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Sapporo Sentinels 16, Bridgetown Royal Provisioners 7       2046-04-25 · #1142
at Billa Grounds
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Sapporo                13      3   16   18    0
Bridgetown              7      0    7    9    0

SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Limar       lf ......    3   3   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.667
Kinsler     3b ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bricka      p  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
Amrouche    ss ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.500
Barros      2b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.333
  a-Pérez   lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
López       cf ......    4   1   3   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
Harbour     rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
O'Connell   c  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Yochum      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ludloff     j  ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.500
Arias       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Yu          j  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  37  16  18   3   0   0  13   7   8   0   0  0.486
  2B: Arias (3), Yu (3), Pérez (1).
  SB: Kinsler 2 (2), O'Connell (2).
  CS: O'Connell (2).
  HBP: Yochum (1).
  GIDP: Arias (1), Yu (3).
  GITP: Limar (1).
  a-Replaced Barros at LF in the 7th.

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cardona     c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Ramón       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Moulton     rf ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Castrovilli lf ......    4   0   3   2   0   0   3   0   2   1   0  0.750
McKinzie    cf ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Lai         1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Germán      3b ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Onoh        p  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   1  1.000
  a-Ramón   2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Ison        j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  25   7   9   3   0   0   7   9   9   2   1  0.360
  2B: Moulton (10), Castrovilli 2 (13).
  CS: Ramón (5), Castrovilli (2).
  HBP: Moulton (3), Ison (2).
  GIDP: Cardona (2), Moulton (1), McKinzie (1).
  a-Entered at 2B in the 7th.

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bricka (W, 2-2) .....    32   24  89%    8    6    6    8    9    0  138    -
Cranis ..............     4    3  11%    1    1    1    1    0    0   20  2-1

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Onoh (L, 1-2) .......    32   17  63%   14   12   12    5    4    0   95    -
Magull ..............    13   10  37%    4    4    4    2    4    0   55  3-3

  Batting order: Bridgetown Royal Provisioners (home) batted second; Sapporo Sentinels batted first.
  Seconds: SS2 o26 (13-0), BRP o26 (7-13).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 82°F · Wind out · Clear · Light rain · Humid. seed 373089.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 2 Sidney Bricka Maciek Limar (3B) 1–0
T 2 Remington Barros Basil Arias (3B) 2–0
T 2 Remington Barros Sidney Bricka (2B) 3–0
T 5 Sam O'Connell Augustine Amrouche (3B) 4–0
T 6 Maciek Limar Remington Barros (3B) 5–0
T 7 Ryan Kinsler Maciek Limar (3B) 6–0
T 16 Ryan Kinsler Remington Barros (3B) 7–0
T 16 Ryan Kinsler Sam O'Connell (2B) 8–0
T 16 Augustine Amrouche Maciek Limar (3B) 9–0
T 17 Yunior López Ryan Kinsler (3B) 10–0
T 17 Yunior López Sidney Bricka (2B) 11–0
T 17 Damion Ludloff Augustine Amrouche (3B) 12–0
T 25 Ryan Kinsler Yunior López (3B) 13–0
B 6 Pete Onoh Basil McKinzie (3B) 13–1
B 7 Bryan Castrovilli Martín Cardona (3B) 13–2
B 7 Bryan Castrovilli Zhiqiang Lai (3B) 13–3
B 14 Pete Onoh Albert Germán (2B) 13–4
B 20 Clifford Ison Guerby Moulton (3B) 13–5
B 23 Bryan Castrovilli Basil McKinzie (3B) 13–6
B 23 Guerby Moulton Pete Onoh (3B) 13–7
seconds_first 0 Carlos Pérez Song Yu (2B) 14–7
seconds_first 0 Carlos Pérez Augustine Amrouche (1B) 15–7
seconds_first 0 Yunior López Carlos Pérez (2B) 16–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Billa Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 376' · CF 430' · RF 379' · 5' wall). Oval — Cricket-Ground Revival.
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
29 BIP· 15 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
376' 430' 379' Maciek Limar — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 210 ft Basil Arias — double · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 141 ft Sidney Bricka — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 149 ft Remington Barros — single · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 107 ft Yunior López — single · EV 92 mph · LA +24° · 248 ft Song Yu — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Sam O'Connell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 160 ft Marcos Yochum — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 187 ft Augustine Amrouche — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Carlos Pérez — double · EV 116 mph · LA +11° · 204 ft Maciek Limar — single · EV 78 mph · LA +24° · 180 ft Damion Ludloff — single · EV 76 mph · LA -7° · 72 ft Ryan Kinsler — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 166 ft Basil Arias — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Remington Barros — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Yunior López — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -20° · 72 ft Song Yu — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 237 ft Sam O'Connell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 104 ft Marcos Yochum — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Augustine Amrouche — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 98 ft Sidney Bricka — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +40° · 352 ft Ryan Kinsler — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Yunior López — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Damion Ludloff — single · EV 76 mph · LA -21° · 72 ft Song Yu — single · EV 76 mph · LA +22° · 159 ft Maciek Limar — triple_play · EV 64 mph · LA -2° · 61 ft Ryan Kinsler — single · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 185 ft Song Yu — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 205 ft Yunior López — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 126 ft
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 6 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
376' 430' 379' Guerby Moulton — double_play · EV 63 mph · LA +7° · 60 ft Martín Cardona — single · EV 105 mph · LA +2° · 100 ft Pete Onoh — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -24° · 55 ft Bryan Castrovilli — single · EV 95 mph · LA +17° · 204 ft Martín Cardona — double_play · EV 84 mph · LA +8° · 77 ft Guerby Moulton — double · EV 93 mph · LA +29° · 295 ft Zhiqiang Lai — single · EV 82 mph · LA +6° · 77 ft Néstor Ramón — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 150 ft Pete Onoh — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Basil McKinzie — double_play · EV 78 mph · LA -21° · 74 ft Bryan Castrovilli — double · EV 105 mph · LA +17° · 251 ft Pete Onoh — single · EV 66 mph · LA -13° · 63 ft Martín Cardona — fly_out · EV 81 mph · LA +39° · 255 ft Guerby Moulton — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 165 ft Bryan Castrovilli — double · EV 112 mph · LA +18° · 295 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Sapporo Sentinels
76% deserve-to-win  ·  13.6 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +2.4 vs expected
contact: 17.5 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (+3.5 on contact)
running: 3 SB · 1 CS (-0.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Basil Arias 92 / +12° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Sidney Bricka 94 / +40° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Song Yu 92 / +22° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.01
Damion Ludloff 76 / -21° Pull Single 0.2 → 1 +0.75
Song Yu 100 / +15° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners
24% deserve-to-win  ·  7.6 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -0.6 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+2.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Guerby Moulton 93 / +29° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Pete Onoh 66 / -13° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Pete Onoh 76 / +6° Center Stay 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Martín Cardona 84 / +8° Pull Double Play 0.6 → 0 -0.62
Zhiqiang Lai 82 / +6° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
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