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Pyongyang Central Spartans 17, Provideniya-Reid BK 5        2046-04-23 · #1037
at Edwards Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Pyongyang Central      17   17   14    0
Provideniya-Reid        5    5    3    0

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cabalceta   lf ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Lombardi    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Zingaro     1b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   3   0   0  0.250
Estes       p  ......    2   3   2   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   1  1.000
Richards    3b ......    2   4   1   0   0   1   2   2   1   0   0  0.500
Pandya      cf ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Heinzen     rf ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Schnack     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Dunne       c  ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Tippmann    j  ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Griffith    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Onyedika    j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Totals                  38  17  14   7   1   1  17   5  14   0   1  0.368
  2B: Cabalceta 2 (4), Zingaro (2), Estes (1), Tippmann (5), Heinzen 2 (2).
  3B: Dunne (1).
  HR: Richards (4), off Donnin.
  CS: Lombardi (3), Griffith (1).
  HBP: Griffith (1).


PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Taylor      ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Brunnbergov c  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.667
Lanin       lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rudnev      rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Ortwerthov  cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hallov      3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
King        2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Kalyuzhnaya 1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Williamsov  p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Elisaldezov j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Scott       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Stepanov    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   5   3   1   0   0   5   4  13   0   0  0.111
  2B: Brunnbergov (11).
  SB: Hallov (3).
  CS: Brunnbergov (4).
  HBP: Elisaldezov (1), Lanin (1).
  Squeeze: Ortwerthov.


PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Estes (W, 2-0) ......    32   27 100%    3    5    5    4   13    0  130    -

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Williamsov (L, 0-2) .    15    8  30%    7    6    6    1    6    0   60    -
Basso ...............    15   10  37%    4    6    6    3    5    0   54  1-1
Donnin ..............    14    9  33%    3    5    4    1    3    1   46  1-1

  Batting order: Provideniya-Reid BK (home) batted second; Pyongyang Central Spartans batted first.
  First pitch 6:30 PM ANAT. Weather: 44°F · Wind out · Overcast · Humid. seed 9685.
  Walk-Back runs: off Donnin 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Jacques Estes Eulis Cabalceta (2B) 1–0
T 3 Cory Tippmann Jacques Estes (2B) 2–0
T 3 Francisco Griffith Glen Richards (2B) 3–0
T 3 Damon Onyedika Cory Tippmann (2B) 4–0
T 7 Eulis Cabalceta Damon Onyedika (1B) 5–0
T 8 Javon Zingaro Eulis Cabalceta (2B) 6–0
T 8 Jacques Estes Javon Zingaro (2B) 7–0
T 10 Cory Tippmann Jacques Estes (2B) 8–0
T 11 Roger Heinzen Cory Tippmann (3B) 9–0
T 11 Roger Heinzen Francisco Griffith (2B) 10–0
T 12 Gavin Dunne Roger Heinzen (2B) 11–0
T 14 Jacques Estes Gavin Dunne (3B) 12–0
T 20 Roger Heinzen Glen Richards (2B) 13–0
T 23 Omarian Lombardi Roger Heinzen (3B) 14–0
T 25 Glen Richards Jacques Estes (1B) 15–0
T 25 Glen Richards Glen Richards (HR) 16–0
T 25 Axar Pandya Glen Richards (3B) 17–0
B 2 Bryson Scott Dexter Taylor (3B) 17–1
B 4 Jamal Hallov Beals Lanin (3B) 17–2
B 4 Jamal Hallov Nikolay Rudnev (2B) 17–3
B 11 Tracy Ortwerthov Evgueni Stepanov (3B) 17–4
B 18 Marc Brunnbergov Jamal Hallov (3B) 17–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 360' · CF 443' · RF 376' · 18' wall). Cavernous.
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 5 1B · 8 XBH · 1 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Eulis Cabalceta — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 212 ft Jacques Estes — double · EV 111 mph · LA +21° · 329 ft Cory Tippmann — single · EV 90 mph · LA +22° · 221 ft Francisco Griffith — single · EV 111 mph · LA +10° · 161 ft Damon Onyedika — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 147 ft Eulis Cabalceta — double · EV 118 mph · LA +18° · 331 ft Javon Zingaro — double · EV 106 mph · LA +16° · 232 ft Jacques Estes — single · EV 103 mph · LA +36° · 406 ft Cory Tippmann — double · EV 110 mph · LA +17° · 276 ft Damon Onyedika — ground_out · EV 108 mph · LA +0° · 102 ft Roger Heinzen — double · EV 100 mph · LA +23° · 290 ft Gavin Dunne — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 216 ft Francisco Griffith — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -5° · 84 ft Glen Richards — hr · EV 118 mph · LA +36° · 480 ft Axar Pandya — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 161 ft Damon Onyedika — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +38° · 283 ft Roger Heinzen — double · EV 96 mph · LA +24° · 278 ft Gavin Dunne — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +16° · 139 ft Omarian Lombardi — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +38° · 324 ft Axar Pandya — single · EV 89 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Cory Tippmann — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 167 ft
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Marc Brunnbergov — double · EV 110 mph · LA +27° · 390 ft Bryson Scott — ground_out · EV 103 mph · LA -0° · 98 ft Ari Elisaldezov — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 246 ft Jamal Hallov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 293 ft Evgueni Stepanov — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +60° · 346 ft Tracy Ortwerthov — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +33° · 362 ft Nikolay Rudnev — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA -4° · 77 ft Evgueni Stepanov — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +15° · 162 ft Marc Brunnbergov — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pyongyang Central Spartans
85% deserve-to-win  ·  13.9 expected runs
actual 17 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 27.2 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 26.0 (-1.2 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Gavin Dunne 100 / +16° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Axar Pandya 100 / +12° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Cory Tippmann 100 / +12° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Jacques Estes 103 / +36° Pull Single 2.1 → 1 -1.09
Omarian Lombardi 91 / +38° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Provideniya-Reid BK
15% deserve-to-win  ·  5.9 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 10.2 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 4.0 (-6.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tracy Ortwerthov 100 / +33° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.57
Ari Elisaldezov 100 / +19° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Evgueni Stepanov 89 / +15° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Evgueni Stepanov 100 / +60° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Bryson Scott 103 / +0° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.58
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