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Brasília Stevedores 16, Salvador BC 14                      2046-04-25 · #1128
at Spite Hyyrynen Grounds
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                        1    R    H    E
Salvador               14   14   17    0
Brasília               16   16   10    0

SALVADOR BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Soto        ss ......    3   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     c  ......    5   1   3   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.600
Barros      1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.250
Bautista    p  ......    5   1   3   1   0   0   3   0   1   1   0  0.600
Solano      lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Marte   ph ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Ynoa        3b ......    5   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.600
Almeida     rf ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Peña        2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Sosa        cf ......    4   2   2   0   0   1   2   0   2   0   0  0.500
Almonte     j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  37  14  17   3   0   1  13   5   7   1   0  0.459
  2B: Cabrera (7), Bautista (3), Ynoa (8).
  HR: Sosa (2), off García.
  SB: Marte (5), Almonte (3).
  CS: Ynoa (1).
  HBP: Marte (4).
  GIDP: Ynoa (2).
  a-Batted for Solano in the 3rd.

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Adames      3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Delgado     1b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Gustavo ph ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Encarnación c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Marx        ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Ferreira    p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Arángui pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Martine 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Watanab ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Kobayas lf ......    2   2   2   0   0   1   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
  f-García  cf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  g-Ramírez pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Cruz    ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  i-Geraldo pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  j-Ramón   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Guerra  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Cabrera     j  ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Saprissa    j  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Polanco     j  ......    2   3   2   0   0   1   3   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  21  16  10   4   0   3  16   5   3   0   1  0.476
  2B: Cabrera 2 (7), Saprissa (9), García (2).
  HR: Kobayashi-Ferreira (3), off Valdez; Gustavo (3), off Sagredo; Polanco (4), off Bautista.
  SB: Ramírez (3).
  CS: Kobayashi-Ferreira (2).
  HBP: Delgado (2), Ferreira (1).
  GIDP: Cabrera (4).
  a-Homered for Delgado in the 3rd.
  b-Ran for Ferreira in the 4th.
  c-Entered at 3B in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at SS in the 3rd.
  e-Entered at LF in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at CF in the 8th.
  g-Ran for Watanabe-Santos in the 3rd.
  h-Walked for García in the 3rd.
  i-Ran for Cruz in the 3rd.
  j-Grounded out in the 4th.
  k-Ran in the 5th.

SALVADOR BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bautista (L, 3-1) ...    17    8  30%    7    9    9    1    1    1   73    -
Sagredo .............     5    2   7%    2    5    3    2    1    1   13  1-1
Valdez ..............     6    5  19%    1    2    2    2    1    1   20  1-0

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Ferreira ............    11    6  22%    4    2    2    1    4    0   42    -
Genovese ............     6    4  15%    2    3    3    1    0    0   20  3-2
García ..............     6    2   7%    4    6    5    1    0    1   28  2-2
Báez ................    11    6  22%    4    3    3    1    2    0   37  1-1
Maluf (W, 1-0) ......     9    9  33%    3    0    0    1    1    0   25  2-0

  Batting order: Brasília Stevedores (home) batted second; Salvador BC batted first.
  First pitch 7:05 PM. Weather: 79°F · Wind cross · Overcast · Humid. seed 387182.
  Walk-Back runs: off Sagredo 2, off García 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 4 Marquinhos Almeida Fernando Solano (3B) 1–0
T 6 Adrián Cabrera Starlin Ynoa (3B) 2–0
T 6 Adrien Barros Marquinhos Almeida (3B) 3–0
T 7 Wander Marte Andrés Soto (3B) 4–0
T 10 Marquinhos Almeida Adrien Barros (3B) 5–0
T 10 Edwin Peña Wander Almonte (3B) 6–0
T 11 Domingo Sosa Marquinhos Almeida (2B) 7–0
T 11 Domingo Sosa Domingo Sosa (HR) 8–0
T 11 Adrien Barros Andrés Soto (2B) 9–0
T 12 Robinson Bautista Domingo Sosa (3B) 10–0
T 12 Robinson Bautista Adrián Cabrera (3B) 11–0
T 12 Starlin Ynoa Robinson Bautista (2B) 12–0
T 18 Robinson Bautista Wander Marte (3B) 13–0
T 18 Starlin Ynoa Starlin Ynoa (3B) 14–0
B 4 Joaquín Saprissa Robinson Polanco (3B) 14–1
B 4 Joaquín Saprissa Junior Cabrera (2B) 14–2
B 4 Bill García Joaquín Saprissa (2B) 14–3
B 6 Igor Watanabe-Santos Jean Delgado (3B) 14–4
B 6 Igor Watanabe-Santos Bill García (2B) 14–5
B 7 Manny Adames Julian Ferreira (3B) 14–6
B 8 Robinson Polanco Edwin Ramírez (3B) 14–7
B 8 Robinson Polanco Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira (1B) 14–8
B 8 Robinson Polanco Robinson Polanco (HR) 14–9
B 8 Junior Cabrera Robinson Polanco (3B) 14–10
B 8 Renato Gustavo Junior Cabrera (2B) 14–11
B 8 Renato Gustavo Joaquín Saprissa (1B) 14–12
B 8 Renato Gustavo Renato Gustavo (HR) 14–13
B 9 Eugene Marx Renato Gustavo (3B) 14–14
B 15 Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira Wilmer Guerra (2B) 14–15
B 15 Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira (HR) 14–16
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Spite Hyyrynen Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 336' · CF 392' · RF 327' · 33' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Salvador BC — Batted Balls
29 BIP· 13 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Andrés Soto — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +25° · 196 ft Adrien Barros — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 138 ft Fernando Solano — single · EV 65 mph · LA +14° · 77 ft Starlin Ynoa — single · EV 64 mph · LA +15° · 81 ft Marquinhos Almeida — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 118 ft Wander Almonte — single · EV 93 mph · LA +9° · 111 ft Wander Marte — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Adrián Cabrera — single · EV 92 mph · LA +13° · 153 ft Starlin Ynoa — double_play · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 78 ft Marquinhos Almeida — single · EV 81 mph · LA +8° · 77 ft Edwin Peña — line_out · EV 72 mph · LA +12° · 85 ft Domingo Sosa — hr · EV 104 mph · LA +48° · 433 ft Adrien Barros — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 307 ft Andrés Soto — fly_out · EV 66 mph · LA +34° · 160 ft Adrián Cabrera — single · EV 103 mph · LA +31° · 380 ft Robinson Bautista — single · EV 94 mph · LA +16° · 185 ft Starlin Ynoa — double · EV 90 mph · LA +36° · 309 ft Adrien Barros — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +19° · 226 ft Andrés Soto — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +14° · 191 ft Robinson Bautista — double · EV 95 mph · LA +13° · 155 ft Adrián Cabrera — line_out · EV 103 mph · LA +14° · 200 ft Robinson Bautista — infield_single · EV 69 mph · LA +4° · 65 ft Starlin Ynoa — single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 84 ft Marquinhos Almeida — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +47° · 231 ft Domingo Sosa — single · EV 86 mph · LA +22° · 206 ft Adrien Barros — single · EV 86 mph · LA +21° · 202 ft Adrián Cabrera — double · EV 104 mph · LA +21° · 291 ft Robinson Bautista — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +0° · 90 ft Starlin Ynoa — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +55° · 333 ft
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 3 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Igor Watanabe-Santos — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +42° · 348 ft Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira — single · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 260 ft Léonardo Martinelli — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA +9° · 112 ft Robinson Polanco — single · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 250 ft Junior Cabrera — double · EV 110 mph · LA +26° · 377 ft Joaquín Saprissa — double · EV 105 mph · LA +21° · 293 ft Bill García — double · EV 91 mph · LA +38° · 321 ft Renato Gustavo — hr · EV 108 mph · LA +46° · 471 ft Fernando Ramón — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 224 ft Igor Watanabe-Santos — single · EV 95 mph · LA +12° · 151 ft Manny Adames — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +52° · 387 ft Robinson Polanco — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +30° · 408 ft Junior Cabrera — double · EV 96 mph · LA +32° · 327 ft Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +39° · 429 ft Junior Cabrera — double_play · EV 85 mph · LA -8° · 81 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Salvador BC
50% deserve-to-win  ·  14.0 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  as expected
contact: 22.1 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 23.0 (+0.9 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 1 CS (-0.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Domingo Sosa 104 / +48° Pull Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.82
Adrien Barros 100 / +25° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Adrien Barros 96 / +19° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Adrien Barros 100 / +10° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Adrián Cabrera 103 / +14° Center Out 1.3 → 0 -1.26
Brasília Stevedores
50% deserve-to-win  ·  13.8 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +2.2 vs expected
contact: 22.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 23.0 (+0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Robinson Polanco 109 / +30° Center Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.65
Igor Watanabe-Santos 94 / +42° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Léonardo Martinelli 97 / +9° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Bill García 91 / +38° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira 105 / +39° Oppo Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
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