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Osijek Moose 23, Split BK 1                                 2046-04-29 · #1302
at Léon Field
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Osijek                 23      0   23   24    1
Split                   0      1    1   10    0

OSIJEK MOOSE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Nieminen    ss ......    4   4   3   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.750
Korhonen    lf ......    5   2   3   3   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.600
Ojala       2b ......    5   2   3   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.600
Hezonja     c  ......    3   2   1   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   1  0.333
Knudsen     3b ......    3   3   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.667
Grasso      1b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.333
Sainio      rf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.500
Toivonen    cf ......    3   2   2   2   0   0   3   1   1   1   0  0.667
Kanerva     p  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
Dragoni     j  ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.500
Ahtinen     j  ......    4   2   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  0.500
Koskinen    j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Totals                  46  23  24  15   0   0  22   5   6   1   1  0.522
  2B: Nieminen (10), Korhonen 3 (11), Ojala (10), Hezonja (5), Sainio (3), Dragoni 2 (13), Toivonen 2 (3), Ahtinen 2 (6), Koskinen (6), Kanerva (2).
  E: Ahtinen (4).


SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Honka       lf ......    2   0   2   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
Berger      2b ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Herbert     1b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Moten       cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Jantunen    c  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Knudsen     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
  a-Ihalain ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
  b-Seppälä cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  c-Clardy  lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    3   0   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Franssi     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Totals                  27   1  10   3   0   0   1   2   4   0   1  0.370
  2B: Berger (1), Pikkujämsä (13), Herbert (4).
  CS: Herbert (2).
  GIDP: Franssi (3), Ihalainen (1), Clardy (2).
  a-Entered at SS in the 8th.
  b-Entered at CF in the 9th.
  c-Entered at LF in the 9th.

OSIJEK MOOSE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Kanerva (W, 5-0) ....    29   27 100%   10    1    1    2    4    0   80    -

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Knudsen .............     6    3  11%    4    2    2    0    0    0   20    -
Salin ...............     4    2   7%    2    2    2    0    0    0   10  1-1
Paulsen .............     4    2   7%    1    2    2    1    0    0   22  1-1
Forss (L, 1-1) ......     8    2   7%    4    6    6    2    0    0   25  1-1
Gosens ..............    10    6  22%    4    4    4    0    2    0   40  1-1
Greinacher ..........     9    6  22%    5    3    3    1    2    0   28  1-0
Novak ...............    10    6  22%    4    4    4    1    2    0   41  1-1

  Batting order: Split BK (home) batted second; Osijek Moose batted first.
  Seconds: OM o26 (23-0), SB o26 (0-23).
  First pitch 7:10 PM. Weather: 75°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 932876.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Mika Korhonen Niilo Nieminen (1B) 1–0
T 0 Ismo Ojala Mika Korhonen (2B) 2–0
T 3 Tomi Sainio Ismo Ojala (2B) 3–0
T 3 Vincenzo Dragoni Tomi Sainio (2B) 4–0
T 5 Pertti Kanerva Vincenzo Dragoni (2B) 5–0
T 5 Pertti Kanerva Joni Toivonen (1B) 6–0
T 6 Mika Korhonen Pertti Kanerva (2B) 7–0
T 6 Ismo Ojala Mika Korhonen (3B) 8–0
T 6 Sven Knudsen Ismo Ojala (2B) 9–0
T 8 Eemeli Ahtinen Lukša Hezonja (3B) 10–0
T 8 Eemeli Ahtinen Sven Knudsen (2B) 11–0
T 8 Eemeli Ahtinen Maurizio Grasso (1B) 12–0
T 8 Joni Toivonen Eemeli Ahtinen (2B) 13–0
T 10 Niilo Nieminen Joni Toivonen (2B) 14–0
T 12 Lukša Hezonja Niilo Nieminen (3B) 15–0
T 13 Tomi Sainio Sven Knudsen (3B) 16–0
T 16 Joni Toivonen Eemeli Ahtinen (3B) 17–0
T 16 Joni Toivonen Pasi Koskinen (2B) 18–0
T 20 Lukša Hezonja Niilo Nieminen (2B) 19–0
T 21 Tomi Sainio Lukša Hezonja (2B) 20–0
T 22 Vincenzo Dragoni Sven Knudsen (3B) 21–0
T 26 Niilo Nieminen Vincenzo Dragoni (2B) 22–0
T 26 Mika Korhonen Niilo Nieminen (1B) 23–0
seconds_second 0 Miroslav Herbert Helmut Berger (2B) 23–1
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 310' · CF 451' · RF 341' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Osijek Moose — Batted Balls
36 BIP· 9 1B · 15 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Niilo Nieminen — single · EV 88 mph · LA -4° · 84 ft Mika Korhonen — double · EV 100 mph · LA +20° · 261 ft Ismo Ojala — single · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 232 ft Tomi Sainio — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 326 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — double · EV 118 mph · LA +41° · 480 ft Eemeli Ahtinen — fly_out · EV 95 mph · LA +41° · 359 ft Pertti Kanerva — double · EV 96 mph · LA +21° · 248 ft Joni Toivonen — double · EV 100 mph · LA +11° · 154 ft Lukša Hezonja — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +10° · 138 ft Mika Korhonen — double · EV 100 mph · LA +25° · 309 ft Ismo Ojala — double · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 295 ft Sven Knudsen — single · EV 119 mph · LA +16° · 297 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — line_out · EV 109 mph · LA +17° · 268 ft Eemeli Ahtinen — double · EV 119 mph · LA +39° · 480 ft Maurizio Grasso — single · EV 94 mph · LA +7° · 89 ft Joni Toivonen — double · EV 99 mph · LA +20° · 255 ft Lukša Hezonja — double · EV 100 mph · LA +19° · 243 ft Niilo Nieminen — double · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 238 ft Mika Korhonen — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +36° · 361 ft Ismo Ojala — ground_out · EV 117 mph · LA +5° · 111 ft Sven Knudsen — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Tomi Sainio — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA +5° · 95 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA +8° · 166 ft Eemeli Ahtinen — double · EV 119 mph · LA +11° · 210 ft Pasi Koskinen — double · EV 117 mph · LA +19° · 334 ft Pertti Kanerva — single · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 214 ft Joni Toivonen — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +13° · 157 ft Lukša Hezonja — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 88 ft Mika Korhonen — fly_out · EV 100 mph · LA +29° · 338 ft Tomi Sainio — single · EV 100 mph · LA +1° · 95 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — double · EV 115 mph · LA +19° · 323 ft Eemeli Ahtinen — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 282 ft Pertti Kanerva — fly_out · EV 105 mph · LA +33° · 402 ft Niilo Nieminen — single · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 207 ft Mika Korhonen — double · EV 119 mph · LA +27° · 454 ft Ismo Ojala — single · EV 102 mph · LA +23° · 302 ft
Split BK — Batted Balls
21 BIP· 7 1B · 3 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Henrik Honka — single · EV 86 mph · LA +11° · 108 ft Eemil Franssi — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA +0° · 72 ft Tim Seppälä — single · EV 82 mph · LA -6° · 78 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — single · EV 79 mph · LA +9° · 78 ft Matias Ihalainen — double_play · EV 76 mph · LA -18° · 72 ft Helmut Berger — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -18° · 62 ft Miroslav Herbert — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Vesa Jantunen — single · EV 96 mph · LA +8° · 92 ft Poul Knudsen — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -20° · 50 ft Eemil Franssi — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +12° · 133 ft Tim Seppälä — error · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 170 ft Wayne Clardy — double_play · EV 59 mph · LA -6° · 56 ft Helmut Berger — ground_out · EV 58 mph · LA -3° · 55 ft Hubertus Moten — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 87 ft Vesa Jantunen — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -4° · 74 ft Henrik Honka — single · EV 82 mph · LA +15° · 131 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 321 ft Wayne Clardy — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 294 ft Matias Ihalainen — single · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 176 ft Helmut Berger — double · EV 118 mph · LA +20° · 358 ft Miroslav Herbert — double · EV 78 mph · LA +48° · 243 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Osijek Moose
96% deserve-to-win  ·  28.5 expected runs
actual 23 runs  ·  -5.5 vs expected
contact: 54.6 est bases + 5 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 38.0 (-16.6 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Pertti Kanerva 105 / +33° Center Out 3.0 → 0 -3.03
Eemeli Ahtinen 95 / +41° Center Out 1.9 → 0 -1.95
Eemeli Ahtinen 119 / +39° Center Double 3.8 → 2 -1.83
Vincenzo Dragoni 118 / +41° Center Double 3.8 → 2 -1.76
Vincenzo Dragoni 109 / +17° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.70
Split BK
4% deserve-to-win  ·  6.0 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  -5.0 vs expected
contact: 10.7 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+2.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Miroslav Herbert 78 / +48° Pull Double 0.1 → 2 +1.91
Markku Pikkujämsä 92 / +36° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Eemil Franssi 92 / +12° Oppo Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Wayne Clardy 92 / +30° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Tim Seppälä 82 / -6° Oppo Single 0.4 → 1 +0.64
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