==============================================================================
Manpo Yagu Club 29, Istanbul Police 25                      2046-04-29 · #1303
at Pillai Yards
==============================================================================

                        1      2    R    H    E
Istanbul               25      0   25   17    0
Manpo                  29      0   29   24    1

ISTANBUL POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Zaki        lf ......    2   3   1   1   0   0   2   2   1   0   0  0.500
Miroshi     2b ......    2   3   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.500
Beach       3b ......    3   2   1   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.333
Boudiaf     ss ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Zerihun     1b ......    5   2   2   1   0   0   4   0   2   0   0  0.400
Sima        rf ......    5   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Greyling    p  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   1   1  0.000
  a-Mhlawul j→c .....    2   3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  b-Wallace cf ......    4   3   3   1   0   1   3   0   0   0   0  0.750
  c-Hof     ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Onumonu     j  ......    4   5   3   1   0   2   6   0   0   0   0  0.750
Getahun     j  ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   3   0   0   1   0  0.500
Totals                  38  25  17   7   0   3  23   7   7   2   1  0.447
  2B: Zaki (14), Mhlawuli (8), Wallace (1), Boudiaf (11), Zerihun (12), Onumonu (5), Getahun (8).
  HR: Wallace (1), off Baysa; Onumonu 2 (5), off Baysa, Ndlovu.
  CS: Wallace (1), Beach (2), Hof (1).
  HBP: Zaki (4), Mhlawuli (1), Miroshi (1), Greyling (1).
  a-Entered at J→C (joker to field) in the 9th.
  b-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  c-Singled for Wallace in the 8th.

MANPO YAGU CLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Merga       c  ......    4   3   4   1   1   1   5   1   0   0   0  1.000
Sambissa    lf ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Baysa       p  ......    5   3   4   3   0   0   5   0   0   0   0  0.800
Maina       2b ......    4   4   3   0   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.750
Ambrose     3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Nkosi       ss ......    5   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.400
  a-Jilcha  ph ......    3   6   2   0   0   2   3   2   0   0   0  0.667
  b-Murenga ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Bedrane ph ......    4   6   4   2   0   2   8   1   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Engelbr pr ......    4   3   2   0   0   1   3   0   1   0   0  0.500
Dida        j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  0.333
Cunha       j  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Kramer      j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Totals                  42  29  24   6   1   6  28   9   8   1   0  0.571
  2B: Merga (11), Bedrane 2 (15), Baysa 3 (3).
  3B: Merga (4).
  HR: Merga (7), off Masakadza; Jilcha 2 (7), off Masakadza, Kass; Bedrane 2 (9), off Greyling, Kass; Engelbrecht (2), off Echegini.
  SB: Baysa (1).
  CS: Merga (3).
  E: Maina (2).
  HBP: Sambissa (4).
  a-Batted in the 1st.
  b-Walked in the 1st.
  c-Batted in the 1st.
  d-Ran for Murenga in the 1st.

ISTANBUL POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greyling ............     6    3  11%    2    3    3    2    0    1   19    -
Echegini (L, 1-1) ...    13    6  22%    7    8    7    3    0    1   43  1-1
Masakadza ...........    10    5  19%    4    7    6    2    3    2   40  1-0
Kass ................    14    8  30%    6    7    4    1    4    2   52  1-1
Beach ...............     9    5  19%    5    4    4    1    1    0   36  1-0

MANPO YAGU CLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Baysa ...............    12    4  15%    4    7    5    3    3    2   42    -
Medeck ..............     9    5  19%    5    6    6    1    1    0   35  3-3
Ndlovu ..............    10    3  11%    4    9    1    1    1    1   39  1-1
Zusi (W, 1-0) .......    15   11  41%    3    3    2    1    1    0   56  1-1
Nagalo (F, 14) ......     3    4  15%    1    0    0    1    1    0   15  2-0

  Batting order: Manpo Yagu Club (home) batted first; Istanbul Police batted second.
  Seconds: IP o26 (25-29), MYC o26 (29-0).
  First pitch 6:30 PM. Weather: 56°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 393494.
  Walk-Back runs: off Echegini 1, off Masakadza 1, off Kass 3, off Baysa 2, off Zusi 1.
==============================================================================
Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 2 Massinissa Bedrane Bikila Jilcha (2B) 0–1
B 2 Massinissa Bedrane Faf Engelbrecht (1B) 0–2
B 2 Massinissa Bedrane Massinissa Bedrane (HR) 0–3
B 3 Munyua Maina Massinissa Bedrane (3B) 0–4
B 3 Musawenkosi Nkosi Munyua Maina (2B) 0–5
B 5 Munyua Maina Musawenkosi Nkosi (2B) 0–6
B 5 Abubeker Baysa Oluwaseun Ambrose (2B) 0–7
B 5 Abubeker Baysa Munyua Maina (1B) 0–8
B 8 Faf Engelbrecht Massinissa Bedrane (2B) 0–9
B 8 Faf Engelbrecht Simão Kramer (1B) 0–10
B 8 Faf Engelbrecht Faf Engelbrecht (HR) 0–11
B 10 Abel Merga Senou Sambissa (1B) 0–12
B 10 Abel Merga Abel Merga (HR) 0–13
B 11 Oluwaseun Ambrose Abel Merga (3B) 0–14
B 12 Abubeker Baysa Munyua Maina (1B) 0–15
B 12 Massinissa Bedrane Abubeker Baysa (2B) 0–16
B 13 Bikila Jilcha Massinissa Bedrane (2B) 0–17
B 13 Bikila Jilcha Bikila Jilcha (HR) 0–18
B 17 Abubeker Baysa Bikila Jilcha (3B) 0–19
B 17 Massinissa Bedrane Abel Merga (2B) 0–20
B 17 Massinissa Bedrane Abubeker Baysa (1B) 0–21
B 17 Massinissa Bedrane Massinissa Bedrane (HR) 0–22
B 17 Mulugeta Dida Massinissa Bedrane (3B) 0–23
B 20 Bikila Jilcha Bikila Jilcha (HR) 0–24
B 21 Abel Merga Bikila Jilcha (3B) 0–25
B 24 Abubeker Baysa Munyua Maina (2B) 0–26
B 24 Massinissa Bedrane Abubeker Baysa (3B) 0–27
B 26 Abel Merga Faf Engelbrecht (3B) 0–28
B 26 Abel Merga Bikila Jilcha (1B) 0–29
T 2 Stephane Onumonu Abraham Zerihun (1B) 1–29
T 2 Stephane Onumonu Stephane Onumonu (HR) 2–29
T 2 Mohammed Getahun Stephane Onumonu (3B) 3–29
T 2 Jesse Wallace Mohammed Getahun (2B) 4–29
T 2 Jesse Wallace Jesse Wallace (HR) 5–29
T 2 Tom Beach Jesse Wallace (3B) 6–29
T 3 Morne Greyling Tom Beach (3B) 7–29
T 3 Marwan Zaki Mothobi Mhlawuli (3B) 8–29
T 4 Abraham Zerihun Himid Miroshi (3B) 9–29
T 4 Abraham Zerihun Morne Greyling (2B) 10–29
T 4 Stephane Onumonu Marwan Zaki (3B) 11–29
T 4 Mohammed Getahun Abraham Zerihun (3B) 12–29
T 4 Mohammed Getahun Stephane Onumonu (2B) 13–29
T 8 Morne Greyling Mothobi Mhlawuli (3B) 14–29
T 9 Abraham Zerihun Himid Miroshi (3B) 15–29
T 9 Abraham Zerihun Marwan Zaki (2B) 16–29
T 10 Jesse Wallace Oussama Boudiaf (3B) 17–29
T 11 Himid Miroshi Jesse Wallace (3B) 18–29
T 11 Himid Miroshi Tom Beach (2B) 19–29
T 11 Stephane Onumonu Mothobi Mhlawuli (3B) 20–29
T 11 Stephane Onumonu Himid Miroshi (1B) 21–29
T 11 Stephane Onumonu Stephane Onumonu (HR) 22–29
T 13 Marwan Zaki Stephane Onumonu (3B) 23–29
T 13 Oussama Boudiaf Marwan Zaki (3B) 24–29
T 17 Tom Beach Oussama Boudiaf (2B) 25–29
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Pillai Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 424' · CF 415' · RF 276' · 11' wall). The Wedge.
The Ramp
Istanbul Police — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 7 1B · 7 XBH · 3 HR
424' 415' 276' Abraham Zerihun — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Stephane Onumonu — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +42° · 396 ft Mohammed Getahun — double · EV 97 mph · LA +19° · 227 ft Jesse Wallace — hr · EV 103 mph · LA +30° · 370 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — double · EV 103 mph · LA +12° · 176 ft Himid Miroshi — single · EV 98 mph · LA +9° · 115 ft Morne Greyling — single · EV 88 mph · LA +12° · 129 ft James Hof — single · EV 81 mph · LA +36° · 249 ft Oussama Boudiaf — line_out · EV 96 mph · LA +23° · 262 ft Abraham Zerihun — double · EV 103 mph · LA +29° · 361 ft Stephane Onumonu — double · EV 102 mph · LA +13° · 186 ft Mohammed Getahun — error · EV 84 mph · LA +10° · 94 ft Jesse Wallace — single · EV 80 mph · LA +23° · 186 ft Tom Beach — error · EV 96 mph · LA +9° · 111 ft Marwan Zaki — double · EV 99 mph · LA +19° · 245 ft Mothobi Mhlawuli — ground_out · EV 81 mph · LA +6° · 77 ft Morne Greyling — ground_out · EV 62 mph · LA -8° · 59 ft Oussama Boudiaf — single · EV 95 mph · LA +7° · 90 ft Abraham Zerihun — error · EV 101 mph · LA +8° · 117 ft Jesse Wallace — double · EV 95 mph · LA +33° · 332 ft Stephane Onumonu — hr · EV 87 mph · LA +46° · 305 ft Mohammed Getahun — line_out · EV 73 mph · LA +11° · 84 ft Tom Beach — single · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 163 ft Oussama Boudiaf — double · EV 105 mph · LA +16° · 241 ft Stephane Onumonu — line_out · EV 89 mph · LA +12° · 128 ft Elisha Sima — fly_out · EV 102 mph · LA +26° · 333 ft
Manpo Yagu Club — Batted Balls
31 BIP· 11 1B · 7 XBH · 6 HR
424' 415' 276' Abel Merga — single · EV 119 mph · LA +7° · 113 ft Massinissa Bedrane — hr · EV 114 mph · LA +33° · 469 ft Abubeker Baysa — line_out · EV 86 mph · LA -24° · 82 ft Munyua Maina — single · EV 90 mph · LA +2° · 85 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — single · EV 87 mph · LA +24° · 224 ft Mulugeta Dida — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +60° · 480 ft Simão Kramer — single · EV 100 mph · LA +9° · 125 ft Faf Engelbrecht — hr · EV 117 mph · LA +29° · 462 ft Bikila Jilcha — ground_out · EV 119 mph · LA +6° · 113 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — single · EV 100 mph · LA +6° · 95 ft Munyua Maina — single · EV 119 mph · LA +9° · 181 ft Abubeker Baysa — double · EV 99 mph · LA +11° · 146 ft Abel Merga — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +38° · 480 ft Massinissa Bedrane — double · EV 100 mph · LA +27° · 324 ft Bikila Jilcha — hr · EV 112 mph · LA +33° · 456 ft Mulugeta Dida — single · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Fernandy Cunha — infield_single · EV 88 mph · LA -6° · 84 ft Abubeker Baysa — double · EV 100 mph · LA +16° · 211 ft Massinissa Bedrane — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +34° · 480 ft Faf Engelbrecht — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +5° · 84 ft Bikila Jilcha — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +40° · 480 ft Abel Merga — triple · EV 95 mph · LA +18° · 219 ft Oluwaseun Ambrose — line_out · EV 108 mph · LA +7° · 103 ft Mulugeta Dida — fly_out · EV 86 mph · LA +26° · 233 ft Abubeker Baysa — single · EV 84 mph · LA +13° · 123 ft Munyua Maina — single · EV 88 mph · LA +1° · 84 ft Massinissa Bedrane — double · EV 119 mph · LA +24° · 414 ft Faf Engelbrecht — single · EV 93 mph · LA +17° · 195 ft Abel Merga — double · EV 108 mph · LA +19° · 284 ft Musawenkosi Nkosi — ground_out · EV 100 mph · LA -0° · 95 ft Abubeker Baysa — double · EV 119 mph · LA +14° · 271 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Istanbul Police
30% deserve-to-win  ·  17.7 expected runs
actual 25 runs  ·  +7.3 vs expected
contact: 26.3 est bases + 11 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 33.0 (+6.7 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 3 CS (-2.1 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Stephane Onumonu 87 / +46° Oppo Home Run 0.7 → 4 +3.35
Jesse Wallace 103 / +30° Oppo Home Run 1.4 → 4 +2.57
Stephane Onumonu 100 / +42° Oppo Home Run 1.9 → 4 +2.05
Elisha Sima 102 / +26° Center Out 1.4 → 0 -1.43
Oussama Boudiaf 96 / +23° Oppo Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Manpo Yagu Club
70% deserve-to-win  ·  26.7 expected runs
actual 29 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 44.8 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 50.0 (+5.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Abel Merga 95 / +18° Oppo Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Mulugeta Dida 119 / +60° Pull Out 1.7 → 0 -1.66
Faf Engelbrecht 117 / +29° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Abubeker Baysa 99 / +11° Pull Double 1.2 → 2 +0.82
Abubeker Baysa 100 / +16° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Compare basket · 0 max 4
Compare →