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Kaechon Tornados 6, Tynda Police 5                          2046-04-30 · #1347
at Budiman Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Tynda                   5    5    5    0
Kaechon                 6    6    2    1

TYNDA POLICE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Kukushkin   ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Komatsu     lf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Chernov pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Gracin      2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.333
Dōan        cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Matviyenko  rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.000
Cherkasov   1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Iakovlev    p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Daly    pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  c-Ding    cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Han     2b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
  e-Jonesov ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Nelson      j  ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Aoki        j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  27   5   5   0   0   0   5   6   6   1   0  0.185
  CS: Komatsu (2).
  HBP: Komatsu (2).
  a-Ran for Komatsu in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Iakovlev in the 7th.
  c-Entered at CF in the 3rd.
  d-Entered at 2B in the 7th.
  e-Struck out in the 7th.

KAECHON TORNADOS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Graterol    cf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Chapman     1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kallman     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.000
Stiglic     ss ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kamara      lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0   0  0.000
Torres      3b ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Sandoval    c  ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Elder       2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Cody        p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   1  0.000
Lakshman    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Howell      j  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Scola       j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  0.333
Totals                  23   6   2   0   0   0   6   9  11   0   2  0.087
  E: Howell (2).
  HBP: Howell (1).
  Squeeze: Scola (1 RBI).


TYNDA POLICE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Iakovlev ............    18   15  56%    0    2    2    4    6    0   74    -
Lutrova (L, 0-2) ....    10    7  26%    1    3    3    4    2    0   22  2-1
Shnaider ............     5    5  19%    1    1    1    1    3    0   14  3-1

KAECHON TORNADOS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Cody (W, 3-3) .......    34   27 100%    5    5    2    6    6    0  107    -

  Batting order: Kaechon Tornados (home) batted first; Tynda Police batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 42°F · Wind calm · Clear · Humid. seed 777234.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 12 Carl Kallman Víctor Graterol (3B) 0–1
B 13 Mayer Scola Quinton Stiglic (3B) 0–2
B 18 Hugh Cody Ramonz Howell (3B) 0–3
B 20 Carl Kallman Oiva Kamara (3B) 0–4
B 22 Mayer Scola Pablo Sandoval (3B) 0–5
B 24 Enrique Torres James Chapman (3B) 0–6
T 16 Seung-gi Han Aleksandr Chernov (2B) 1–6
T 19 Chenxi Ding Roman Kukushkin (3B) 2–6
T 20 Shozo Aoki Nick Daly (3B) 3–6
T 21 Turner Gracin Chenxi Ding (3B) 4–6
T 23 Denys Matviyenko Shozo Aoki (2B) 5–6
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Budiman Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 321' · CF 391' · RF 342' · 31' wall). Balanced.
Hand-Operated Scoreboard
Tynda Police — Batted Balls
19 BIP· 4 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Roman Kukushkin — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA -17° · 88 ft Yūto Komatsu — single · EV 98 mph · LA +6° · 93 ft Yoshihito Dōan — fly_out · EV 99 mph · LA +27° · 317 ft Denys Matviyenko — ground_out · EV 60 mph · LA -11° · 57 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -1° · 72 ft Roman Kukushkin — single · EV 81 mph · LA +19° · 164 ft Josiah Nelson — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -7° · 62 ft Turner Gracin — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 315 ft Denys Matviyenko — fly_out · EV 82 mph · LA +33° · 244 ft Seung-gi Han — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -3° · 72 ft Shozo Aoki — single · EV 79 mph · LA +1° · 75 ft Roman Kukushkin — fly_out · EV 97 mph · LA +32° · 338 ft Josiah Nelson — error · EV 73 mph · LA +10° · 73 ft Turner Gracin — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA -11° · 77 ft Denys Matviyenko — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +5° · 81 ft Seung-gi Han — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 114 ft Anatoli Cherkasov — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -8° · 84 ft Turner Gracin — fly_out · EV 98 mph · LA +54° · 369 ft Josiah Nelson — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +28° · 191 ft
Kaechon Tornados — Batted Balls
9 BIP· 2 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
321' 391' 342' Wall 31' Carl Kallman — ground_out · EV 96 mph · LA +2° · 91 ft Ramonz Howell — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +0° · 88 ft Mayer Scola — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +24° · 212 ft Hugh Cody — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 291 ft Enrique Torres — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 217 ft Víctor Graterol — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +12° · 139 ft Carl Kallman — fly_out · EV 67 mph · LA +37° · 172 ft Mayer Scola — single · EV 52 mph · LA -3° · 49 ft Enrique Torres — single · EV 75 mph · LA -1° · 71 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Tynda Police
78% deserve-to-win  ·  6.9 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  -1.9 vs expected
contact: 9.9 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (-4.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yoshihito Dōan 99 / +27° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Roman Kukushkin 97 / +32° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.16
Turner Gracin 92 / +34° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Turner Gracin 98 / +54° Pull Out 0.8 → 0 -0.81
Shozo Aoki 79 / +1° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Kaechon Tornados
22% deserve-to-win  ·  3.7 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  +2.3 vs expected
contact: 3.8 est bases + 10 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.8 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Víctor Graterol 93 / +12° Center Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Mayer Scola 52 / -3° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.86
Hugh Cody 92 / +30° Center Out 0.8 → 0 -0.79
Enrique Torres 75 / -1° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Mayer Scola 85 / +24° Center Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
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