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Zagreb Miners 11, Valencia Pacific Print Shop 9             2046-04-27 · #1205
at The Pavilion
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                        1    R    H    E
Valencia                9    9   13    0
Zagreb                 11   11   11    0

VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Werner      c  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Romano      lf ......    4   3   3   2   0   1   5   0   0   1   0  0.750
Toit        rf ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Mueller     ss ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Livaja      p  ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.500
Barakat     cf ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Pašalić     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Bagüí       1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  a-Kimpemb 3b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0   0   .000
Baldasso    j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Giuliani    j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Lehmann     j  ......    3   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Totals                  31   9  13   6   0   1   9   6   8   1   1  0.419
  2B: Werner (2), Giuliani (3), Romano 2 (13), Toit (8), Livaja (4).
  HR: Romano (3), off Sobhi.
  SB: Werner (3).
  CS: Toit (4), Barakat (1).
  a-Entered at 3B in the 7th.

ZAGREB MINERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kaimakoglou rf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Ambri       ss ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Diouf       lf ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Mazza       3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Robinett    1b ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Lovren      2b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Weber       cf ......    3   0   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.667
Hakimi      c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Sobhi       p  ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Schulz      j  ......    4   2   3   1   1   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
Burley      j  ......    2   2   2   0   1   0   2   2   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  32  11  11   5   2   0  11   7   5   0   0  0.344
  2B: Schulz (5), Diouf (5), Weber 2 (2), Sobhi (2).
  3B: Schulz (2), Burley (4).


VALENCIA PACIFIC PRINT SHOP PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Livaja ..............     9    5  19%    2    2    2    4    1    0   25    -
Goeßling ............     6    4  15%    2    3    3    1    0    0   18  2-1
Kimmich (L, 0-1) ....    14   10  37%    4    4    4    2    1    0   50  1-0
Sifakis .............    10    8  30%    3    2    2    0    3    0   34  1-1

ZAGREB MINERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Sobhi ...............    14    8  30%    6    6    5    1    3    1   55    -
Brunckhorst (W, 3-0)     16   15  56%    5    3    3    4    3    0   62  1-0
Žorić (F, 7) ........     7    4  15%    2    0    0    1    2    0   16    -

  Batting order: Zagreb Miners (home) batted first; Valencia Pacific Print Shop batted second.
  First pitch 6:40 PM. Weather: 72°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 539457.
  Walk-Back runs: off Sobhi 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 5 Mateus Weber Geoff Burley (3B) 0–1
B 5 Mateus Weber Joshua Robinett (2B) 0–2
B 6 Danilo Schulz Mateo Lovren (3B) 0–3
B 8 Vangelis Kaimakoglou Magdy Sobhi (2B) 0–4
B 9 Vincenzo Diouf Vangelis Kaimakoglou (2B) 0–5
B 19 Danilo Schulz Magdy Sobhi (2B) 0–6
B 19 Danilo Schulz Gianluca Mazza (1B) 0–7
B 19 Geoff Burley Danilo Schulz (3B) 0–8
B 19 Joshua Robinett Geoff Burley (3B) 0–9
B 20 Mateus Weber Joshua Robinett (1B) 0–10
B 23 Geoff Burley Danilo Schulz (2B) 0–11
T 3 Riccardo Giuliani Michele Romano (2B) 1–11
T 5 Hussein Barakat Riccardo Giuliani (2B) 2–11
T 8 Michele Romano Lucas Werner (3B) 3–11
T 8 Michele Romano Atticus Kimpembe (1B) 4–11
T 8 Michele Romano Michele Romano (HR) 5–11
T 8 Hugo du Toit Michele Romano (3B) 6–11
T 9 Tin Livaja Karim Mueller (1B) 7–11
T 15 Michele Romano Timo Lehmann (3B) 8–11
T 15 Michele Romano Hussein Barakat (2B) 9–11
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to The Pavilion's actual outfield dimensions (LF 396' · CF 403' · RF 258' · 50' wall). Coffin Corner.
Trolley Shed
Valencia Pacific Print Shop — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 6 1B · 6 XBH · 1 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Michele Romano — double · EV 111 mph · LA +18° · 298 ft Tin Livaja — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 327 ft Riccardo Giuliani — double · EV 93 mph · LA +15° · 170 ft Matteo Baldasso — fly_out · EV 108 mph · LA +30° · 405 ft Hussein Barakat — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 122 ft Dario Pašalić — fly_out · EV 111 mph · LA +27° · 402 ft Lucas Werner — double · EV 98 mph · LA +32° · 342 ft Michele Romano — hr · EV 110 mph · LA +46° · 479 ft Hugo du Toit — double · EV 100 mph · LA +35° · 375 ft Tin Livaja — double · EV 97 mph · LA +18° · 223 ft Riccardo Giuliani — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA -14° · 76 ft Timo Lehmann — single · EV 80 mph · LA -15° · 76 ft Lucas Werner — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +44° · 400 ft Karim Mueller — single · EV 109 mph · LA +14° · 218 ft Hussein Barakat — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +4° · 95 ft Michele Romano — double · EV 99 mph · LA +21° · 260 ft Hugo du Toit — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 122 ft Timo Lehmann — single · EV 70 mph · LA +20° · 130 ft Dario Pašalić — infield_single · EV 88 mph · LA -19° · 84 ft Michele Romano — ground_out · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 248 ft
Zagreb Miners — Batted Balls
20 BIP· 4 1B · 7 XBH · 0 HR
396' 403' 258' Wall 50' Danilo Schulz — single · EV 81 mph · LA +25° · 202 ft Hélio Ambri — ground_out · EV 87 mph · LA -14° · 83 ft Mateus Weber — double · EV 106 mph · LA +12° · 175 ft Vincenzo Diouf — double · EV 91 mph · LA +18° · 199 ft Mateo Lovren — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +16° · 135 ft Magdy Sobhi — double · EV 100 mph · LA +36° · 379 ft Geoff Burley — triple · EV 101 mph · LA +19° · 254 ft Danilo Schulz — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -6° · 69 ft Vangelis Kaimakoglou — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Gianluca Mazza — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA -0° · 78 ft Mateus Weber — ground_out · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft Rachid Hakimi — ground_out · EV 70 mph · LA +8° · 66 ft Vincenzo Diouf — ground_out · EV 61 mph · LA +3° · 58 ft Joshua Robinett — single · EV 61 mph · LA +13° · 64 ft Geoff Burley — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Hélio Ambri — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA +7° · 57 ft Danilo Schulz — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +13° · 164 ft Mateus Weber — double · EV 103 mph · LA +26° · 334 ft Vincenzo Diouf — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +13° · 162 ft Danilo Schulz — double · EV 98 mph · LA +36° · 367 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Valencia Pacific Print Shop
68% deserve-to-win  ·  14.7 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  -5.7 vs expected
contact: 27.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 21.0 (-6.5 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Lucas Werner 100 / +44° Center Out 2.5 → 0 -2.51
Matteo Baldasso 108 / +30° Center Out 2.3 → 0 -2.34
Dario Pašalić 111 / +27° Pull Out 2.3 → 0 -2.34
Michele Romano 99 / +20° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Riccardo Giuliani 93 / +15° Pull Double 0.9 → 2 +1.14
Zagreb Miners
32% deserve-to-win  ·  10.0 expected runs
actual 11 runs  ·  +1.0 vs expected
contact: 14.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 20.0 (+5.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Danilo Schulz 97 / +13° Oppo Triple 1.2 → 3 +1.82
Geoff Burley 101 / +19° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Vincenzo Diouf 96 / +13° Pull Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Vincenzo Diouf 91 / +18° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Vangelis Kaimakoglou 76 / +6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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