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Panevėžys Bottling Co. 25, Amur-Zaimka Elk 15               2046-04-25 · #1124
at Tide Bowl
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Panevėžys              25      -   25   21    0
Amur-Zaimka            14      1   15   19    0

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO.
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mozee       2b ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.750
Barten      rf ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.750
Lehnhoff    3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Mejía       cf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.250
Shafie      ss ......    5   4   2   0   0   1   4   1   2   0   0  0.400
Cunha       lf ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.500
Kittay      p  ......    5   5   4   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.800
McCullough  1b ......    5   3   3   0   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.600
  a-Pittman cf ......    6   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.167
Saul        j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Faga        j  ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  43  25  21   3   0   4  25   6  11   0   0  0.488
  2B: Mozee (3), Barten (5), Faga (5).
  HR: Shafie (2), off Buchina; Cunha (9), off Banuelosov; Kittay (3), off Bowesov; Saul (1), off Blackov.
  CS: Cunha (2).
  a-Entered at CF in the 7th.

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Willenborgo lf ......    5   0   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.400
Akaho       cf ......    4   3   3   0   1   1   1   1   1   0   0  0.750
Printezis   3b ......    5   3   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.600
Lutrova     c  ......    5   1   3   1   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.600
Stevensov   rf ......    4   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.250
Bridges     2b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Mogilevets  1b ......    4   2   3   1   1   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
Kingov      ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.333
Banuelosov  p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   .000
  a-Kwiatko ph ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Mixon       j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Tolliver    j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  37  15  19   6   2   2  15   4   9   0   1  0.514
  2B: Willenborgov (5), Printezis (7), Lutrova (10), Stevensov (5), Mogilevets (6), Kingov (2).
  3B: Akaho (2), Mogilevets (1).
  HR: Akaho (3), off Shipley; Lutrova (3), off Kittay.
  SB: Kwiatkowski (3).
  CS: Willenborgov 2 (4), Akaho (4), Mogilevets (5).
  HBP: Stevensov (2).
  GIDP: Mogilevets (1).
  a-Batted for Banuelosov in the 5th.

PANEVĖŽYS BOTTLING CO. PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kittay (W, 4-0) .....    18   12  44%    9    6    6    2    6    1   71    -
Shipley .............    12    6  22%    5    7    6    1    3    1   39  1-1
Mondeville ..........    12    9  33%    5    2    2    1    0    0   47  1-0

AMUR-ZAIMKA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Banuelosov (L, 1-1) .    11    6  22%    5    6    6    1    3    1   47    -
Bowesov .............     9    7  26%    2    4    2    0    4    1   31  1-1
Oh ..................     6    2   7%    3    2    2    2    1    0   25    -
Blackov .............     4    1   4%    1    4    4    2    1    1    9  2-2
Falkenbergov ........     6    3  11%    4    4    3    1    0    0   22  2-1
Buchina .............     9    4  15%    6    5    4    0    1    1   30  1-1
Rybakina ............     3    3  11%    0    0    0    0    1    0   11  2-0

  Batting order: Amur-Zaimka Elk (home) batted first; Panevėžys Bottling Co. batted second.
  Seconds: PBC o26 (25-14), AE o26 (14-0).
  First pitch 5:45 PM VLAT. Weather: 46°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 775834.
  Walk-Back runs: off Shipley 1, off Bowesov 2, off Falkenbergov 1, off Buchina 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 José Printezis Daichi Akaho (3B) 0–1
B 1 Andrei Lutrova José Printezis (2B) 0–2
B 9 Andrei Lutrova José Printezis (1B) 0–3
B 11 Coniah Kingov Kyle Bridges (2B) 0–4
B 11 Coniah Kingov Sergey Mogilevets (1B) 0–5
B 13 Devonte Willenborgov Coniah Kingov (2B) 0–6
B 13 Devonte Willenborgov Thai-Son Mixon (1B) 0–7
B 14 Daichi Akaho Daichi Akaho (HR) 0–8
B 14 José Printezis Daichi Akaho (3B) 0–9
B 16 Sergey Mogilevets José Printezis (3B) 0–10
B 16 Sergey Mogilevets Stepan Stevensov (2B) 0–11
B 17 Rodney Kwiatkowski Sergey Mogilevets (3B) 0–12
B 22 Kyle Bridges Stepan Stevensov (3B) 0–13
B 22 Sergey Mogilevets Kyle Bridges (2B) 0–14
T 5 Tyderick Barten Destyn Kittay (3B) 1–14
T 5 Lex McCullough Donni Mozee (3B) 2–14
T 5 Lex McCullough Tyderick Barten (2B) 3–14
T 5 Harris Shafie Lex McCullough (2B) 4–14
T 6 Nicholas Cunha Harris Shafie (2B) 5–14
T 6 Nicholas Cunha Nicholas Cunha (HR) 6–14
T 6 Sadiel Mejía Nicholas Cunha (3B) 7–14
T 6 Destyn Kittay Sadiel Mejía (1B) 8–14
T 6 Destyn Kittay Destyn Kittay (HR) 9–14
T 12 Nicholas Cunha Destyn Kittay (3B) 10–14
T 15 Lex McCullough Destyn Kittay (3B) 11–14
T 15 Lex McCullough Donni Mozee (2B) 12–14
T 15 Tavierre Saul Tyderick Barten (3B) 13–14
T 15 Tavierre Saul Lex McCullough (2B) 14–14
T 15 Tavierre Saul Harris Shafie (1B) 15–14
T 15 Tavierre Saul Tavierre Saul (HR) 16–14
T 18 Mackenzie Faga Tavierre Saul (3B) 17–14
T 18 Destyn Kittay Mackenzie Faga (2B) 18–14
T 18 Donni Mozee Destyn Kittay (1B) 19–14
T 18 Tyderick Barten Donni Mozee (2B) 20–14
T 19 Harris Shafie Tyderick Barten (2B) 21–14
T 19 Harris Shafie Lex McCullough (1B) 22–14
T 19 Harris Shafie Harris Shafie (HR) 23–14
T 20 Nicholas Cunha Harris Shafie (3B) 24–14
T 20 Sadiel Mejía Nicholas Cunha (3B) 25–14
seconds_first 0 Andrei Lutrova Andrei Lutrova (HR) 25–15
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 319' · CF 396' · RF 347' · 14' wall). Balanced.
Tal's Hill Bullpens in Play Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Panevėžys Bottling Co. — Batted Balls
29 BIP· 14 1B · 3 XBH · 4 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Matthew Pittman — single · EV 98 mph · LA -21° · 93 ft Armondo Lehnhoff — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -5° · 75 ft Tyderick Barten — double · EV 104 mph · LA +29° · 367 ft Lex McCullough — single · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Tavierre Saul — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +34° · 436 ft Mackenzie Faga — double · EV 99 mph · LA +45° · 395 ft Harris Shafie — single · EV 95 mph · LA -17° · 90 ft Matthew Pittman — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -2° · 84 ft Nicholas Cunha — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +28° · 444 ft Sadiel Mejía — single · EV 91 mph · LA +17° · 188 ft Destyn Kittay — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +30° · 460 ft Tyderick Barten — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +11° · 141 ft Lex McCullough — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 212 ft Donni Mozee — single · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 110 ft Nicholas Cunha — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -21° · 84 ft Destyn Kittay — single · EV 88 mph · LA -22° · 84 ft Lex McCullough — single · EV 96 mph · LA +8° · 91 ft Sadiel Mejía — line_out · EV 90 mph · LA +18° · 193 ft Donni Mozee — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 221 ft Tyderick Barten — single · EV 98 mph · LA -18° · 93 ft Destyn Kittay — single · EV 96 mph · LA +14° · 177 ft Lex McCullough — single · EV 83 mph · LA +11° · 101 ft Harris Shafie — hr · EV 115 mph · LA +48° · 480 ft Nicholas Cunha — single · EV 88 mph · LA -1° · 84 ft Sadiel Mejía — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +41° · 307 ft Donni Mozee — single · EV 100 mph · LA +0° · 95 ft Tyderick Barten — single · EV 80 mph · LA -12° · 76 ft Destyn Kittay — single · EV 88 mph · LA +17° · 172 ft Lex McCullough — fielders_choice · EV 97 mph · LA -5° · 92 ft
Amur-Zaimka Elk — Batted Balls
27 BIP· 9 1B · 8 XBH · 2 HR
319' 396' 347' Wall 14' Daichi Akaho — triple · EV 118 mph · LA +20° · 363 ft José Printezis — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 246 ft Andrei Lutrova — single · EV 84 mph · LA +1° · 80 ft Sergey Mogilevets — double_play · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Coniah Kingov — double · EV 102 mph · LA +21° · 284 ft Rodney Kwiatkowski — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +40° · 165 ft Devonte Willenborgov — single · EV 82 mph · LA -8° · 78 ft José Printezis — single · EV 97 mph · LA +7° · 93 ft Andrei Lutrova — double · EV 98 mph · LA +39° · 378 ft Sergey Mogilevets — single · EV 82 mph · LA +11° · 98 ft Coniah Kingov — line_out · EV 67 mph · LA +26° · 143 ft Rodney Kwiatkowski — single · EV 75 mph · LA +22° · 157 ft Devonte Willenborgov — double · EV 93 mph · LA +40° · 343 ft Daichi Akaho — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +36° · 468 ft José Printezis — single · EV 97 mph · LA +26° · 294 ft Sergey Mogilevets — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +23° · 272 ft Stepan Stevensov — double · EV 106 mph · LA +19° · 274 ft Kyle Bridges — single · EV 99 mph · LA +10° · 138 ft Coniah Kingov — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +10° · 123 ft Rodney Kwiatkowski — single · EV 96 mph · LA +5° · 91 ft Daichi Akaho — single · EV 107 mph · LA +23° · 325 ft José Printezis — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +30° · 352 ft Andrei Lutrova — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +8° · 73 ft Sergey Mogilevets — double · EV 108 mph · LA +21° · 318 ft Devonte Willenborgov — line_out · EV 75 mph · LA +20° · 145 ft José Printezis — fielders_choice · EV 89 mph · LA +9° · 95 ft Andrei Lutrova — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Panevėžys Bottling Co.
58% deserve-to-win  ·  17.5 expected runs
actual 25 runs  ·  +7.5 vs expected
contact: 31.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 36.0 (+4.5 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Harris Shafie 115 / +48° Oppo Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.36
Sadiel Mejía 88 / +41° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Tyderick Barten 97 / +11° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Lex McCullough 88 / +22° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Sadiel Mejía 90 / +18° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Amur-Zaimka Elk
42% deserve-to-win  ·  15.0 expected runs
actual 15 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 30.8 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 35.0 (+4.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 4 CS (-2.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sergey Mogilevets 97 / +23° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
José Printezis 100 / +30° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Daichi Akaho 118 / +20° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.26
Devonte Willenborgov 93 / +40° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Coniah Kingov 94 / +10° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
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