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Pyongyang Central Spartans 8, Provideniya-Reid BK 7         2046-04-24 · #1075
at Edwards Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Pyongyang Central       8    8    7    0
Provideniya-Reid        7    7    5    0

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Richards    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lombardi    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kuehn       c  ......    2   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Cabalceta   lf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Pfister     cf ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Vahaly      3b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Pandya      1b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Yokobori    p  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Santana c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  11   8   7   3   0   1   7   1   2   0   0  0.636
  2B: Cabalceta (5), Pfister (3), Pandya (2).
  HR: Kuehn (3), off Kypson.
  SB: Santana (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Taylor      ss ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
Robertsov   1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Lanin       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Rudnev      rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hin         2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ortwerthov  c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Hallov      3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Brunnbe ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Monova      cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Kypson      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.000
Scott       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Stepanov    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Elisaldezov j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  28   7   5   0   0   0   4   7  11   0   1  0.179
  HBP: Kypson (1).
  GIDP: Ortwerthov 2 (2), Monova (1).
  a-Struck out for Hallov in the 8th.

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Yokobori (W, 3-2) ...    22   17  63%    5    5    5    1    6    0   87    -
Suniaga .............    14   10  37%    0    2    2    6    5    0   48  1-1

PROVIDENIYA-REID BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kypson (L, 3-1) .....    11    5  19%    6    6    5    1    2    1   48    -
Talley ..............     1    0   0%    1    2    2    0    0    0    5  1-1

  Batting order: Provideniya-Reid BK (home) batted first; Pyongyang Central Spartans batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM ANAT. Weather: 45°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 869175.
  Walk-Back runs: off Kypson 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 8 Marat Monova Nikolay Rudnev (3B) 0–1
B 16 Evgueni Stepanov Dexter Taylor (3B) 0–2
B 16 Jamal Hallov Zan Hin (3B) 0–3
B 16 Marat Monova Evgueni Stepanov (3B) 0–4
B 16 Keenan Kypson Jamal Hallov (3B) 0–5
B 17 Ari Elisaldezov Marat Monova (3B) 0–6
B 26 Dexter Taylor Dexter Taylor (3B) 0–7
T 0 Ethan Kuehn Ethan Kuehn (HR) 1–7
T 0 Eulis Cabalceta Ethan Kuehn (3B) 2–7
T 2 Axar Pandya Mekhi Pfister (3B) 3–7
T 2 Axar Pandya Tomás Santana (2B) 4–7
T 2 Axar Pandya Mantle Vahaly (1B) 5–7
T 5 Eulis Cabalceta Keito Yokobori (1B) 6–7
T 5 Mekhi Pfister Eulis Cabalceta (2B) 7–7
T 5 Omarian Lombardi Mekhi Pfister (3B) 8–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Edwards Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 360' · CF 443' · RF 376' · 18' wall). Cavernous.
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Ethan Kuehn — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +45° · 480 ft Eulis Cabalceta — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +34° · 338 ft Mekhi Pfister — single · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 242 ft Tomás Santana — single · EV 109 mph · LA +20° · 303 ft Axar Pandya — double · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 314 ft Glen Richards — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +26° · 215 ft Keito Yokobori — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Eulis Cabalceta — double · EV 106 mph · LA +29° · 378 ft Mekhi Pfister — double · EV 102 mph · LA +32° · 378 ft
Provideniya-Reid BK — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 5 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
360' 443' 376' Wall 18' Dexter Taylor — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Nikolay Rudnev — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Zan Hin — single · EV 84 mph · LA -3° · 80 ft Tracy Ortwerthov — double_play · EV 56 mph · LA -14° · 53 ft Ari Elisaldezov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Marat Monova — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -5° · 49 ft Dexter Taylor — single · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 125 ft Beals Lanin — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 154 ft Zan Hin — fielders_choice · EV 57 mph · LA +2° · 54 ft Bryson Scott — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Evgueni Stepanov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 90 ft Marat Monova — single · EV 52 mph · LA +21° · 72 ft Tracy Ortwerthov — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA +0° · 50 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Pyongyang Central Spartans
84% deserve-to-win  ·  6.8 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +1.2 vs expected
contact: 15.0 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (-2.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eulis Cabalceta 96 / +34° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.57
Tomás Santana 109 / +20° Center Single 1.7 → 1 -0.69
Keito Yokobori 88 / +3° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Axar Pandya 100 / +26° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.56
Mekhi Pfister 100 / +19° Pull Single 1.5 → 1 -0.54
Provideniya-Reid BK
16% deserve-to-win  ·  3.0 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  +4.0 vs expected
contact: 4.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Zan Hin 84 / -3° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
Beals Lanin 76 / +21° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Dexter Taylor 77 / +16° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Evgueni Stepanov 76 / +12° Oppo Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Marat Monova 52 / +21° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
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