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Liverpool BC 4, Lima BC 2                                   2046-04-24 · #1076
at Kompany Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Liverpool               4    4    5    0
Lima                    2    2    4    0

LIVERPOOL BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hampton     rf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Etta        ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Millender   2b ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Lynch       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tong        lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bushamuka   1b ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mariappa    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kelly       3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Service c  ......    2   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Fretz       j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  11   4   5   3   0   1   4   0   3   0   0  0.455
  2B: Hampton (1), Millender (8), Tong (13).
  HR: Service (3), off Cahill.
  HBP: Etta (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

LIMA BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Krmenčík    lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Taylor  lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Wilson      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Bachan      c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Docherty    ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Jones       3b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Kuki    pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Howell      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
May         p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Dochert ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
  d-Toone   ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  e-García  1b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Weber       j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Holloway    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   2   4   1   0   0   1   4   6   0   0  0.154
  2B: Docherty (6).
  SB: Kuki (6).
  HBP: García (2).
  GIDP: Howell 2 (2), Weber (1).
  a-Replaced Krmenčík at LF in the 4th.
  b-Ran for Jones in the 2nd.
  c-Batted in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at 1B in the 5th.

LIVERPOOL BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mariappa (W, 3-2) ...    26   23  85%    4    1    1    2    4    0  102    -
Holzworth ...........     5    4  15%    0    1    1    2    2    0   25  1-1

LIMA BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
May (L, 2-2) ........    10    7  26%    4    2    2    0    3    0   37    -
Cahill ..............     2    1   4%    1    2    2    0    0    1   11  1-1

  Batting order: Lima BC (home) batted first; Liverpool BC batted second.
  First pitch 8:10 PM ET. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 21889.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 15 Graham Docherty Florian Weber (2B) 0–1
B 25 Manus Holloway Hanley García (3B) 0–2
T 2 Francois Millender Alexis Bushamuka (1B) 1–2
T 7 Ho-chol Tong Dominic Hampton (2B) 2–2
T 8 Aaron Service Ho-chol Tong (2B) 3–2
T 8 Aaron Service Aaron Service (HR) 4–2
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Kompany Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 346' · CF 406' · RF 322' · 13' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill
Liverpool BC — Batted Balls
6 BIP· 1 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
346' 406' 322' Alexis Bushamuka — single · EV 90 mph · LA +22° · 223 ft Francois Millender — double · EV 103 mph · LA +11° · 156 ft Rovman Mariappa — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +36° · 394 ft Dominic Hampton — double · EV 99 mph · LA +23° · 280 ft Ho-chol Tong — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 212 ft Aaron Service — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +37° · 480 ft
Lima BC — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
346' 406' 322' Daren Bachan — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +35° · 241 ft Rory Docherty — infield_single · EV 52 mph · LA +8° · 49 ft Steeven Jones — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 117 ft Waltclaire Howell — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -18° · 49 ft Florian Weber — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +38° · 366 ft Manus Holloway — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -2° · 64 ft Xavier May — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -4° · 77 ft Masaaki Kuki — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +36° · 220 ft Florian Weber — single · EV 84 mph · LA +5° · 80 ft Daren Bachan — line_out · EV 85 mph · LA +19° · 174 ft Rory Docherty — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +27° · 213 ft Graham Docherty — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 145 ft Waltclaire Howell — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA -18° · 55 ft Callum Toone — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -12° · 54 ft Florian Weber — double_play · EV 77 mph · LA +7° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Liverpool BC
56% deserve-to-win  ·  5.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 11.0 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rovman Mariappa 102 / +36° Center Out 2.1 → 0 -2.09
Francois Millender 103 / +11° Pull Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Dominic Hampton 99 / +23° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Ho-chol Tong 119 / +11° Center Double 1.5 → 2 +0.48
Aaron Service 114 / +37° Center Home Run 3.8 → 4 +0.17
Lima BC
44% deserve-to-win  ·  4.4 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -2.4 vs expected
contact: 6.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-1.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Florian Weber 97 / +38° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Graham Docherty 92 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Rory Docherty 52 / +8° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Daren Bachan 85 / +19° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Florian Weber 84 / +5° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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