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Maturín Wolves 14, Barquisimeto Grocery 10                  2046-04-29 · #1301
at Riverside Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Barquisimeto           10   10    8    0
Maturín                14   14   12    0

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Capozzi     rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Solano      1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Salas       cf ......    3   3   2   1   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.667
Sandoval    lf ......    3   2   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Alonso-Corc 2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Sulfsted    ss ......    2   2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Hulbert     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Montana     p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Bautist 2b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-Flower  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  c-Pal     ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Heslip      j  ......    4   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.250
Concepción  j  ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   1   0  0.250
Totals                  29  10   8   3   0   1   8   7   9   1   0  0.276
  2B: Bautista (4), Heslip (2), Salas (1).
  HR: Salas (1), off Kerr.
  SB: Heslip (2).
  CS: Capozzi (3), Alonso-Corcelles (1).
  HBP: Salas (2).
  Squeeze: Heslip, Sandoval.
  a-Entered at 2B in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Bautista in the 7th.
  c-Struck out for Concepción in the 7th.

MATURÍN WOLVES
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Moten       c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.333
Roark       2b ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.333
Bolder      1b ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.250
Gilgeous-Al rf ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kerr        p  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   1  0.500
Chien       ss ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Bentanc pr ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Oviedo      lf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   2   0   0  0.500
Marte       cf ......    3   3   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.667
Keeley      3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   3   1   1   0   0  0.500
Elarms-Orr  j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Norris      j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cabrera     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  34  14  12   3   0   1  12   6  11   0   1  0.353
  2B: Roark (9), Oviedo (2), Keeley (1).
  HR: Bentancur (7), off Sabin.
  SB: Moten (4).
  HBP: Marte (1).
  a-Ran for Chien in the 3rd.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Montana (L, 0-1) ....    11    7  26%    6    4    4    1    2    0   25    -
Sabin ...............     6    5  19%    2    2    2    0    2    1   25  1-0
Cabrera .............    14    9  33%    2    4    3    3    6    0   57  1-1
Santana .............     6    3  11%    1    4    4    2    0    0   22  2-2
Santamaria ..........     4    3  11%    1    0    0    0    1    0   17  1-0

MATURÍN WOLVES PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kerr (W, 4-2) .......    23   17  63%    5    7    7    5    5    1   88    -
Poole (F, 14) .......    12   10  37%    3    3    2    2    4    0   38  1-1

  Batting order: Maturín Wolves (home) batted first; Barquisimeto Grocery batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Overcast. seed 129253.
  Walk-Back runs: off Cabrera 1, off Poole 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Dwight Kerr Ian Roark (3B) 0–1
B 7 Brian Keeley Bret Gilgeous-Alexander (3B) 0–2
B 7 Brian Keeley Austin Bentancur (2B) 0–3
B 7 Brian Keeley Ronny Marte (1B) 0–4
B 12 Austin Bentancur Kingman Moten (3B) 0–5
B 12 Austin Bentancur Austin Bentancur (HR) 0–6
B 19 Dwight Kerr Austin Bentancur (3B) 0–7
B 21 Charles Elarms-Orr Ronny Marte (3B) 0–8
B 21 Warren Oviedo Ian Roark (3B) 0–9
B 21 Warren Oviedo Charles Elarms-Orr (1B) 0–10
B 21 Ronny Marte Dwight Kerr (3B) 0–11
B 21 Kingman Moten Warren Oviedo (3B) 0–12
B 22 Rand Bolder Brian Keeley (2B) 0–13
B 23 Bret Gilgeous-Alexander Ronny Marte (3B) 0–14
T 3 Heissler Concepción Yangervis Salas (3B) 1–14
T 10 Rómulo Sandoval Zane Sulfsted (3B) 2–14
T 10 Juan Bautista Amir Montana (3B) 3–14
T 15 Amir Montana Heissler Concepción (2B) 4–14
T 17 Yangervis Salas Rómulo Sandoval (3B) 5–14
T 17 Yangervis Salas Zane Sulfsted (2B) 6–14
T 17 Yangervis Salas Yangervis Salas (HR) 7–14
T 17 Rómulo Sandoval Yangervis Salas (3B) 8–14
T 18 Tally Heslip Rómulo Sandoval (3B) 9–14
T 22 Debasish Pal Craig Flower (3B) 10–14
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Riverside Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 285' · CF 365' · RF 296' · 10' wall). The Bandbox.
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 3 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
285' 365' 296' Yandy Solano — single · EV 89 mph · LA -14° · 84 ft Yangervis Salas — double · EV 97 mph · LA +10° · 128 ft Juan Bautista — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -4° · 63 ft Heissler Concepción — fielders_choice · EV 74 mph · LA +1° · 70 ft Zane Sulfsted — fielders_choice · EV 69 mph · LA -5° · 65 ft Bo Capozzi — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +40° · 252 ft Zxavian Alonso-Corcelles — ground_out · EV 79 mph · LA +7° · 75 ft Amir Montana — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +1° · 72 ft Rómulo Sandoval — single · EV 97 mph · LA +7° · 92 ft Juan Bautista — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +34° · 135 ft Heissler Concepción — fielders_choice · EV 76 mph · LA -5° · 72 ft Yangervis Salas — hr · EV 92 mph · LA +37° · 324 ft Rómulo Sandoval — single · EV 84 mph · LA -4° · 80 ft Juan Bautista — double · EV 98 mph · LA +24° · 291 ft Tally Heslip — double · EV 96 mph · LA +10° · 131 ft Tally Heslip — fielders_choice · EV 66 mph · LA -14° · 63 ft Heissler Concepción — line_out · EV 97 mph · LA +10° · 135 ft
Maturín Wolves — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 8 1B · 3 XBH · 1 HR
285' 365' 296' Ian Roark — double · EV 102 mph · LA +10° · 144 ft Rand Bolder — single · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Charles Elarms-Orr — single · EV 81 mph · LA +25° · 203 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — single · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 171 ft Lyrick Norris — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +28° · 234 ft Ronny Marte — single · EV 76 mph · LA +25° · 179 ft Sandy Cabrera — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +44° · 231 ft Brian Keeley — double · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 201 ft Austin Bentancur — hr · EV 95 mph · LA +40° · 355 ft Kingman Moten — single · EV 66 mph · LA +14° · 82 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Warren Oviedo — single · EV 74 mph · LA +19° · 136 ft Lyrick Norris — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 87 ft Ronny Marte — single · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 136 ft Dwight Kerr — single · EV 77 mph · LA +16° · 123 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Warren Oviedo — double · EV 92 mph · LA +26° · 270 ft Ian Roark — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +28° · 338 ft Austin Bentancur — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 96 ft Rand Bolder — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +4° · 72 ft Bret Gilgeous-Alexander — ground_out · EV 57 mph · LA +4° · 54 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Barquisimeto Grocery
31% deserve-to-win  ·  5.7 expected runs
actual 10 runs  ·  +4.3 vs expected
contact: 9.2 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 14.0 (+4.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yangervis Salas 92 / +37° Oppo Home Run 1.0 → 4 +2.97
Heissler Concepción 97 / +10° Oppo Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Juan Bautista 98 / +24° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.84
Yangervis Salas 97 / +10° Oppo Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Tally Heslip 96 / +10° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Maturín Wolves
69% deserve-to-win  ·  8.5 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +5.5 vs expected
contact: 12.2 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 18.0 (+5.8 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Austin Bentancur 95 / +40° Oppo Home Run 1.2 → 4 +2.78
Ian Roark 102 / +28° Pull Out 1.4 → 0 -1.44
Warren Oviedo 92 / +26° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Brian Keeley 92 / +18° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.99
Ronny Marte 76 / +25° Center Single 0.2 → 1 +0.79
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