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Quezon City Baseball Club 13, Casablanca Elk 9  (1 SI)      2046-04-28 · #1241
at Tide Yards
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                        1      S    R    H    E
Quezon City             8      5   13   14    3
Casablanca              8      1    9    5    1

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Mfeka       ss ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Tawfik  ph ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Girma       3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
  b-Sissako pr ......    1   2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Bouanga     1b ......    2   2   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
  c-Vilakaz ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Biteghé     2b ......    3   1   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.667
Metwally    c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Bouaziz ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Bartzen     p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   .000
  e-Gouet   ph ......    2   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Cronje      cf ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  f-Moucket pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Mezui       lf ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  g-Demissi c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  h-Shehata ph ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
  i-Guiebre pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  j-Urrubal pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Estes       j  ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Ndlovu      j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mvala       j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  38  13  14   7   2   0  13   5  14   0   2  0.368
  2B: Mfeka (1), Estes (8), Bouanga (2), Biteghé (7), Ndlovu (6), Sissako (2), Shehata (1).
  3B: Tawfik (1), Gouet (1).
  SB: Moucketou-Moussounda (1), Guiebre (5).
  E: Mfeka 2 (2), Estes (1).
  GIDP: Estes (2).
  a-Batted for Mfeka in the 9th.
  b-Ran for Girma in the 7th.
  c-Singled for Bouanga in the 10th.
  d-Batted for Metwally in the 7th.
  e-Batted for Bartzen in the 8th.
  f-Ran for Cronje in the 9th.
  g-Entered at C in the 7th.
  h-Batted for Demissie in the 9th.
  i-Ran for Vilakazi in the 10th.
  j-Ran for Gouet in the 10th.

CASABLANCA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cherif      ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Maritz  pr ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Strydom     2b ......    2   3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.500
Toit        lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Aulakh  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Martínez    3b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Moukoko     rf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Ratsimb pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tekle       p  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  d-Mezui   pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Kassim  ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Randria ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Ejuke   ph ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
  h-Taarabt 3b ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  i-Ousou   lf ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  j-Menon   pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Nel     pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  l-Inkoom  pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Demissie    j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Russo       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mpasi       j  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  32   9   5   2   0   0   5   8  13   0   0  0.156
  2B: Strydom (15), Taarabt (2).
  E: Cherif (1).
  HBP: Demissie (2), Moukoko (4), Randrianomenjanahary (1), Ousou (3), Nel (1).
  GIDP: Mpasi (2), Randrianomenjanahary (2), Ejuke 2 (2).
  a-Ran for Cherif in the 1st.
  b-Struck out for Toit in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Moukoko in the 5th.
  d-Ran for Tekle in the 4th.
  e-Batted in the 1st.
  f-Batted in the 2nd.
  g-Batted in the 2nd.
  h-Entered at 3B in the 5th.
  i-Replaced Aulakh at LF in the 7th.
  j-Ran in the 8th.
  k-Ran for Ousou in the 9th.
  l-Ran for Taarabt in the 9th.

QUEZON CITY BASEBALL CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bartzen (W, 4-1) ....    39   27 100%    4    7    2    7   11    0  127    -
Arai ................     6    3  11%    1    2    2    1    2    0   22  2-1

CASABLANCA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Tekle (L, 0-3) ......    12    6  22%    5    4    4    2    5    0   47    -
Stalder .............    10   11  41%    1    2    2    1    4    0   49  1-1
Banguera ............     7    4  15%    3    2    2    0    1    0   28    -
Mukamurenzi .........     4    2   7%    2    2    2    1    1    0   16  1-1
Olivier .............    10    7  26%    3    3    3    1    3    0   31  2-0

  Batting order: Casablanca Elk (home) batted first; Quezon City Baseball Club batted second.
  Super-innings: 1.
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 81°F · Wind in · Clear · Light rain. seed 574815.
  Powerplays: Quezon City Baseball Club — Tawfik NF (O1)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 1 Haile Kassim Reeza Maritz (3B) 0–1
B 3 Hamari Mpasi Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–2
B 3 Adolis Martínez Lemma Demissie (3B) 0–3
B 13 Maodo Moukoko Hamari Mpasi (3B) 0–4
B 24 Nadir Taarabt Jasprit Menon (3B) 0–5
B 24 Nadir Taarabt Faf Nel (1B) 0–6
B 25 Ilaix Ejuke Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–7
B 25 Jasprit Menon Mike Inkoom (3B) 0–8
T 3 Manasse Estes Kamou Bouanga (2B) 1–8
T 4 Serge Mvala Manasse Estes (2B) 2–8
T 10 Olumide Biteghé Serge Mvala (3B) 3–8
T 13 Manasse Estes Gizaw Girma (3B) 4–8
T 19 Kamou Bouanga Thembekile Mfeka (3B) 5–8
T 19 Kamou Bouanga Mesud Sissako (1B) 6–8
T 19 Olumide Biteghé Kamou Bouanga (2B) 7–8
T 19 Nkosana Ndlovu Olumide Biteghé (3B) 8–8
ST 27 Sipho Vilakazi Mesud Sissako (2B) 9–8
ST 29 Eddie Gouet Ismail Guiebre (2B) 10–8
ST 29 Salah Shehata Jonas Urrubal (3B) 11–8
ST 29 Salah Shehata Hamed Moucketou-Moussounda (2B) 12–8
ST 29 Islam Tawfik Salah Shehata (2B) 13–8
SB 29 Jean Randrianomenjanahary Wynand Strydom (3B) 13–9
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 303' · CF 418' · RF 353' · 32' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Flag Pole in Play
Quezon City Baseball Club — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 5 1B · 9 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Manasse Estes — double · EV 101 mph · LA +38° · 394 ft Serge Mvala — single · EV 99 mph · LA +19° · 245 ft Anbessa Demissie — error · EV 66 mph · LA -12° · 63 ft Thembekile Mfeka — line_out · EV 107 mph · LA +20° · 300 ft Olumide Biteghé — single · EV 111 mph · LA +46° · 480 ft Salah Shehata — line_out · EV 108 mph · LA +15° · 232 ft Mesud Sissako — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 251 ft Sipho Vilakazi — single · EV 108 mph · LA +0° · 103 ft Khaled Metwally — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +47° · 230 ft Manasse Estes — double_play · EV 81 mph · LA -3° · 77 ft Andrew Cronje — fly_out · EV 113 mph · LA +32° · 458 ft Serge Mvala — fly_out · EV 111 mph · LA +28° · 407 ft Thembekile Mfeka — double · EV 100 mph · LA +32° · 361 ft Gizaw Girma — single · EV 101 mph · LA +8° · 96 ft Kamou Bouanga — double · EV 103 mph · LA +39° · 417 ft Olumide Biteghé — double · EV 95 mph · LA +16° · 195 ft Eddie Gouet — triple · EV 110 mph · LA +15° · 241 ft Salah Shehata — double · EV 119 mph · LA +18° · 327 ft Islam Tawfik — triple · EV 113 mph · LA +21° · 348 ft Nkosana Ndlovu — double · EV 107 mph · LA +11° · 176 ft Andrew Cronje — single · EV 95 mph · LA +12° · 143 ft Walieldin Mezui — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +31° · 372 ft
Casablanca Elk — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 3 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Leonardo Russo — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 132 ft Hamari Mpasi — error · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Adolis Martínez — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 84 ft Ilaix Ejuke — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +9° · 73 ft Wynand Strydom — line_out · EV 52 mph · LA +16° · 60 ft Lemma Demissie — error · EV 52 mph · LA +14° · 60 ft Jasprit Menon — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Hamari Mpasi — single · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 265 ft Jean Randrianomenjanahary — double_play · EV 61 mph · LA -15° · 58 ft Ilaix Ejuke — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Haile Kassim — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +26° · 184 ft Lemma Demissie — single · EV 52 mph · LA +22° · 76 ft Nadir Taarabt — double · EV 92 mph · LA +43° · 338 ft Wynand Strydom — double · EV 105 mph · LA +13° · 198 ft Élie Ratsimbazafy — line_out · EV 62 mph · LA +13° · 68 ft Hamari Mpasi — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -9° · 72 ft Ilaix Ejuke — single · EV 52 mph · LA +8° · 60 ft Reeza Maritz — error · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Quezon City Baseball Club
81% deserve-to-win  ·  16.7 expected runs
actual 13 runs  ·  -3.7 vs expected
contact: 32.9 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 25.0 (-7.9 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Andrew Cronje 113 / +32° Center Out 3.0 → 0 -3.03
Olumide Biteghé 111 / +46° Center Single 3.7 → 1 -2.74
Serge Mvala 111 / +28° Pull Out 2.3 → 0 -2.34
Eddie Gouet 110 / +15° Oppo Triple 1.4 → 3 +1.60
Thembekile Mfeka 107 / +20° Pull Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Casablanca Elk
19% deserve-to-win  ·  8.2 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +0.8 vs expected
contact: 9.0 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-2.0 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Nadir Taarabt 92 / +43° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Wynand Strydom 105 / +13° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.61
Leonardo Russo 76 / +17° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Ilaix Ejuke 52 / +8° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.58
Adolis Martínez 76 / +11° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
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