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Salvador BC 36, Brasília Stevedores 7                       2046-04-27 · #1204
at Spite Hyyrynen Grounds
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Salvador               35      1   36   28    0
Brasília                7      0    7   11    1

SALVADOR BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Marte       lf ......    5   3   3   2   0   0   3   1   1   1   0  0.600
Féliz       cf ......    6   1   2   2   0   0   2   0   4   0   0  0.333
Ortiz       rf ......    6   5   4   1   0   2   4   0   2   0   0  0.667
Soto        ss ......    6   5   5   3   0   1   6   0   1   0   0  0.833
Cabrera     c  ......    4   4   1   0   0   1   3   1   2   0   0  0.250
  a-Mejía   c  ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Solano      1b ......    6   4   4   1   1   1   3   0   2   0   0  0.667
Ynoa        3b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   4   0   0  0.000
Barros      2b ......    4   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Júnior      p  ......    4   3   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Almonte     j  ......    3   3   3   2   0   0   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Norman      j  ......    2   3   2   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  1.000
Paniagua    j  ......    1   3   1   0   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  52  36  28  14   1   7  35   4  20   1   0  0.538
  2B: Marte 2 (17), Féliz 2 (12), Ortiz (7), Soto 3 (18), Solano (8), Almonte 2 (6), Júnior (3), Norman (5), Mejía (1).
  3B: Solano (3).
  HR: Ortiz 2 (4), off Rodríguez, Aránguiz; Soto (4), off Rodríguez; Cabrera (1), off Collier; Solano (1), off Montero; Norman (3), off Guerra; Paniagua (1), off Guerra.
  CS: Féliz (4).
  HBP: Barros (3), Paniagua (2).
  a-Replaced Cabrera at C in the 7th.

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Báez        1b ......    3   0   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
  a-Arángui pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gustavo     ss ......    2   1   3   0   0   0   1   1   0   1   0  1.500
Kobayashi-F lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Adames      3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Ramírez pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Lawrick c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Martine 3b ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.667
  e-Teixeir ph ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Watanab ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Delgado c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Geraldo ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Saprissa    j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   1   0  1.000
Polanco     j  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Cabrera     j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  30   7  11   2   0   0   6   7   6   3   0  0.367
  2B: Teixeira (3), Polanco (8).
  SB: Martinelli (2).
  CS: Polanco (7), Aránguiz (2).
  E: Báez (2).
  a-Ran for Báez in the 8th.
  b-Ran for Adames in the 3rd.
  c-Entered at C in the 7th.
  d-Entered at 3B in the 8th.
  e-Batted in the 3rd.
  f-Entered at SS in the 9th.
  g-Entered at C in the 9th.
  h-Batted for Watanabe-Santos in the 7th.

SALVADOR BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Júnior ..............    19   10  37%    8    7    7    7    2    0   79    -
Polanco (W, 3-0) ....    16   15  56%    3    0    0    0    3    0   46  1-0
Villar ..............     2    2   7%    0    0    0    0    1    0    7  1-0

BRASÍLIA STEVEDORES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rodríguez ...........     7    1   4%    7    6    5    0    0    2   22    -
Montero .............     6    2   7%    3    5    5    0    2    1   21  1-1
Coates (L, 1-1) .....    11    5  19%    4    6    6    1    4    0   37  1-1
Collier .............     6    1   4%    4    6    6    2    1    1   21  1-1
Núñez ...............    16   13  48%    4    3    2    0   10    0   63  1-1
Guerra ..............     7    3  11%    3    6    5    1    2    2   24  1-1
Aránguiz ............     5    2   7%    3    4    3    0    1    1   19  1-1

  Batting order: Brasília Stevedores (home) batted second; Salvador BC batted first.
  Seconds: SB1 o26 (35-0), BS o26 (7-35).
  First pitch 5:45 PM. Weather: 78°F · Wind out · Clear. seed 984593.
  Walk-Back runs: off Rodríguez 1, off Montero 2, off Núñez 1, off Guerra 1, off Aránguiz 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Ronald Féliz Wander Marte (2B) 1–0
T 0 David Ortiz Ronald Féliz (2B) 2–0
T 0 David Ortiz David Ortiz (HR) 3–0
T 0 Andrés Soto David Ortiz (3B) 4–0
T 0 Andrés Soto Andrés Soto (HR) 5–0
T 0 Ronny Cabrera Andrés Soto (3B) 6–0
T 0 Fernando Solano Ronny Cabrera (1B) 7–0
T 0 Fernando Solano Fernando Solano (HR) 8–0
T 0 Starlin Ynoa Fernando Solano (3B) 9–0
T 2 Jeremias Norman Wander Almonte (1B) 10–0
T 3 Wander Marte Jeremias Norman (2B) 11–0
T 5 Andrés Soto Wander Marte (1B) 12–0
T 7 Ronald Paniagua Fernando Solano (3B) 13–0
T 7 Wander Almonte Starlin Ynoa (3B) 14–0
T 7 Wander Almonte Adrien Barros (2B) 15–0
T 7 Wander Almonte Ronald Paniagua (1B) 16–0
T 7 Wander Marte Wander Almonte (3B) 17–0
T 7 Wander Marte Anderson Júnior (1B) 18–0
T 8 Andrés Soto Wander Marte (2B) 19–0
T 8 Andrés Soto David Ortiz (1B) 20–0
T 8 Ronny Cabrera Andrés Soto (2B) 21–0
T 8 Ronny Cabrera Ronny Cabrera (HR) 22–0
T 8 Fernando Solano Ronny Cabrera (3B) 23–0
T 10 Anderson Júnior Fernando Solano (3B) 24–0
T 20 Ronald Féliz Anderson Júnior (3B) 25–0
T 21 Andrés Soto David Ortiz (2B) 26–0
T 24 Jeremias Norman Andrés Soto (3B) 27–0
T 24 Jeremias Norman Ronny Cabrera (2B) 28–0
T 24 Jeremias Norman Jeremias Norman (HR) 29–0
T 24 Ronald Paniagua Jeremias Norman (3B) 30–0
T 24 Ronald Paniagua Ronald Paniagua (HR) 31–0
T 24 Wander Almonte Ronald Paniagua (3B) 32–0
T 24 Anderson Júnior Wander Almonte (2B) 33–0
T 26 David Ortiz Anderson Júnior (3B) 34–0
T 26 David Ortiz David Ortiz (HR) 35–0
B 3 Adrián Báez Junior Cabrera (3B) 35–1
B 6 Léonardo Martinelli Joaquín Saprissa (3B) 35–2
B 7 Robinson Polanco Renato Gustavo (3B) 35–3
B 7 Junior Cabrera Léonardo Martinelli (3B) 35–4
B 7 Joaquín Saprissa Edwin Ramírez (3B) 35–5
B 9 Renato Gustavo Junior Cabrera (3B) 35–6
B 9 Renato Gustavo Joaquín Saprissa (3B) 35–7
seconds_first 0 Bill Mejía Andrés Soto (1B) 36–7
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Spite Hyyrynen Grounds's actual outfield dimensions (LF 336' · CF 392' · RF 327' · 33' wall). Balanced.
Crow's Nest
Salvador BC — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 6 1B · 15 XBH · 7 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Wander Marte — double · EV 96 mph · LA +18° · 218 ft Ronald Féliz — double · EV 98 mph · LA +10° · 136 ft David Ortiz — hr · EV 116 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Andrés Soto — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +44° · 400 ft Ronny Cabrera — error · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 171 ft Fernando Solano — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 381 ft Wander Almonte — single · EV 93 mph · LA -12° · 89 ft Jeremias Norman — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 248 ft Ronald Paniagua — hr · EV 97 mph · LA +36° · 357 ft Bill Mejía — double · EV 102 mph · LA +14° · 189 ft Wander Marte — single · EV 87 mph · LA +2° · 83 ft Andrés Soto — double · EV 119 mph · LA +20° · 363 ft Fernando Solano — double · EV 99 mph · LA +18° · 234 ft Wander Almonte — double · EV 109 mph · LA +21° · 316 ft Anderson Júnior — single · EV 86 mph · LA +0° · 82 ft Jeremias Norman — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +29° · 438 ft Wander Marte — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 255 ft David Ortiz — single · EV 88 mph · LA +16° · 160 ft Andrés Soto — double · EV 103 mph · LA +11° · 162 ft Ronny Cabrera — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +26° · 446 ft Fernando Solano — triple · EV 108 mph · LA +14° · 224 ft Wander Almonte — double · EV 117 mph · LA +13° · 238 ft Wander Marte — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 175 ft Adrien Barros — line_out · EV 88 mph · LA +14° · 150 ft Anderson Júnior — double · EV 114 mph · LA +21° · 342 ft Ronald Féliz — double · EV 88 mph · LA +34° · 286 ft David Ortiz — double · EV 87 mph · LA +40° · 298 ft Andrés Soto — double · EV 88 mph · LA +27° · 252 ft David Ortiz — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +29° · 443 ft Andrés Soto — single · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 142 ft Fernando Solano — single · EV 87 mph · LA -2° · 83 ft
Brasília Stevedores — Batted Balls
25 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
336' 392' 327' Wall 33' Robinson Polanco — double · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 213 ft Igor Watanabe-Santos — line_out · EV 60 mph · LA +16° · 75 ft Adrián Báez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Jean Delgado — fly_out · EV 57 mph · LA +44° · 132 ft Nat Lawrick — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 190 ft Léonardo Martinelli — single · EV 76 mph · LA +13° · 99 ft Joaquín Saprissa — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 73 ft Renato Gustavo — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 172 ft Edwin Ramírez — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Junior Cabrera — single · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 114 ft Léonardo Martinelli — single · EV 53 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Renato Gustavo — single · EV 92 mph · LA +22° · 234 ft Joaquín Saprissa — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 185 ft Igor Watanabe-Santos — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +14° · 106 ft Renato Kobayashi-Ferreira — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +16° · 71 ft Adrián Báez — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +23° · 204 ft Jean Delgado — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 186 ft Léonardo Martinelli — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft Rômulo Teixeira — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA +2° · 76 ft Robinson Polanco — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +11° · 124 ft Renato Gustavo — infield_single · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Edwin Ramírez — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 155 ft Adrián Báez — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 151 ft Jean Delgado — fly_out · EV 64 mph · LA +27° · 130 ft Rômulo Teixeira — double · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 142 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Salvador BC
85% deserve-to-win  ·  21.8 expected runs
actual 36 runs  ·  +14.2 vs expected
contact: 45.0 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 64.0 (+19.0 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Ronald Paniagua 97 / +36° Pull Home Run 1.6 → 4 +2.44
Fernando Solano 100 / +36° Pull Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Andrés Soto 88 / +27° Pull Double 0.4 → 2 +1.61
Fernando Solano 108 / +14° Pull Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.60
Ronny Cabrera 119 / +9° Pull Reached on Error 1.5 → 0 -1.52
Brasília Stevedores
15% deserve-to-win  ·  9.1 expected runs
actual 7 runs  ·  -2.1 vs expected
contact: 12.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+0.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Robinson Polanco 92 / +20° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Robinson Polanco 92 / +11° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Renato Gustavo 52 / -15° Oppo Single 0.2 → 1 +0.85
Renato Gustavo 76 / +24° Center Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.79
Rômulo Teixeira 100 / +10° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
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