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Esso BK 16, Gannibal Stevedores 14                          2046-04-26 · #1171
at Ranga Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Gannibal               14   14   14    0
Esso                   16   16   12    0

GANNIBAL STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Korolyov    2b ......    3   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Townsendov  cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Abasiri ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Young       lf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Hodgson     1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Cissé       3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Moorin      c  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Hydrick ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Jones       ss ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Rizzo       p  ......    2   3   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Gilles  cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Trapp       j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   2  0.000
Zaytseva    j  ......    4   3   3   1   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  0.750
Ornstein    j  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  32  14  14   6   1   0  14   6   8   0   2  0.438
  2B: Zaytseva (4), Moorin (1), Ornstein 2 (6), Jones (1), Rizzo (1).
  3B: Korolyov (1).
  HBP: Young (1).
  GIDP: Jones (1).
  a-Grounded out for Townsendov in the 9th.
  b-Struck out for Moorin in the 6th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 8th.

ESSO BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valiev      2b ......    2   3   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Bardina     c  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Tymoshenko  3b ......    1   3   1   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0  1.000
Canıtez     cf ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   3   1   1   1   0  0.667
Andreev     rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Agafonov    ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Azzopardi   1b ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kulikova    lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Sydorenko   p  ......    2   3   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Fomin       j  ......    4   1   1   0   1   0   3   0   3   0   0  0.250
Twedtov     j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  33  16  12   3   1   1  15   7  11   1   0  0.364
  2B: Valiev (4), Tymoshenko (2), Azzopardi (4).
  3B: Fomin (1).
  HR: Sydorenko (1), off Alenitsyn.
  CS: Tymoshenko (1).
  HBP: Valiev 2 (2).


GANNIBAL STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rizzo ...............     6    2   7%    2    2    2    1    2    0   20    -
Alenitsyn (L, 2-2) ..     5    2   7%    2    5    5    1    1    1   29  2-2
McBridin ............    12    7  26%    6    5    4    2    3    0   46  1-1
Carter ..............    15   12  44%    2    4    4    3    4    0   68  1-1
Turnerov ............     4    4  15%    0    0    0    0    1    0   13    -

ESSO BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sydorenko (W, 3-2) ..    19   13  48%    7    8    8    4    5    0   69    -
Fomin ...............    10    5  19%    4    5    5    2    4    0   44  1-1
Schnackov (F, 9) ....     9    9  33%    2    1    1    0    0    0   21  2-0

  Batting order: Esso BK (home) batted first; Gannibal Stevedores batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 63°F · Wind in · Clear · Humid. seed 228058.
  Walk-Back runs: off McBridin 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Karen Andreev Semyon Valiev (2B) 0–1
B 2 Karen Agafonov Kostiantyn Tymoshenko (3B) 0–2
B 3 Vadim Fomin Karen Andreev (3B) 0–3
B 3 Vadim Fomin Karen Agafonov (2B) 0–4
B 3 Vadim Fomin Aslan Kulikova (1B) 0–5
B 4 Bohdan Sydorenko Vadim Fomin (3B) 0–6
B 4 Bohdan Sydorenko Bohdan Sydorenko (HR) 0–7
B 4 Lev Bardina Bohdan Sydorenko (3B) 0–8
B 4 Ozan Canıtez Semyon Valiev (3B) 0–9
B 4 Ozan Canıtez Lev Bardina (2B) 0–10
B 7 Andrea Azzopardi Ozan Canıtez (1B) 0–11
B 11 Semyon Valiev Shawn Twedtov (1B) 0–12
B 12 Ozan Canıtez Semyon Valiev (2B) 0–13
B 13 Andrea Azzopardi Kostiantyn Tymoshenko (3B) 0–14
B 21 Kostiantyn Tymoshenko Bohdan Sydorenko (2B) 0–15
B 22 Karen Andreev Kostiantyn Tymoshenko (3B) 0–16
T 3 Aleksei Zaytseva Daniel Trapp (2B) 1–16
T 3 Kevon Ornstein Bruce Cissé (2B) 2–16
T 3 Kevon Ornstein Aleksei Zaytseva (1B) 3–16
T 3 Learner Moorin Kevon Ornstein (2B) 4–16
T 7 Daniel Trapp Pasquale Rizzo (3B) 5–16
T 11 Aleksei Zaytseva Tanook Hodgson (2B) 6–16
T 13 Rich Jones Aleksei Zaytseva (2B) 7–16
T 13 Rich Jones Dexter Gilles (1B) 8–16
T 13 Wayne Korolyov Rich Jones (2B) 9–16
T 13 Pasquale Rizzo Wayne Korolyov (3B) 10–16
T 17 Aleksei Zaytseva Pasquale Rizzo (3B) 11–16
T 17 Aleksei Zaytseva Andres Young (2B) 12–16
T 18 Dexter Gilles Aleksei Zaytseva (2B) 13–16
T 22 Andres Young Pasquale Rizzo (2B) 14–16
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Ranga Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 343' · CF 425' · RF 275' · 9' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Gannibal Stevedores — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 6 1B · 7 XBH · 0 HR
343' 425' 275' Rostya Townsendov — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +33° · 282 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — single · EV 109 mph · LA +7° · 104 ft Kevon Ornstein — double · EV 88 mph · LA +11° · 117 ft Learner Moorin — double · EV 93 mph · LA +31° · 308 ft Rich Jones — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +10° · 109 ft Andres Young — single · EV 117 mph · LA +19° · 335 ft Pasquale Rizzo — single · EV 99 mph · LA +5° · 94 ft Morris Abasirin — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +38° · 302 ft Tanook Hodgson — single · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — single · EV 100 mph · LA -7° · 95 ft Rich Jones — double · EV 100 mph · LA +15° · 195 ft Wayne Korolyov — triple · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 273 ft Dexter Gilles — single · EV 88 mph · LA -7° · 84 ft Pasquale Rizzo — double · EV 119 mph · LA +13° · 254 ft Andres Young — error · EV 88 mph · LA +7° · 84 ft Daniel Trapp — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 84 ft Kevon Ornstein — double · EV 117 mph · LA +21° · 362 ft Aleksei Zaytseva — double · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 384 ft Rich Jones — double_play · EV 110 mph · LA -6° · 104 ft Wayne Korolyov — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +15° · 180 ft Tanook Hodgson — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +41° · 396 ft
Esso BK — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 7 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
343' 425' 275' Karen Andreev — single · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 151 ft Karen Agafonov — single · EV 115 mph · LA +9° · 168 ft Vadim Fomin — triple · EV 113 mph · LA +25° · 386 ft Bohdan Sydorenko — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +44° · 480 ft Aslan Kulikova — single · EV 100 mph · LA +3° · 95 ft Semyon Valiev — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 220 ft Kostiantyn Tymoshenko — double · EV 119 mph · LA +22° · 393 ft Lev Bardina — single · EV 88 mph · LA +18° · 183 ft Ozan Canıtez — single · EV 100 mph · LA -4° · 95 ft Andrea Azzopardi — double · EV 119 mph · LA +32° · 480 ft Shawn Twedtov — single · EV 88 mph · LA -11° · 84 ft Aslan Kulikova — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 213 ft Ozan Canıtez — single · EV 87 mph · LA -12° · 82 ft Karen Andreev — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +7° · 95 ft Lev Bardina — ground_out · EV 97 mph · LA -12° · 92 ft Karen Agafonov — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +35° · 366 ft Andrea Azzopardi — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +25° · 284 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Gannibal Stevedores
50% deserve-to-win  ·  14.9 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  -0.9 vs expected
contact: 21.8 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (-0.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tanook Hodgson 100 / +41° Center Out 2.5 → 0 -2.51
Wayne Korolyov 119 / +14° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.48
Learner Moorin 93 / +31° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Wayne Korolyov 95 / +15° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Kevon Ornstein 88 / +11° Center Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Esso BK
50% deserve-to-win  ·  15.0 expected runs
actual 16 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 23.6 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (-3.6 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Karen Agafonov 99 / +35° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Andrea Azzopardi 96 / +25° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.17
Andrea Azzopardi 119 / +32° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Aslan Kulikova 92 / +20° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Ozan Canıtez 87 / -12° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.65
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