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Mbarara Hounds 6, Kaechon Tornados 5                        2046-04-25 · #1129
at Budiman Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Mbarara                 6    6    5    0
Kaechon                 5    5    4    0

MBARARA HOUNDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lindsay     2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Torreira    1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kennedy     c  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Robinette   ss ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Christenson lf ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Kagawa      rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1   .000
Mueller     cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Betsa       p  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  a-Stearns c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Jones       j  ......    0   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   1   0   .000
Eaton       j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                   9   6   5   2   0   1   5   2   1   1   1  0.556
  2B: Eaton (15), Robinette (2).
  HR: Kennedy (4), off Gerald.
  HBP: Betsa (1).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

KAECHON TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Graterol    cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  1.000
Kallman     rf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
Coffel      2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Arráez      lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   1  0.000
Ahmed       1b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Kamara      3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Fourqurean  ss ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   .000
Frías       c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Gerald      p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Lakshman    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Howell      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.000
Scola       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  23   5   4   2   0   0   5   8  10   0   2  0.174
  2B: Graterol (3), Scola (2).
  GIDP: Scola (1).


MBARARA HOUNDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Betsa (W, 2-1) ......    31   27 100%    4    5    5    8   10    0  112    -

KAECHON TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gerald (L, 0-1) .....    12    7  26%    5    6    5    2    1    1   55    -

  Batting order: Kaechon Tornados (home) batted first; Mbarara Hounds batted second.
  First pitch 7:35 PM. Weather: 62°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 528223.
  Walk-Back runs: off Gerald 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Mayer Scola Sandesh Lakshman (1B) 0–1
B 9 Sandesh Lakshman Mayer Scola (3B) 0–2
B 13 Ramonz Howell Strong Fourqurean (3B) 0–3
B 16 Karl-Anthony Frías Turner Ahmed (2B) 0–4
B 18 Carl Kallman Carl Kallman (3B) 0–5
T 3 Sven Kennedy Sven Kennedy (HR) 1–5
T 3 Sion Jones Sven Kennedy (3B) 2–5
T 3 Diehl Christenson Sion Jones (3B) 3–5
T 3 Hajime Kagawa Derrick Robinette (3B) 4–5
T 7 Sion Jones Diehl Christenson (3B) 5–5
T 7 Sion Jones Graydon Betsa (2B) 6–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Budiman Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 321' · CF 391' · RF 342' · 31' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Mbarara Hounds — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Hal Eaton — double · EV 93 mph · LA +16° · 188 ft Armando Torreira — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +3° · 69 ft Sven Kennedy — hr · EV 111 mph · LA +43° · 480 ft Derrick Robinette — double · EV 114 mph · LA +14° · 254 ft Diehl Christenson — single · EV 84 mph · LA +24° · 213 ft Sion Jones — single · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 188 ft Hal Eaton — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +28° · 346 ft
Kaechon Tornados — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 2 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Víctor Graterol — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 213 ft Carl Kallman — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA +6° · 60 ft Sandesh Lakshman — single · EV 82 mph · LA +25° · 208 ft Mayer Scola — double · EV 94 mph · LA +46° · 351 ft Karl-Anthony Frías — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +3° · 81 ft Sandesh Lakshman — fielders_choice · EV 95 mph · LA +8° · 90 ft Mayer Scola — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 152 ft Ramonz Howell — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 145 ft Turner Ahmed — single · EV 71 mph · LA +16° · 108 ft Sandesh Lakshman — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +30° · 318 ft Mayer Scola — double_play · EV 67 mph · LA +12° · 74 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Mbarara Hounds
48% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 8.6 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+1.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Hal Eaton 102 / +28° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Hal Eaton 93 / +16° Oppo Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Sion Jones 78 / +25° Center Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Diehl Christenson 84 / +24° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Derrick Robinette 114 / +14° Center Double 1.5 → 2 +0.47
Kaechon Tornados
52% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.0 vs expected
contact: 7.0 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-1.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sandesh Lakshman 96 / +30° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Víctor Graterol 92 / +20° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Mayer Scola 94 / +46° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Sandesh Lakshman 82 / +25° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Mayer Scola 76 / +20° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
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