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Valencia Pacific Print Shop 16, Zagreb Miners 5             2046-04-25 · #1125
at The Pavilion
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Valencia               16      0   16   14    0
Zagreb                  3      2    5   12    0

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Toit        lf ......    3   3   2   1   1   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Mueller     ss ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   1   0   0   0  0.667
Werner      c  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bagüí       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Zaccagni    2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
O'Donnell   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Cone        3b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Balogun     rf ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Greinacher  p  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Giuliani    j  ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Baldasso    j  ......    4   2   2   1   1   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Lehmann     j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Totals                  37  16  14   5   2   0  14   6  13   0   0  0.378
  2B: Toit (5), Mueller (9), Werner (1), Baldasso (3), Cone (1).
  3B: Toit (1), Baldasso (1).
  SB: Mueller (2).
  CS: Mueller (6).
  HBP: Greinacher (1).


ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Diouf       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fitzgerald  cf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Larentzakis lf ......    4   1   3   2   1   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.750
Mazza       3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Robinett    ss ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Lovren      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hakimi      2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Saiss       p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   2  0.000
  a-Hartman c  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Burley      j  ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.667
Schulz      j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  32   5  12   4   1   0   4   2   4   0   2  0.375
  2B: Larentzakis 2 (14), Schulz (3), Robinett (3).
  3B: Larentzakis (4).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greinacher (W, 1-0) .    23   16  59%   10    5    5    1    2    0  100    -
Volland (F, 11) .....    11   11  41%    2    0    0    1    2    0   42  2-0

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Saiss (L, 0-1) ......    17    8  30%    8    7    7    2    4    0   59    -
Jelavić .............    14   11  41%    3    3    3    2    5    0   49  1-1
Mazraoui ............    13    8  30%    3    6    2    2    4    0   55  1-1

  Batting order: Zagreb Miners (home) batted second; Valencia Pacific Print Shop batted first.
  Seconds: VPP o24 (16-0), ZM o24 (3-16).
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 83°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 184080.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Karim Mueller Hugo du Toit (2B) 1–0
T 0 Lucas Werner Karim Mueller (2B) 2–0
T 0 Riccardo Giuliani Lucas Werner (2B) 3–0
T 0 Matteo Baldasso Riccardo Giuliani (1B) 4–0
T 3 Cathal O'Donnell Matteo Baldasso (3B) 5–0
T 5 Hugo du Toit Mac Balogun (2B) 6–0
T 5 Hugo du Toit Axel Greinacher (1B) 7–0
T 7 Riccardo Giuliani Hugo du Toit (3B) 8–0
T 7 Matteo Baldasso Riccardo Giuliani (1B) 9–0
T 7 Timo Lehmann Matteo Baldasso (2B) 10–0
T 17 Matteo Baldasso Hugo du Toit (3B) 11–0
T 21 Pablo Cone Jonnie Zaccagni (2B) 12–0
T 21 Mac Balogun Pablo Cone (2B) 13–0
T 22 Karim Mueller Mac Balogun (3B) 14–0
T 22 Karim Mueller Axel Greinacher (2B) 15–0
T 22 Lucas Werner Karim Mueller (3B) 16–0
B 5 Joshua Robinett Toni Fitzgerald (3B) 16–1
B 8 Panagiotis Larentzakis Danilo Schulz (3B) 16–2
B 10 Danilo Schulz Panagiotis Larentzakis (3B) 16–3
seconds_second 0 Mazigh Saiss Mateo Lovren (3B) 16–4
seconds_second 1 Panagiotis Larentzakis Rachid Hakimi (3B) 16–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Pavilion's actual outfield dimensions (LF 396' · CF 403' · RF 258' · 50' wall). Coffin Corner.
Trolley Shed
Valencia Pacific Print Shop — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 7 1B · 7 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Hugo du Toit — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 241 ft Karim Mueller — double · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 224 ft Lucas Werner — double · EV 103 mph · LA +39° · 415 ft Riccardo Giuliani — single · EV 83 mph · LA +6° · 79 ft Matteo Baldasso — triple · EV 109 mph · LA +14° · 215 ft Jonnie Zaccagni — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +27° · 261 ft Pablo Cone — single · EV 111 mph · LA +7° · 105 ft Axel Greinacher — single · EV 89 mph · LA +9° · 97 ft Hugo du Toit — triple · EV 110 mph · LA +18° · 285 ft Riccardo Giuliani — single · EV 95 mph · LA +8° · 91 ft Matteo Baldasso — double · EV 112 mph · LA +23° · 365 ft Timo Lehmann — single · EV 83 mph · LA -13° · 79 ft Lisandro Bagüí — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +19° · 189 ft Pablo Cone — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -2° · 77 ft Karim Mueller — fly_out · EV 85 mph · LA +57° · 265 ft Mac Balogun — error · EV 118 mph · LA +2° · 112 ft Lucas Werner — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -1° · 95 ft Lisandro Bagüí — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +34° · 284 ft Cathal O'Donnell — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +28° · 259 ft Pablo Cone — double · EV 98 mph · LA +18° · 221 ft Karim Mueller — single · EV 88 mph · LA +17° · 171 ft Lucas Werner — single · EV 75 mph · LA +6° · 71 ft Matteo Baldasso — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Timo Lehmann — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +25° · 204 ft
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 7 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Panagiotis Larentzakis — triple · EV 111 mph · LA +23° · 352 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Danilo Schulz — double · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 159 ft Gianluca Mazza — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Joshua Robinett — double · EV 92 mph · LA +38° · 328 ft Rachid Hakimi — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +18° · 151 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — double · EV 104 mph · LA +18° · 251 ft Toni Fitzgerald — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +7° · 81 ft Geoff Burley — single · EV 81 mph · LA +23° · 187 ft Rachid Hakimi — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 140 ft Danilo Schulz — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +29° · 263 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +21° · 228 ft André Hartmann — infield_single · EV 60 mph · LA +2° · 57 ft Vincenzo Diouf — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +20° · 160 ft Gianluca Mazza — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +48° · 356 ft Geoff Burley — infield_single · EV 66 mph · LA +5° · 63 ft Mateo Lovren — single · EV 67 mph · LA +21° · 119 ft Rachid Hakimi — single · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 193 ft Toni Fitzgerald — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Panagiotis Larentzakis — double · EV 97 mph · LA +48° · 375 ft André Hartmann — ground_out · EV 71 mph · LA +7° · 68 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Valencia Pacific Print Shop
66% deserve-to-win  ·  12.8 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +3.2 vs expected
contact: 20.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 23.0 (+2.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Matteo Baldasso 109 / +14° Oppo Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.60
Hugo du Toit 110 / +18° Pull Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.30
Lisandro Bagüí 88 / +19° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Jonnie Zaccagni 90 / +27° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Cathal O'Donnell 88 / +28° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Zagreb Miners
34% deserve-to-win  ·  9.2 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -4.2 vs expected
contact: 16.6 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (+1.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Panagiotis Larentzakis 111 / +23° Oppo Triple 1.7 → 3 +1.30
Gianluca Mazza 95 / +48° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Panagiotis Larentzakis 93 / +21° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Joshua Robinett 92 / +38° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
André Hartmann 60 / +2° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
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