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Hermosillo BC 8, Marseille Club de Baseball 7                2046-04-22 · #998
at Hermosillo Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Marseille               7    7   10    0
Hermosillo              8    8    7    0

MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Liriano     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Wattel  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Talaslahti  lf ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0  0.667
Donarski    3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Eliuk       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Uberoi  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Petit       2b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Fournet     c  ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
Olivera     cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Linárez     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Adames      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Ashby   cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Rojas       j  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Nyhus       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Guerra      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   7  10   2   0   0   6   3   7   1   0  0.323
  2B: Fournet 2 (2).
  SB: Talaslahti (5).
  CS: Petit (2).
  HBP: Ashby (3).
  GIDP: Linárez (2).
  a-Ran for Liriano in the 3rd.
  b-Grounded out for Eliuk in the 7th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 9th.

HERMOSILLO BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lannoy      lf ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Cota        rf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Gallatin    3b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Watling     2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Probst      ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Fleishman   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ashe        cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Moriwake    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Tang    c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Salinas     j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
O'Malley    j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Strachan    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  14   8   7   3   0   0   8   2   3   0   0  0.500
  2B: Lannoy (11), Ashe (1), O'Malley (5).
  SB: Lannoy (5).
  Squeeze: Gallatin (1 RBI).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

MARSEILLE CLUB DE BASEBALL PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Adames (L, 0-2) .....     7    3  11%    3    4    4    1    2    0   20    -
Benny ...............     5    2   7%    2    3    3    1    1    0   17  1-1
Arozarena ...........     3    2   7%    1    1    1    0    0    0   11  1-1

HERMOSILLO BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Moriwake (W, 2-1) ...    34   26  96%   10    6    6    3    8    0  121    -
Loftin ..............     2    1   4%    0    1    1    0    0    0    9  2-1

  Batting order: Hermosillo BC (home) batted second; Marseille Club de Baseball batted first.
  First pitch 7:10 PM. Weather: 63°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 986397.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Amos Fournet Néstor Petit (1B) 1–0
T 6 Erick Nyhus Amos Fournet (3B) 2–0
T 10 Richie Donarski Ketel Rojas (3B) 3–0
T 13 Derlis Olivera Roger Wattel (3B) 4–0
T 17 Wilbur Guerra Richie Donarski (2B) 5–0
T 23 Amos Fournet Ketel Rojas (3B) 6–0
T 26 Pyry Talaslahti Amos Fournet (3B) 7–0
B 2 Troy Gallatin Fernando de Lannoy (3B) 7–1
B 3 Guillermo Ashe Stefan Cota (3B) 7–2
B 3 Guillermo Ashe Quincy Probst (2B) 7–3
B 3 Guillermo Ashe Troy Gallatin (1B) 7–4
B 3 Mitchell O'Malley Guillermo Ashe (2B) 7–5
B 5 Fernando de Lannoy Mitchell O'Malley (2B) 7–6
B 5 Fernando de Lannoy Soane Strachan (1B) 7–7
B 7 Warren Salinas Fernando de Lannoy (2B) 7–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Hermosillo Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 365' · CF 486' · RF 378' · 20' wall). Cavernous.
Wire Basket
Marseille Club de Baseball — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Edwin Liriano — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +21° · 246 ft Joey Eliuk — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 234 ft Néstor Petit — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 163 ft Amos Fournet — double · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 245 ft Derlis Olivera — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +31° · 208 ft Ketel Rojas — single · EV 84 mph · LA +20° · 178 ft Erick Nyhus — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -5° · 87 ft Pyry Talaslahti — single · EV 61 mph · LA +19° · 91 ft Gelvis Adames — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 152 ft Edwin Liriano — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 188 ft Richie Donarski — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 160 ft Néstor Petit — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +37° · 351 ft Amos Fournet — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 207 ft Derlis Olivera — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +31° · 301 ft Ketel Rojas — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 132 ft Wilbur Guerra — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -12° · 63 ft Pyry Talaslahti — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 124 ft Heissler Linárez — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -33° · 72 ft Gelvis Adames — error · EV 57 mph · LA +25° · 98 ft Néstor Petit — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 86 ft Amos Fournet — double · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 334 ft
Hermosillo BC — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
365' 486' 378' Wall 20' Fernando de Lannoy — single · EV 107 mph · LA +1° · 102 ft Wenhao Tang — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +12° · 104 ft Stefan Cota — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Guillermo Ashe — double · EV 113 mph · LA +14° · 240 ft Mitchell O'Malley — double · EV 98 mph · LA +11° · 144 ft Warren Salinas — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +23° · 234 ft Fernando de Lannoy — double · EV 111 mph · LA +12° · 197 ft Mitchell O'Malley — line_out · EV 112 mph · LA +10° · 181 ft Warren Salinas — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Marseille Club de Baseball
71% deserve-to-win  ·  8.3 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 14.0 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Néstor Petit 95 / +37° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Edwin Liriano 96 / +21° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Joey Eliuk 92 / +22° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Amos Fournet 92 / +23° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Derlis Olivera 92 / +31° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Hermosillo BC
29% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 8.4 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (+0.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mitchell O'Malley 112 / +10° Pull Out 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Warren Salinas 90 / +23° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Mitchell O'Malley 98 / +11° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Stefan Cota 76 / -10° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Warren Salinas 76 / +5° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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