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Adelaide Baseball Club 20, BHP Wolves 19                    2046-04-25 · #1122
at Gasset Ground
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                        1    R    H    E
Adelaide               20   20   17    0
Brisbane               19   19   20    0

ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Enyeama     1b ......    2   2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hadlee      rf ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Herbert ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ili         lf ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Maclaren    3b ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   5   0   1   0   0  0.250
Postecoglou ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Cummins     p  ......    3   2   2   1   1   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.667
  b-Morgan  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Moras       2b ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Blanchard   c  ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.667
  c-Schwarz cf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Patel       j  ......    3   3   3   2   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Hrustic     j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  31  20  17   9   1   2  20   3   5   0   0  0.548
  2B: Enyeama (11), Ili (9), Patel 2 (6), Hrustic (5), Cummins (2), Moras (3), Blanchard 2 (3).
  3B: Cummins (1).
  HR: Hadlee (1), off Baccus; Maclaren (1), off King.
  HBP: Enyeama (1), Blanchard (2).
  a-Grounded out for Hadlee in the 5th.
  b-Ran for Cummins in the 6th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 7th.

BHP WOLVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Maley       1b ......    4   4   5   1   0   1   3   1   0   1   0  1.250
Calhoun     lf ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   0   3   0   0   0  1.000
Blicavs     rf ......    4   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.250
Boyens      2b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.250
Goodwin     3b ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Wilkinson   ss ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Henry       c  ......    3   3   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Gliddon     cf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.000
Baccus      p  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.333
Neill       j  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hassett     j  ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  35  19  20   5   0   3  18   9   3   1   0  0.571
  2B: Maley (17), Calhoun (18), Goodwin (4), Henry (7), Hassett (9).
  HR: Maley (8), off Cummins; Blicavs (2), off Cummins; Baccus (1), off Pi.
  CS: Calhoun (3).
  HBP: Wilkinson (2).


ADELAIDE BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cummins .............    12   10  37%    6    5    4    1    0    2   39    -
Luongo (W, 1-0) .....    16    9  33%    7    5    5    4    0    0   67    -
Pi ..................    12    7  26%    6    7    7    1    3    1   42  2-1
Blanchard ...........     4    1   4%    1    2    1    3    0    0   19  1-1

BHP WOLVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baccus ..............     8    2   7%    4    6    1    0    2    1   27    -
Creek ...............    10    7  26%    6    3    3    1    0    0   40  1-0
King (L, 2-1) .......     7    3  11%    3    5    5    1    1    1   25  1-1
Puhi ................     8    4  15%    4    4    3    0    1    0   18  1-1
McGowan .............     4    2   7%    0    2    2    1    1    0    8  1-1

  Batting order: BHP Wolves (home) batted first; Adelaide Baseball Club batted second.
  First pitch 7:35 PM VLAT. Weather: 79°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 138690.
  Walk-Back runs: off Cummins 1, off Blanchard 1, off Baccus 1, off Puhi 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Damien Maley Damien Maley (HR) 0–1
B 9 Joshua Blicavs Damien Maley (3B) 0–2
B 9 Joshua Blicavs Fred Calhoun (2B) 0–3
B 9 Joshua Blicavs Joshua Blicavs (HR) 0–4
B 9 Mihaka Boyens Joshua Blicavs (3B) 0–5
B 11 Nikita Gliddon Lindsay Henry (2B) 0–6
B 11 Pita Hassett Aron Goodwin (3B) 0–7
B 11 Bailey Baccus Danny Neill (3B) 0–8
B 12 Damien Maley Pita Hassett (3B) 0–9
B 18 Nikita Gliddon Danny Neill (3B) 0–10
B 20 Damien Maley Lindsay Henry (2B) 0–11
B 23 Aron Goodwin Damien Maley (3B) 0–12
B 24 Lindsay Henry Aron Goodwin (2B) 0–13
B 25 Pita Hassett Ivan Wilkinson (3B) 0–14
B 25 Pita Hassett Lindsay Henry (2B) 0–15
B 26 Bailey Baccus Pita Hassett (3B) 0–16
B 26 Bailey Baccus Bailey Baccus (HR) 0–17
B 26 Damien Maley Bailey Baccus (3B) 0–18
B 26 Mihaka Boyens Damien Maley (3B) 0–19
T 0 Taylor Hadlee Luis Enyeama (1B) 1–19
T 0 Taylor Hadlee Taylor Hadlee (HR) 2–19
T 0 Rachin Ili Taylor Hadlee (3B) 3–19
T 0 Dave Patel Rachin Ili (1B) 4–19
T 0 Brad Hrustic Dave Patel (2B) 5–19
T 2 Miloš Postecoglou Brad Hrustic (2B) 6–19
T 4 Erick Blanchard Harry Cummins (3B) 7–19
T 7 Ajdin Schwarzer Rachin Ili (2B) 8–19
T 9 Harry Cummins Ajdin Schwarzer (3B) 9–19
T 10 Erick Blanchard Harry Cummins (2B) 10–19
T 11 Thomas Moras Erick Blanchard (2B) 11–19
T 12 Jason Maclaren Thomas Moras (2B) 12–19
T 12 Jason Maclaren Miloš Postecoglou (1B) 13–19
T 12 Jason Maclaren Jason Maclaren (HR) 14–19
T 12 Dave Patel Jason Maclaren (3B) 15–19
T 14 Paul Herbert Dave Patel (3B) 16–19
T 16 Dave Patel Luis Enyeama (2B) 17–19
T 16 Dave Patel Erick Blanchard (1B) 18–19
T 18 Jason Maclaren Dave Patel (3B) 19–19
T 18 Jason Maclaren Jackson Morgan (2B) 20–19
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Gasset Ground's actual outfield dimensions (LF 338' · CF 393' · RF 333' · 10' wall). Balanced.
Flag Pole in Play
Adelaide Baseball Club — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 5 1B · 10 XBH · 2 HR
338' 393' 333' Taylor Hadlee — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 389 ft Rachin Ili — error · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 127 ft Dave Patel — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 325 ft Brad Hrustic — double · EV 100 mph · LA +29° · 341 ft Miloš Postecoglou — single · EV 100 mph · LA -8° · 95 ft Harry Cummins — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +13° · 170 ft Thomas Moras — line_out · EV 82 mph · LA +26° · 207 ft Erick Blanchard — double · EV 100 mph · LA +29° · 338 ft Luis Enyeama — double · EV 119 mph · LA +25° · 436 ft Paul Herbert — fly_out · EV 111 mph · LA +23° · 349 ft Rachin Ili — double · EV 114 mph · LA +23° · 375 ft Ajdin Schwarzer — single · EV 103 mph · LA +10° · 140 ft Jason Maclaren — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft Miloš Postecoglou — line_out · EV 78 mph · LA +17° · 137 ft Harry Cummins — double · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 193 ft Thomas Moras — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +48° · 226 ft Erick Blanchard — double · EV 119 mph · LA +21° · 382 ft Dave Patel — single · EV 98 mph · LA +3° · 93 ft Brad Hrustic — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +24° · 302 ft Luis Enyeama — single · EV 113 mph · LA +26° · 400 ft Erick Blanchard — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 303 ft Thomas Moras — double · EV 111 mph · LA +15° · 251 ft Jason Maclaren — hr · EV 113 mph · LA +32° · 456 ft Rachin Ili — single · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 84 ft Dave Patel — double · EV 99 mph · LA +14° · 184 ft Jason Maclaren — error · EV 95 mph · LA -3° · 90 ft
BHP Wolves — Batted Balls
29 BIP· 12 1B · 5 XBH · 3 HR
338' 393' 333' Damien Maley — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +47° · 456 ft Fred Calhoun — single · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 185 ft Joshua Blicavs — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +39° · 275 ft Lindsay Henry — single · EV 60 mph · LA -3° · 57 ft Nikita Gliddon — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA -26° · 49 ft Mihaka Boyens — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +27° · 202 ft Danny Neill — single · EV 95 mph · LA -4° · 90 ft Pita Hassett — double · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 156 ft Damien Maley — single · EV 85 mph · LA +18° · 171 ft Fred Calhoun — double · EV 105 mph · LA +18° · 261 ft Joshua Blicavs — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +42° · 405 ft Aron Goodwin — double · EV 96 mph · LA +29° · 312 ft Nikita Gliddon — error · EV 95 mph · LA +22° · 251 ft Danny Neill — single · EV 95 mph · LA +14° · 172 ft Ivan Wilkinson — single · EV 101 mph · LA +25° · 314 ft Lindsay Henry — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Damien Maley — single · EV 95 mph · LA +14° · 164 ft Joshua Blicavs — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +26° · 318 ft Aron Goodwin — line_out · EV 103 mph · LA +15° · 210 ft Nikita Gliddon — fielders_choice · EV 79 mph · LA -14° · 75 ft Mihaka Boyens — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +51° · 143 ft Ivan Wilkinson — single · EV 84 mph · LA +17° · 158 ft Lindsay Henry — double · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 206 ft Danny Neill — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +5° · 81 ft Bailey Baccus — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +35° · 393 ft Damien Maley — single · EV 102 mph · LA +8° · 97 ft Damien Maley — double · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 216 ft Aron Goodwin — single · EV 89 mph · LA +13° · 138 ft Mihaka Boyens — single · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 73 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Adelaide Baseball Club
49% deserve-to-win  ·  19.5 expected runs
actual 20 runs  ·  +0.5 vs expected
contact: 34.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 34.0 (-0.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Luis Enyeama 113 / +26° Oppo Single 3.0 → 1 -2.03
Taylor Hadlee 100 / +38° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Harry Cummins 100 / +13° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.74
Paul Herbert 111 / +23° Oppo Out 1.7 → 0 -1.70
Erick Blanchard 100 / +25° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
BHP Wolves
51% deserve-to-win  ·  20.1 expected runs
actual 19 runs  ·  -1.1 vs expected
contact: 28.4 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 34.0 (+5.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bailey Baccus 102 / +35° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Joshua Blicavs 101 / +42° Center Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.49
Joshua Blicavs 100 / +26° Oppo Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Nikita Gliddon 95 / +22° Oppo Reached on Error 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Aron Goodwin 103 / +15° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
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