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Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery 19, Kitay-Torg Leopards 1     2046-04-28 · #1240
at Tower Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Slavyan-Torg           19   19   17    1
Kitay-Torg              1    1    1    1

SLAVYAN-TORG STANDARD BREWERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Taylor      cf ......    4   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Washingtono c  ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Awujin      ss ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Goodsonov   1b ......    4   2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Santamarin  rf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.000
Cha         2b ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Su          lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Collinsov   3b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Shurtleffov p  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Mitchellov  j  ......    4   2   2   1   0   1   4   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mitchell    j  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Fawcettov   j  ......    3   2   4   3   0   0   4   0   0   1   0  1.333
Totals                  40  19  17   6   1   2  16   1   8   1   0  0.425
  2B: Mitchellov (5), Mitchell (14), Fawcettov 3 (17), Shurtleffov (1).
  3B: Taylor (1).
  HR: Awujin (5), off Montero; Mitchellov (2), off Montero.
  E: Goodsonov (1).
  HBP: Cha 2 (4).


KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Valenciano  cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Montero     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Jacksonov   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Campbell    3b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Hallov      lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Amente      1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Endo        2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Cheng       rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Jonesov c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Maggs       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Harrisov    j  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Schlotterbe j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   1   1   1   0   0   1   2  11   0   0  0.038
  2B: Campbell (11).
  CS: Schlotterbeck (1), Endo (1).
  E: Jacksonov (4).
  GIDP: Harrisov (3).
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

SLAVYAN-TORG STANDARD BREWERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Shurtleffov .........     9    8  30%    0    0    0    2    6    0   38    -
Pekarev (W, 1-1) ....    13   13  48%    1    0    0    0    4    0   45  1-0
Harkinsov (F, 11) ...     6    6  22%    0    1    1    0    1    0   22  1-1

KITAY-TORG LEOPARDS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Montero .............     7    3  11%    4    5    3    0    0    2   29    -
Chervyakov (L, 0-4) .    15    8  30%    5    7    7    0    1    0   52  1-1
Dudley ..............    16   10  37%    6    5    4    1    5    0   64  1-1
Campbell ............     6    6  22%    2    2    2    0    3    0   25  2-2

  Batting order: Kitay-Torg Leopards (home) batted second; Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery batted first.
  First pitch 6:40 PM YAKT. Weather: 38°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 358706.
  Walk-Back runs: off Montero 2.
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Scoring Events
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tower Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 321' · CF 410' · RF 286' · 10' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Crescent Grandstand The Porch
Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery — Batted Balls
28 BIP· 8 1B · 7 XBH · 2 HR
321' 410' 286' Debraun Taylor — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +26° · 287 ft Thai-son Awujin — hr · EV 101 mph · LA +40° · 405 ft Emmanuel Goodsonov — single · EV 62 mph · LA +23° · 113 ft Khalil Santamarin — fly_out · EV 72 mph · LA +36° · 199 ft Dexter Mitchellov — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +36° · 454 ft Ali Mitchell — single · EV 77 mph · LA +0° · 73 ft Kamron Fawcettov — double · EV 99 mph · LA +18° · 226 ft Berkeley Collinsov — fly_out · EV 106 mph · LA +55° · 425 ft Destyn Shurtleffov — double · EV 102 mph · LA +25° · 319 ft Debraun Taylor — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +7° · 80 ft Kevin Washingtonov — single · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 144 ft Emmanuel Goodsonov — single · EV 83 mph · LA +8° · 79 ft Khalil Santamarin — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +42° · 230 ft Yujie Su — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +15° · 161 ft Dexter Mitchellov — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +56° · 281 ft Ali Mitchell — double · EV 104 mph · LA +26° · 339 ft Kamron Fawcettov — double · EV 96 mph · LA +12° · 150 ft Debraun Taylor — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +24° · 275 ft Kevin Washingtonov — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA +2° · 86 ft Thai-son Awujin — single · EV 85 mph · LA +24° · 215 ft Berkeley Collinsov — single · EV 83 mph · LA +2° · 79 ft Dexter Mitchellov — double · EV 101 mph · LA +15° · 203 ft Kamron Fawcettov — double · EV 88 mph · LA +22° · 217 ft Khalil Santamarin — fly_out · EV 75 mph · LA +45° · 225 ft Kamron Fawcettov — single · EV 76 mph · LA +23° · 165 ft Kevin Washingtonov — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 140 ft Thai-son Awujin — error · EV 109 mph · LA +10° · 160 ft Dexter Mitchellov — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +23° · 242 ft
Kitay-Torg Leopards — Batted Balls
15 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
321' 410' 286' Esteban Valenciano — line_out · EV 74 mph · LA +13° · 98 ft Kuo-hui Cheng — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Demarai Jacksonov — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 228 ft Eulis Montero — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +19° · 142 ft Anthony Harrisov — fielders_choice · EV 52 mph · LA -1° · 49 ft Justice Campbell — double · EV 92 mph · LA +40° · 334 ft Myron Hallov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 68 ft Mohammed Amente — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -21° · 49 ft Michael Schlotterbeck — error · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Kuo-hui Cheng — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 182 ft Demarai Jacksonov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Eulis Montero — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -23° · 72 ft Anthony Harrisov — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -10° · 58 ft Justice Campbell — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 154 ft Myron Hallov — fly_out · EV 52 mph · LA +38° · 105 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Slavyan-Torg Standard Brewery
99% deserve-to-win  ·  13.2 expected runs
actual 19 runs  ·  +5.8 vs expected
contact: 26.3 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 30.0 (+3.7 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Debraun Taylor 97 / +24° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Thai-son Awujin 101 / +40° Center Home Run 2.5 → 4 +1.47
Thai-son Awujin 109 / +10° Center Reached on Error 1.4 → 0 -1.38
Debraun Taylor 95 / +26° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Berkeley Collinsov 106 / +55° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Kitay-Torg Leopards
1% deserve-to-win  ·  1.0 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  as expected
contact: 5.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-3.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.3 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Justice Campbell 92 / +40° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.79
Eulis Montero 76 / +19° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Justice Campbell 76 / +21° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Esteban Valenciano 74 / +13° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
Myron Hallov 76 / +9° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.51
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