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Hermosillo Royals 10, Stirling Mercantile 9                 2046-04-26 · #1178
at Léon Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Stirling                9    9   11    1
Hermosillo             10   10   11    0

STIRLING MERCANTILE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Haddad      ss ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Wilombe pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gaber       2b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Darboe      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.000
Monare      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Kamatuka    rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Peralta     lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Nzimand pr ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Lo          p  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  c-Tamene  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Alemu   ph ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.333
  e-Borcher ph ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
  f-Poojary cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Debele  pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Sherif  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Mungai      j  ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Martínez    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Macandza    j  ......    3   2   3   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  31   9  11   5   0   0   9   5  12   0   0  0.355
  2B: Macandza 2 (4), Alemu (5), Borcherding-Johnson (2), Nzimande (1).
  SB: Mungai (8), Nzimande (1).
  CS: Borcherding-Johnson (1), Nzimande (1).
  E: Mungai (1).
  HBP: Gaber (2).
  GIDP: Kamatuka (2).
  a-Ran for Haddad in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Peralta in the 3rd.
  c-Ran in the 1st.
  d-Batted for Macandza in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at CF in the 4th.
  g-Ran for Tamene in the 4th.
  h-Ran for Poojary in the 7th.

HERMOSILLO ROYALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Alozie      ss ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   2   0   1   0  1.000
Mbeumo      cf ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.400
Ravoahangy  3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Ziani       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Seleman ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Navarro     p  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   1  0.333
Bassett     1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Nyom        2b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Korita      c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Bensebaini  lf ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   4   1   1   0   0  0.500
Kruger      j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  29  10  11   0   0   1   8   9   6   1   1  0.379
  HR: Bensebaini (3), off Lo.
  SB: Kruger (2).
  CS: Bassett (1).
  GIDP: Nyom (2).
  GITP: Ziani (1).
  a-Grounded out for Ziani in the 9th.

STIRLING MERCANTILE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Lo ..................    28   20  74%    7    8    8    7    5    1  113    -
Yahya (L, 0-1) ......    10    6  22%    4    2    2    2    1    0   36  1-0

HERMOSILLO ROYALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Navarro (W, 4-1) ....    23   15  56%    9    7    7    2    8    0   88    -
Nelson ..............    14   12  44%    2    2    2    3    4    0   61  1-0

  Batting order: Hermosillo Royals (home) batted second; Stirling Mercantile batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 62°F · Wind calm · Clear · Heavy rain. seed 529546.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Omar Macandza Jilson Wilombe (3B) 1–0
T 1 Omar Macandza Dereje Tamene (2B) 2–0
T 10 Omar Macandza Njoroge Mungai (2B) 3–0
T 11 Tesfaye Alemu Ronald Martínez (3B) 4–0
T 11 Tesfaye Alemu Omar Macandza (2B) 5–0
T 14 Thembekile Nzimande Tesfaye Alemu (2B) 6–0
T 15 Dalton Borcherding-Johnson Thembekile Nzimande (2B) 7–0
T 19 Girmay Debele Akram Sherif (2B) 8–0
T 21 Akinola Darboe Omar Macandza (3B) 9–0
B 9 Manasse Bassett Gaya Bensebaini (3B) 9–1
B 13 Leonel Alozie Pramod Korita (3B) 9–2
B 16 Owen Navarro Leonel Alozie (3B) 9–3
B 19 Issa Mbeumo Manasse Bassett (3B) 9–4
B 19 Issa Mbeumo Georges Nyom (3B) 9–5
B 20 Gaya Bensebaini Issa Mbeumo (2B) 9–6
B 20 Gaya Bensebaini Gaya Bensebaini (3B) 9–7
B 20 Gaya Bensebaini Gaya Bensebaini (—) 9–8
B 25 Leonel Alozie Owen Navarro (3B) 9–9
B 26 Gaya Bensebaini Ivan Kruger (3B) 9–10
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 342' · CF 411' · RF 287' · 11' wall). Short Porch (Right).
The Crater Trolley Shed
Stirling Mercantile — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 6 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
342' 411' 287' Said Haddad — single · EV 94 mph · LA +48° · 354 ft Njoroge Mungai — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Omar Macandza — double · EV 98 mph · LA +37° · 367 ft Jonathan Peralta — single · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 229 ft Thembekile Nzimande — double · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 372 ft Girmay Debele — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA +8° · 83 ft Njoroge Mungai — single · EV 95 mph · LA -13° · 90 ft Omar Macandza — double · EV 92 mph · LA +33° · 310 ft Tesfaye Alemu — double · EV 86 mph · LA +26° · 235 ft Akinola Darboe — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +40° · 281 ft André Monare — fielders_choice · EV 60 mph · LA +1° · 57 ft Dalton Borcherding-Johnson — double · EV 110 mph · LA +10° · 164 ft Omar Macandza — single · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 64 ft Akinola Darboe — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +9° · 74 ft André Monare — single · EV 85 mph · LA +20° · 185 ft Mustafa Kamatuka — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -0° · 72 ft Njoroge Mungai — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +56° · 252 ft
Hermosillo Royals — Batted Balls
24 BIP· 10 1B · 0 XBH · 1 HR
342' 411' 287' Leonel Alozie — single · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 122 ft Soa Ravoahangy — infield_single · EV 61 mph · LA -5° · 58 ft Bilal Ziani — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 106 ft Manasse Bassett — error · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Pramod Korita — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +23° · 169 ft Ivan Kruger — single · EV 97 mph · LA +15° · 194 ft Fredrick Selemani — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +38° · 225 ft Issa Mbeumo — single · EV 92 mph · LA +9° · 109 ft Gaya Bensebaini — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +8° · 72 ft Georges Nyom — single · EV 92 mph · LA +19° · 208 ft Manasse Bassett — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 142 ft Bilal Ziani — triple_play · EV 60 mph · LA -8° · 57 ft Leonel Alozie — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 129 ft Soa Ravoahangy — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +7° · 72 ft Pramod Korita — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +45° · 231 ft Georges Nyom — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -12° · 72 ft Issa Mbeumo — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 233 ft Gaya Bensebaini — hr · EV 107 mph · LA +41° · 454 ft Owen Navarro — single · EV 78 mph · LA +22° · 165 ft Leonel Alozie — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 78 ft Issa Mbeumo — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 322 ft Georges Nyom — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Gaya Bensebaini — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 146 ft Issa Mbeumo — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +49° · 229 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Stirling Mercantile
20% deserve-to-win  ·  6.4 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 11.7 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 16.0 (+4.3 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 2 CS (-1.0 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Tesfaye Alemu 86 / +26° Oppo Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Omar Macandza 92 / +33° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Akinola Darboe 84 / +40° Oppo Out 0.7 → 0 -0.65
Dalton Borcherding-Johnson 110 / +10° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.60
Said Haddad 94 / +48° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Hermosillo Royals
80% deserve-to-win  ·  12.7 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  -2.7 vs expected
contact: 15.6 est bases + 9 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (-1.6 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Issa Mbeumo 92 / +36° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Soa Ravoahangy 61 / -5° Center Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Pramod Korita 77 / +23° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Leonel Alozie 76 / +17° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Bilal Ziani 80 / +12° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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