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Caracas Independence Brewery 6, San Cristóbal Navy 4        2046-04-26 · #1177
at San Cristóbal Bowl
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                        1    R    H    E
Caracas                 6    6    5    0
San Cristóbal           4    4    7    0

CARACAS INDEPENDENCE BREWERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Encarnación 2b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Marte       cf ......    1   1   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Goodwin     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Santos      p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Vargas  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  b-Sosa    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Cruz    1b ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Almonte ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Báez    ph ......    0   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   1   0   .000
Porozo      j  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Maeda-Silva j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Totals                   7   6   5   1   0   2   6   1   1   1   0  0.714
  2B: Báez (11).
  HR: Cruz (1), off Bauer; Marte (6), off Bauer.
  HBP: Maeda-Silva (2).
  a-Ran for Santos in the 1st.
  b-Entered at 3B in the 8th.
  c-Entered at 1B in the 8th.
  d-Singled in the 1st.
  e-Pinch-hit in the 1st.

SAN CRISTÓBAL NAVY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Geraldo     2b ......    3   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Sin         1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Yamamot pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Álvarez     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Scarpa      cf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Frías   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Yamamoto-Pe lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Cronje  pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Bautista    3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Gomes       ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   1   .000
  d-Messi   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Bauer       p  ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  e-Santos  ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Baptist ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  g-Correia ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Castill pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Difo    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  j-Ramón   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Feliz       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.333
Kemppi      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Encarnación j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  24   4   7   1   1   0   4   7   8   0   1  0.292
  2B: Santos (4).
  3B: Geraldo (1).
  SB: Frías (6), Castillo (4).
  CS: Feliz (7), Yamamoto-Silva (1).
  HBP: Kemppi (3).
  Squeeze: Gomes (1 RBI).
  a-Ran for Sin in the 2nd.
  b-Ran for Scarpa in the 2nd.
  c-Ran for Yamamoto-Pereira in the 2nd.
  d-Ran for Gomes in the 6th.
  e-Doubled for Bauer in the 6th.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Replaced Frías at SS in the 5th.
  h-Ran for Baptista in the 6th.
  i-Ran for Santos in the 6th.
  j-Grounded out for Encarnación in the 7th.

CARACAS INDEPENDENCE BREWERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Santos (W, 5-0) .....    23   17  63%    6    4    4    6    4    0   83    -
Neto ................     9   10  37%    1    0    0    1    4    0   30  2-0

SAN CRISTÓBAL NAVY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bauer (L, 3-1) ......     5    1   4%    3    4    3    1    1    2   16    -
Tatís ...............     4    1   4%    2    2    2    0    0    0   20    -

  Batting order: San Cristóbal Navy (home) batted first; Caracas Independence Brewery batted second.
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 72°F · Wind calm · Clear · Dry. seed 571260.
  Walk-Back runs: off Bauer 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Sadiel Geraldo Tuomas Kemppi (1B) 0–1
B 6 Gabriel Gomes Hiroshi Yamamoto-Silva (3B) 0–2
B 7 Marcelinho Bauer Manny Frías (3B) 0–3
B 17 Élan De los Santos Rodolfo Messi (1B) 0–4
T 0 Bill Cruz Bill Cruz (HR) 1–4
T 0 Hernesto Porozo Bill Cruz (3B) 2–4
T 1 Vladimir Marte Fernando Encarnación (2B) 3–4
T 1 Vladimir Marte Vladimir Marte (HR) 4–4
T 2 Welington Báez Alessandro Vargas (3B) 5–4
T 2 Welington Báez Renato Maeda-Silva (2B) 6–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to San Cristóbal Bowl's actual outfield dimensions (LF 290' · CF 430' · RF 331' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Caracas Independence Brewery — Batted Balls
7 BIP· 2 1B · 1 XBH · 2 HR
290' 430' 331' Bill Cruz — hr · EV 105 mph · LA +39° · 432 ft Hernesto Porozo — infield_single · EV 74 mph · LA +13° · 99 ft Vladimir Marte — hr · EV 102 mph · LA +46° · 412 ft Garang Goodwin — fly_out · EV 94 mph · LA +28° · 294 ft Víctor De los Santos — fielders_choice · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 118 ft Adrián Almonte — single · EV 78 mph · LA +25° · 188 ft Welington Báez — double · EV 94 mph · LA +18° · 212 ft
San Cristóbal Navy — Batted Balls
13 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
290' 430' 331' Ketel Feliz — single · EV 80 mph · LA -1° · 76 ft Sadiel Geraldo — triple · EV 104 mph · LA +22° · 306 ft Min-chol Sin — single · EV 83 mph · LA -7° · 79 ft Marcelinho Bauer — infield_single · EV 71 mph · LA -2° · 68 ft Tuomas Kemppi — ground_out · EV 67 mph · LA +18° · 107 ft Enzo Correia — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Élan De los Santos — double · EV 92 mph · LA +45° · 339 ft Yefri Ramón — fly_out · EV 79 mph · LA +46° · 250 ft Juan Álvarez — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +44° · 338 ft Sadiel Geraldo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 292 ft Vladimir Encarnación — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA -4° · 73 ft Simão Baptista — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Vladimir Encarnación — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 81 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Caracas Independence Brewery
54% deserve-to-win  ·  5.8 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +0.2 vs expected
contact: 9.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 11.0 (+1.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Vladimir Marte 102 / +46° Pull Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.47
Víctor De los Santos 100 / +9° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Bill Cruz 105 / +39° Pull Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.96
Garang Goodwin 94 / +28° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Adrián Almonte 78 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
San Cristóbal Navy
46% deserve-to-win  ·  5.3 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  -1.3 vs expected
contact: 7.7 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 10.0 (+2.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-0.9 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Sadiel Geraldo 104 / +22° Pull Triple 1.6 → 3 +1.43
Juan Álvarez 92 / +44° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.22
Sadiel Geraldo 92 / +30° Oppo Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Élan De los Santos 92 / +45° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Ketel Feliz 80 / -1° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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