujämsä (11).
  3B: Clardy (1).
  HR: Jantunen (1), off Tuominen.
  HBP: Franssi (1), Gosens 2 (2).
  a-Entered at LF in the 5th.
  b-Entered at NF in the 7th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at LF in the 4th.
  f-Entered at C in the 9th.
  g-Entered at CF in the 9th.

OSIJEK MOOSE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Nemtsova ............     8    6  22%    1    0    0    2    1    0   33    -
Kanerva .............     6    3  11%    3    4    4    0    2    0   23  2-2
Tuominen ............     5    1   4%    2    5    5    1    0    1   15  1-1
Leinonen ............    17    9  33%    7    6    5    3    2    0   76  1-1
Pitkänen (L, 0-1) ...    11    8  30%    3    6    6    1    4    0   48  3-3

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gosens ..............     9    6  22%    3    2    2    1    2    0   25    -
Salin ...............    12   11  41%    1    2    2    0    5    0   50  1-1
Forss (W, 1-0) ......    12   10  37%    1    0    0    3    1    0   47  1-0

  Batting order: Split BK (home) batted second; Osijek Moose batted first.
  Seconds: OM o26 (4-0).
  First pitch 5:00 PM. Weather: 74°F · Wind in · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 845005.
  Powerplays: Split BK — Wagner NF (O2)
  Walk-Back runs: off Leinonen 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 5 Zan Struthers Eero Leppänen (3B) 1–0
T 5 Zan Struthers Zane Figueroa (2B) 2–0
T 8 Pasi Koskinen Zan Struthers (3B) 3–0
T 16 Niilo Nieminen Vincenzo Dragoni (2B) 4–0
B 6 Ron-Robert Gosens Tony Bautista (3B) 4–1
B 6 Tim Seppälä Wayne Clardy (2B) 4–2
B 6 Tim Seppälä Ron-Robert Gosens (1B) 4–3
B 9 Sasu Eronen Tim Seppälä (2B) 4–4
B 10 Markku Pikkujämsä Sasu Eronen (3B) 4–5
B 10 Markku Pikkujämsä Eemil Franssi (2B) 4–6
B 10 Vesa Jantunen Markku Pikkujämsä (2B) 4–7
B 10 Vesa Jantunen Tony Bautista (1B) 4–8
B 10 Vesa Jantunen Vesa Jantunen (HR) 4–9
B 10 Wayne Clardy Vesa Jantunen (3B) 4–10
B 13 Henrik Franssi Veikko Pohjanpalo (3B) 4–11
B 18 Vesa Jantunen Eemil Franssi (2B) 4–12
B 18 Wayne Clardy Tony Bautista (2B) 4–13
B 18 Wayne Clardy Vesa Jantunen (1B) 4–14
B 18 Ron-Robert Gosens Wayne Clardy (2B) 4–15
B 21 Henrik Franssi Ron-Robert Gosens (3B) 4–16
B 22 Markku Pikkujämsä Veikko Pohjanpalo (3B) 4–17
B 22 Markku Pikkujämsä Manuel Wagner (2B) 4–18
B 24 Vesa Jantunen Tony Bautista (1B) 4–19
B 25 Tim Seppälä Vesa Jantunen (2B) 4–20
B 25 Tim Seppälä Ron-Robert Gosens (1B) 4–21
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 310' · CF 451' · RF 341' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Osijek Moose — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Niilo Nieminen — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +21° · 207 ft Mika Korhonen — single · EV 90 mph · LA +11° · 119 ft Eero Leppänen — single · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 200 ft Ismo Engman — ground_out · EV 56 mph · LA +6° · 53 ft Lukša Hezonja — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Zan Struthers — single · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 92 ft Pasi Koskinen — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -2° · 93 ft Zane Figueroa — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 145 ft Eemeli Ahtinen — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +21° · 230 ft Niilo Nieminen — line_out · EV 113 mph · LA +23° · 367 ft Eero Leppänen — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +11° · 91 ft Zan Struthers — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -10° · 74 ft Zane Figueroa — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 230 ft Niilo Nieminen — double · EV 110 mph · LA +16° · 261 ft Mika Korhonen — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft Ismo Engman — double · EV 103 mph · LA +16° · 229 ft Lukša Hezonja — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -14° · 78 ft Tomi Sainio — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +27° · 333 ft LaVerne Nemtsova — ground_out · EV 114 mph · LA +5° · 108 ft
Split BK — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 6 XBH · 1 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Eemil Franssi — fly_out · EV 113 mph · LA +15° · 249 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -14° · 75 ft Wayne Clardy — single · EV 119 mph · LA -4° · 113 ft Ron-Robert Gosens — single · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 184 ft Tim Seppälä — double · EV 113 mph · LA +32° · 458 ft Henrik Franssi — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +56° · 371 ft Tony Bautista — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA -24° · 78 ft Owen Solis — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +39° · 337 ft Sasu Eronen — single · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 134 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 209 ft Vesa Jantunen — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +47° · 457 ft Wayne Clardy — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 304 ft Tim Seppälä — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — single · EV 119 mph · LA +7° · 113 ft Manuel Wagner — single · EV 88 mph · LA +24° · 234 ft Henrik Franssi — fly_out · EV 118 mph · LA +51° · 480 ft Ron-Robert Gosens — single · EV 116 mph · LA -4° · 110 ft Sasu Eronen — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +20° · 250 ft Vesa Jantunen — single · EV 88 mph · LA -14° · 83 ft Wayne Clardy — double · EV 119 mph · LA +12° · 239 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — single · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 214 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — single · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 84 ft Vesa Jantunen — double · EV 114 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Tim Seppälä — double · EV 93 mph · LA +17° · 191 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Osijek Moose
22% deserve-to-win  ·  11.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -7.0 vs expected
contact: 17.0 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-10.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Niilo Nieminen 113 / +23° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.74
Tomi Sainio 102 / +27° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Zane Figueroa 98 / +18° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Niilo Nieminen 88 / +21° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Lukša Hezonja 92 / +16° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Split BK
78% deserve-to-win  ·  20.9 expected runs
actual 21 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 32.2 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 26.0 (-6.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tim Seppälä 113 / +32° Oppo Double 3.8 → 2 -1.84
Vesa Jantunen 114 / +39° Center Double 3.8 → 2 -1.84
Henrik Franssi 118 / +51° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.64
Wayne Clardy 100 / +25° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.56
Eemil Franssi 113 / +15° Oppo Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
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