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Belgrade Beisbol Klub 13, Prague Boars 8                    2046-04-25 · #1127
at Coffin Grounds
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Prague                  8      0    8    9    0
Belgrade               13      0   13   11    1

PRAGUE BOARS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Gülich      ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   1   0  0.333
Tabak       p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   1  0.000
Fagioli     lf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Barišić     1b ......    2   2   2   1   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Calathes    cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Mounkoro    3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Longo       c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Buffon  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Moukoko     rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  b-Mejia   c  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Anyomi  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Charist ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jenyat      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   1  0.000
Bella-Kotch j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  29   8   9   4   0   1   8   3  10   1   2  0.310
  2B: Mejia (1), Barišić (5), Calathes (4), Longo (2).
  HR: Barišić (1), off Reyes.
  CS: Gülich (4).
  HBP: Barišić (1).
  GIDP: Tabak (1).
  Squeeze: Jenyat (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Longo in the 5th.
  b-Entered at C in the 8th.
  c-Struck out for Bella-Kotchap in the 7th.
  d-Struck out in the 8th.

BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Rossi       lf ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   5   0   2   0   0  0.500
Akpınar     ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Bhatti      3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Schwarz     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
González    2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gosens      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Popp        cf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Dupont      c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Reyes       p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Gaye        j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Magee       j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   1   3   1   1   0   0  0.333
Vukojević   j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  34  13  11   2   0   2  13   3  14   0   0  0.324
  2B: Bhatti (9), Reyes (1).
  HR: Rossi (1), off Bobadilla; Magee (2), off Boudaoui.
  SB: Popp 2 (2).
  CS: Bhatti (3).
  E: Schwarz (1).
  HBP: Bhatti (1), Schwarz (2).


PRAGUE BOARS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tabak ...............    10    6  22%    3    3    3    1    4    0   41    -
Bobadilla (L, 0-4) ..     4    2   7%    1    4    4    1    1    1   16  1-1
Boudaoui ............    12   10  37%    2    4    3    0    7    1   61  1-1
Sontag ..............    10    9  33%    2    2    1    1    2    0   39  1-1

BELGRADE BEISBOL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Reyes ...............    15   11  41%    6    6    1    2    3    1   50    -
Kop (W, 1-0) ........    16   13  48%    3    1    1    1    7    0   50  1-0
Beier ...............     2    3  11%    0    1    1    0    0    0   12  3-1

  Batting order: Belgrade Beisbol Klub (home) batted first; Prague Boars batted second.
  Seconds: PB1 o26 (8-13), BB3 o26 (13-0).
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 56°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 443384.
  Walk-Back runs: off Boudaoui 1, off Sontag 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Bruno Magee Victor Gaye (3B) 0–1
B 4 Niklas Popp Serge Akpınar (3B) 0–2
B 4 Niklas Popp Azam Bhatti (2B) 0–3
B 7 Álvaro De Rossi Niklas Popp (3B) 0–4
B 7 Álvaro De Rossi Suad Vukojević (2B) 0–5
B 7 Álvaro De Rossi Suad Vukojević (2B) 0–6
B 7 Álvaro De Rossi Álvaro De Rossi (HR) 0–7
B 13 Niklas Popp Álvaro De Rossi (3B) 0–8
B 17 Álvaro De Rossi Alexander Dupont (3B) 0–9
B 17 Bruno Magee Álvaro De Rossi (1B) 0–10
B 17 Bruno Magee Bruno Magee (HR) 0–11
B 18 Azam Bhatti Bruno Magee (3B) 0–12
B 24 Ketel Reyes Niklas Popp (2B) 0–13
T 1 Ivica Barišić Ivica Barišić (HR) 1–13
T 7 Oliver Tabak Niclas Bella-Kotchap (3B) 2–13
T 8 Carlo Fagioli Keldric Mejia (3B) 3–13
T 8 Peter Gülich Alexander Moukoko (3B) 4–13
T 8 Peter Gülich Carlo Fagioli (2B) 5–13
T 8 Wajdi Jenyat Ivica Barišić (3B) 6–13
T 16 Ivica Barišić Dramane Mounkoro (3B) 7–13
T 23 Oliver Tabak Benedetto Buffon (3B) 8–13
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Coffin Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 318' · CF 445' · RF 344' · 22' wall). Center-Field Triangle.
Prague Boars — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
318' 445' 344' Wall 22' Ivica Barišić — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +31° · 423 ft Wajdi Jenyat — error · EV 66 mph · LA -10° · 63 ft Peter Gülich — fielders_choice · EV 87 mph · LA +9° · 91 ft Sokratis Calathes — double · EV 92 mph · LA +42° · 337 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — single · EV 76 mph · LA -16° · 72 ft Keldric Mejia — double · EV 93 mph · LA +22° · 242 ft Dramane Mounkoro — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 149 ft Carlo Fagioli — single · EV 77 mph · LA +26° · 188 ft Peter Gülich — error · EV 63 mph · LA +15° · 77 ft Niclas Bella-Kotchap — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA -7° · 58 ft Keldric Mejia — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -14° · 57 ft Dramane Mounkoro — single · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 119 ft Edoardo Longo — double · EV 98 mph · LA +19° · 238 ft Ivica Barišić — double · EV 97 mph · LA +42° · 377 ft Oliver Tabak — double_play · EV 70 mph · LA +3° · 67 ft Wajdi Jenyat — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Peter Gülich — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +24° · 234 ft Carlo Fagioli — fielders_choice · EV 91 mph · LA -2° · 86 ft
Belgrade Beisbol Klub — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 2 HR
318' 445' 344' Wall 22' Victor Gaye — single · EV 97 mph · LA +17° · 213 ft Serge Akpınar — single · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Niklas Popp — single · EV 94 mph · LA -4° · 89 ft Ketel Reyes — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 181 ft Álvaro De Rossi — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +31° · 354 ft Niklas Popp — fly_out · EV 77 mph · LA +29° · 200 ft Bruno Magee — hr · EV 99 mph · LA +44° · 395 ft Azam Bhatti — double · EV 86 mph · LA +27° · 241 ft Ketel Reyes — double · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 283 ft Álvaro De Rossi — single · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 201 ft Ricardo González — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA -4° · 89 ft Isaac Gosens — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 128 ft Alexander Dupont — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +11° · 133 ft Bruno Magee — ground_out · EV 98 mph · LA -15° · 93 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Prague Boars
48% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +1.8 vs expected
contact: 13.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+3.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ivica Barišić 109 / +31° Center Home Run 2.3 → 4 +1.66
Keldric Mejia 93 / +22° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Carlo Fagioli 77 / +26° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Peter Gülich 88 / +24° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Sokratis Calathes 92 / +42° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Belgrade Beisbol Klub
52% deserve-to-win  ·  6.6 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  +6.4 vs expected
contact: 12.5 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+3.5 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Álvaro De Rossi 100 / +31° Oppo Home Run 1.4 → 4 +2.57
Bruno Magee 99 / +44° Pull Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.05
Azam Bhatti 86 / +27° Center Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Isaac Gosens 98 / +10° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Ketel Reyes 92 / +16° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
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