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Split BK 12, Osijek Moose 2                                 2046-04-25 · #1123
at Léon Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Osijek                  2    2    8    1
Split                  12   12   12    1

OSIJEK MOOSE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Nieminen    ss ......    4   0   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0  0.500
Korhonen    lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.500
Chigumbu    cf ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ojala       c  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Leppänen    rf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Engman      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Figueroa    1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Hahnemann   2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Räsänen     p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   2   8   2   0   0   1   2   8   1   0  0.276
  2B: Nieminen 2 (9).
  E: Nieminen (1).
  GIDP: Ojala (1).


SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solis       lf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Franssi pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.000
Honka       cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Kunieda pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Honkanen    ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Saravanan   2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   0  0.500
Šarić       1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Jantune pr ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Johannes    3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Ihalain ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  e-Eronen  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Wagner  ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   1   0  1.000
  g-Lynch   pr ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  h-Berger  ph ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  i-Seppälä cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.000
  j-Westerl pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Franssi     j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Franssi     j  ......    4   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.500
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28  12  12   3   0   0  12   7   5   3   0  0.429
  2B: Solis (6), Franssi (12), Franssi (15).
  E: Ihalainen (2).
  HBP: Ihalainen (1), Franssi (2), Wagner (1), Pikkujämsä (2).
  a-Ran for Solis in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Honka in the 1st.
  c-Ran for Šarić in the 3rd.
  d-Was hit by a pitch in the 1st.
  e-Ran for Ihalainen in the 1st.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Ran in the 2nd.
  h-Batted in the 3rd.
  i-Replaced Franssi at CF in the 4th.
  j-Ran in the 4th.

OSIJEK MOOSE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Räsänen (L, 0-1) ....    23   16  59%    9    4    4    4    3    0   93    -
Kanerva .............    15    9  33%    3    8    2    3    1    0   39  3-3
Amundsen ............     1    2   7%    0    0    0    0    1    0    4  1-0

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Knudsen (W, 1-0) ....    26   24  89%    5    1    1    2    7    0  111    -
Gosens ..............     5    3  11%    3    1    1    0    1    0   19  1-1

  Batting order: Split BK (home) batted first; Osijek Moose batted second.
  First pitch 7:15 PM. Weather: 78°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 36618.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 4 Henrik Franssi Vilho Franssi (3B) 0–1
B 5 Manuel Wagner Eemil Franssi (3B) 0–2
B 8 Vilho Franssi Vesa Jantunen (2B) 0–3
B 12 Surya Saravanan Niko Westerlund (3B) 0–4
B 16 Helmut Berger Markku Pikkujämsä (3B) 0–5
B 16 Vilho Franssi Sasu Eronen (2B) 0–6
B 17 Tim Seppälä Gearoid Lynch (3B) 0–7
B 17 Tim Seppälä Helmut Berger (2B) 0–8
B 18 Gearoid Lynch Eemil Franssi (3B) 0–9
B 24 Vilho Franssi Markku Pikkujämsä (3B) 0–10
B 24 Eemil Franssi Manuel Wagner (3B) 0–11
B 24 Eemil Franssi Vesa Jantunen (2B) 0–12
T 15 Niilo Nieminen Mika Korhonen (3B) 1–12
T 25 Mika Korhonen Kadarius Hahnemann (3B) 2–12
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 310' · CF 451' · RF 341' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Osijek Moose — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 7 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Niilo Nieminen — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +27° · 235 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — single · EV 82 mph · LA +7° · 78 ft Ismo Ojala — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +46° · 305 ft Ismo Engman — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +20° · 163 ft Niilo Nieminen — double · EV 96 mph · LA +13° · 162 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — fly_out · EV 59 mph · LA +30° · 123 ft Eero Leppänen — error · EV 61 mph · LA -3° · 58 ft Pekka Räsänen — single · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Mika Korhonen — single · EV 79 mph · LA +14° · 119 ft Niilo Nieminen — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 100 ft Ismo Ojala — double_play · EV 74 mph · LA -15° · 70 ft Eero Leppänen — single · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 184 ft Zane Figueroa — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +9° · 88 ft Kadarius Hahnemann — single · EV 107 mph · LA +7° · 102 ft Pekka Räsänen — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Niilo Nieminen — line_out · EV 102 mph · LA +15° · 203 ft Niilo Nieminen — double · EV 103 mph · LA +22° · 292 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 115 ft
Split BK — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 9 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Owen Solis — double · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 180 ft Henrik Honka — single · EV 80 mph · LA +15° · 128 ft Hanno Honkanen — single · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 155 ft Surya Saravanan — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Henrik Franssi — single · EV 88 mph · LA +20° · 194 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +53° · 340 ft Manuel Wagner — infield_single · EV 59 mph · LA -8° · 56 ft Karlo Šarić — single · EV 79 mph · LA -4° · 75 ft Helmut Berger — line_out · EV 56 mph · LA +17° · 68 ft Vilho Franssi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Gearoid Lynch — single · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 290 ft Sasu Eronen — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA +11° · 88 ft Henrik Franssi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 218 ft Henrik Franssi — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +32° · 209 ft Surya Saravanan — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Helmut Berger — single · EV 77 mph · LA +21° · 162 ft Vilho Franssi — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -2° · 72 ft Tim Seppälä — error · EV 54 mph · LA -8° · 51 ft Gearoid Lynch — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -6° · 79 ft Vesa Jantunen — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 101 ft Niko Westerlund — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 127 ft Eemil Franssi — double · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Henrik Franssi — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +38° · 336 ft Helmut Berger — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 127 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Osijek Moose
15% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -3.8 vs expected
contact: 11.4 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (-1.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Niilo Nieminen 102 / +15° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Niilo Nieminen 96 / +13° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Ismo Ojala 87 / +46° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.65
Tawanda Chigumbu 82 / +7° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Niilo Nieminen 82 / +11° Center Stay (out) 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Split BK
85% deserve-to-win  ·  13.8 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  -1.8 vs expected
contact: 13.7 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+1.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Eemil Franssi 92 / +13° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Henrik Franssi 93 / +38° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Owen Solis 88 / +18° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Henrik Franssi 92 / +20° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Niko Westerlund 92 / +11° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
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