==============================================================================
Esso BK 4, Gannibal Stevedores 3                            2046-04-25 · #1141
at Ranga Park
==============================================================================

                        1    R    H    E
Gannibal                3    3    3    0
Esso                    4    4    6    0

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Hydrickov   2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Abasirin    ss ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Lukusov     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Keenumov    lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Shaffer pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Dementieva  3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Townsendov  1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gu          rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Stewartov   cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Carruth     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Trapp       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Zaytseva    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Ornstein    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   3   3   0   0   0   1   4   5   0   0  0.111
  SB: Zaytseva (3).
  CS: Hydrickov (2), Gu (2).
  GIDP: Lukusov (1).
  a-Ran for Keenumov in the 6th.

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valiev      2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Tymoshenko  3b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Chappell    ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gerardin    p  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  1.000
Agafonov    rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Buster  pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Allen       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Azzopardi   cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Kulikova    lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Bardina c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Fomin       j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Twedtov     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  20   4   6   2   0   0   3   3   7   1   1  0.300
  2B: Tymoshenko (1), Fomin (6).
  SB: Azzopardi 2 (7).
  Squeeze: Chappell.
  a-Ran for Agafonov in the 5th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Carruth .............    12   11  41%    2    2    2    2    6    0   48    -
Halvorsen (L, 0-2) ..    10    7  26%    4    2    2    1    1    0   25  1-1

ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Gerardin (W, 3-1) ...    31   27 100%    3    3    3    4    5    0  111    -

  Batting order: Esso BK (home) batted second; Gannibal Stevedores batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 61°F · Wind out · Clear · Heavy rain · Humid. seed 429869.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 7 Rostya Townsendov Donni Keenumov (3B) 1–0
T 16 Kevon Ornstein Javain Shaffer (3B) 2–0
T 19 Jaime Stewartov Aleksei Zaytseva (3B) 3–0
B 8 Johan Gerardin Andrea Azzopardi (3B) 3–1
B 10 Charles Allen Aslan Kulikova (3B) 3–2
B 11 Lev Bardina Kostiantyn Tymoshenko (3B) 3–3
B 18 Kostiantyn Tymoshenko Johan Gerardin (2B) 3–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ranga Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 425' · RF 275' · 9' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Gannibal Stevedores — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 3 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
343' 425' 275' Tommy Hydrickov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 113 ft Morris Abasirin — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +41° · 335 ft Daniel Trapp — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 227 ft Donni Keenumov — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -1° · 49 ft Vasili Dementieva — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Kevon Ornstein — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 75 ft Rostya Townsendov — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +32° · 315 ft Hyun-bin Gu — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Jaime Stewartov — ground_out · EV 53 mph · LA -12° · 51 ft Javain Shaffer — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +28° · 282 ft Tommy Hydrickov — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 229 ft Morris Abasirin — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +33° · 212 ft Hunter Lukusov — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 162 ft Daniel Trapp — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Vasili Dementieva — single · EV 79 mph · LA +0° · 75 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 102 ft Kevon Ornstein — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -14° · 49 ft Davison Carruth — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 192 ft Morris Abasirin — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +0° · 66 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 146 ft
Esso BK — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 4 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
343' 425' 275' Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +28° · 211 ft Karen Agafonov — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -7° · 60 ft Andrea Azzopardi — error · EV 79 mph · LA +23° · 180 ft Johan Gerardin — single · EV 81 mph · LA +12° · 110 ft Aslan Kulikova — fly_out · EV 89 mph · LA +32° · 287 ft Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — double · EV 90 mph · LA +22° · 227 ft Lev Bardina — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +31° · 275 ft Vadim Fomin — double · EV 104 mph · LA +43° · 429 ft Andrea Azzopardi — fly_out · EV 93 mph · LA +38° · 333 ft Joey Chappell — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +12° · 144 ft Johan Gerardin — single · EV 98 mph · LA +9° · 121 ft Semyon Valiev — single · EV 91 mph · LA +13° · 145 ft Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — single · EV 85 mph · LA +12° · 119 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Gannibal Stevedores
25% deserve-to-win  ·  4.2 expected runs
actual 3 runs  ·  -1.2 vs expected
contact: 8.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 3.0 (-5.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Morris Abasirin 92 / +41° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Rostya Townsendov 93 / +32° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Tommy Hydrickov 92 / +21° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Javain Shaffer 92 / +28° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Vasili Dementieva 79 / +0° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Esso BK
75% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -3.3 vs expected
contact: 11.4 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 8.0 (-3.4 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andrea Azzopardi 93 / +38° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Kostiantyn Tymoshenko 90 / +22° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Joey Chappell 95 / +12° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Lev Bardina 88 / +31° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Aslan Kulikova 89 / +32° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →