==============================================================================
Tynda Police 11, Barquisimeto Grocery 6                     2046-04-26 · #1170
at Twilight Field
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Barquisimeto            6      0    6    9    0
Tynda                  11      0   11    8    1

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Echternach  3b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Solano      1b ......    3   2   3   2   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Salas       ss ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sandoval    2b ......    2   0   2   2   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Nemoto      lf ......    2   0   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.500
O'Meara     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Liebsack    rf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Santamaria  p  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Sulfste ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Bautist 2b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Heslip      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Concepción  j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   9   6   0   0   5   5   8   1   0  0.321
  2B: Solano 2 (7), Sandoval 2 (7), Nemoto (4), Santamaria (1).
  HBP: Heslip (4).
  GIDP: Salas (1).
  a-Grounded out for Santamaria in the 9th.
  b-Entered at 2B in the 7th.

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Keramidas   3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Kukushkin   ss ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   3   1   2   0   0  0.333
Wrightov    rf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   4   0   0  0.000
Komatsu     lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Han     pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Cherkasov   1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Chernov pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
LaFleurov   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Iakovlev    p  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.667
  c-Ding    ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Matviye ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Daly    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  f-Lykina  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Dōan    ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Jonesov ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Derepas ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Nelson      j  ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Aoki        j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  33  11   8   2   0   1   8   4  16   0   0  0.242
  2B: Matviyenko (4), Iakovlev (1).
  HR: Kukushkin (4), off Montero.
  E: Han (2).
  HBP: Aoki (4).
  a-Ran for Komatsu in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Cherkasov in the 2nd.
  c-Struck out in the 2nd.
  d-Doubled in the 2nd.
  e-Ran for Matviyenko in the 4th.
  f-Batted for Chernov in the 4th.
  g-Batted for Ding in the 4th.
  h-Batted for Daly in the 5th.
  i-Replaced Han at SS in the 7th.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Santamaria ..........    11    7  26%    4    2    2    1    3    0   46    -
Sabin ...............     8    5  19%    1    2    2    2    3    0   34  2-1
Montero (L, 0-2) ....     7    5  19%    2    5    5    0    3    1   32  3-3
Cabrera .............    12   10  37%    1    2    2    1    7    0   42  1-1

TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Iakovlev ............    12   11  41%    4    1    1    1    4    0   43    -
Kuzyayev ............     7    3  11%    2    3    2    2    1    0   38  1-1
Karavayev (W, 2-1) ..    14   13  48%    3    2    2    2    3    0   60  2-0

  Batting order: Tynda Police (home) batted first; Barquisimeto Grocery batted second.
  Seconds: BG o25 (6-11), TP1 o25 (11-0).
  First pitch 7:05 PM YAKT. Weather: 62°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 298068.
  Walk-Back runs: off Cabrera 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Denys Matviyenko Roman Kukushkin (3B) 0–1
B 5 Denys Matviyenko Aleksandr Chernov (2B) 0–2
B 6 Fyodor Iakovlev Shozo Aoki (3B) 0–3
B 10 Shozo Aoki Nick Daly (3B) 0–4
B 14 Fyodor Iakovlev Fyodor Iakovlev (3B) 0–5
B 15 Roman Kukushkin Josiah Nelson (3B) 0–6
B 15 Roman Kukushkin Shozo Aoki (3B) 0–7
B 15 Roman Kukushkin Fyodor Iakovlev (2B) 0–8
B 15 Roman Kukushkin Roman Kukushkin (HR) 0–9
B 21 Egan LaFleurov Roman Kukushkin (3B) 0–10
B 24 Fiske Wrightov Josiah Nelson (3B) 0–11
T 3 Rómulo Sandoval Yandy Solano (2B) 1–11
T 11 Yangervis Salas Gregg Santamaria (3B) 2–11
T 11 Rómulo Sandoval Yandy Solano (3B) 3–11
T 11 Darwin O'Meara Yangervis Salas (3B) 4–11
T 18 Yandy Solano Clarence Liebsack (2B) 5–11
T 19 Riku Nemoto Tally Heslip (3B) 6–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Twilight Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 270' · CF 419' · RF 319' · 28' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Hand-Operated Scoreboard Tal's Hill
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 3 1B · 6 XBH · 0 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Juan Bautista — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA -0° · 75 ft Yandy Solano — single · EV 97 mph · LA -11° · 92 ft Yangervis Salas — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -17° · 56 ft Rómulo Sandoval — double · EV 94 mph · LA +32° · 319 ft Riku Nemoto — double · EV 95 mph · LA +11° · 132 ft Clarence Liebsack — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +50° · 266 ft Gregg Santamaria — double · EV 92 mph · LA +15° · 171 ft Juan Bautista — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -5° · 78 ft Yandy Solano — double · EV 89 mph · LA +15° · 159 ft Rómulo Sandoval — double · EV 89 mph · LA +28° · 263 ft Darwin O'Meara — error · EV 68 mph · LA +2° · 65 ft Xadavien Echternach — ground_out · EV 90 mph · LA +4° · 86 ft Yangervis Salas — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +4° · 49 ft Riku Nemoto — single · EV 84 mph · LA +8° · 79 ft Clarence Liebsack — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA -5° · 54 ft Riku Nemoto — single · EV 85 mph · LA -7° · 81 ft Juan Bautista — fly_out · EV 63 mph · LA +40° · 156 ft Yandy Solano — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 304 ft Xadavien Echternach — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +3° · 90 ft
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
14 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
270' 419' 319' Wall 28' Panagiotis Keramidas — single · EV 100 mph · LA +21° · 262 ft Yūto Komatsu — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 182 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA +2° · 73 ft Denys Matviyenko — double · EV 98 mph · LA +19° · 232 ft Fyodor Iakovlev — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 323 ft Shozo Aoki — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Fyodor Iakovlev — single · EV 62 mph · LA +18° · 90 ft Roman Kukushkin — hr · EV 97 mph · LA +48° · 374 ft Josiah Nelson — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 107 ft Roman Lykina — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +46° · 231 ft Yoshihito Dōan — fly_out · EV 57 mph · LA +28° · 107 ft Shozo Aoki — single · EV 78 mph · LA +4° · 74 ft Panagiotis Keramidas — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +34° · 208 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -14° · 74 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Barquisimeto Grocery
67% deserve-to-win  ·  6.4 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.4 vs expected
contact: 8.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+6.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Rómulo Sandoval 89 / +28° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Yandy Solano 92 / +32° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Riku Nemoto 95 / +11° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Gregg Santamaria 92 / +15° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Yandy Solano 89 / +15° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Tynda Police
33% deserve-to-win  ·  4.5 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +6.5 vs expected
contact: 8.4 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+4.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Roman Kukushkin 97 / +48° Pull Home Run 0.8 → 4 +3.19
Fyodor Iakovlev 92 / +36° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Shozo Aoki 78 / +4° Pull Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Denys Matviyenko 98 / +19° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Fyodor Iakovlev 62 / +18° Pull Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →