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Verkhnegrad Imperials 9, Casablanca Elk 8                   2046-05-01 · #1374
at Tide Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Verkhnegrad             9    9    6    0
Casablanca              8    8    7    0

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Trubin      cf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Polanco     p  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   3   0   0   0   0  1.000
Yeom        1b ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Laskutova   2b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Buchina     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Iakovlev    rf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Wahyudi     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Tejada      3b ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Pavlenk c  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Tsybysheva  j  ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Savinykh    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Fokina      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  11   9   6   4   0   1   9   3   3   0   0  0.545
  2B: Polanco 2 (3), Yeom (1), Iakovlev (4).
  HR: Tsybysheva (6), off Greyling.
  a-Entered at C in the 7th.

CASABLANCA ELK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Cherif      ss ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Ratsimb pr ......    1   1   1   0   1   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Mezui       lf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Kassim      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Mthembu     rf ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Randria ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Nel         2b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Maritz  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Gosso       cf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Greyling    p  ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Strydom ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
  e-Moukoko ph ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
  f-Chávez  pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Toit    ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Demissie    j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Russo       j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.333
Mpasi       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  31   8   7   3   1   0   7   4  18   0   0  0.226
  2B: Cherif (10), Russo (12), Moukoko (3).
  3B: Ratsimbazafy (1).
  a-Ran for Cherif in the 3rd.
  b-Batted for Mthembu in the 4th.
  c-Ran for Nel in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Doubled in the 2nd.
  f-Ran for Moukoko in the 4th.
  g-Batted in the 6th.

VERKHNEGRAD IMPERIALS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Polanco (W, 3-1) ....    28   20  74%    7    7    7    4   13    0  109    -
Mykhaylichenko ......     7    7  26%    0    1    1    0    5    0   35  1-1

CASABLANCA ELK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greyling (L, 0-1) ...     4    0   0%    3    4    4    1    0    1   13    -
Stoll ...............     4    2   7%    1    2    1    1    2    0   11  1-1
Yago ................     6    3  11%    2    3    3    1    1    0   16  1-1

  Batting order: Casablanca Elk (home) batted first; Verkhnegrad Imperials batted second.
  First pitch 7:10 PM. Weather: 85°F · Wind calm · Clear. seed 991534.
  Walk-Back runs: off Stoll 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 3 Leonardo Russo Massinissa Cherif (2B) 0–1
B 5 Faf Nel Leonardo Russo (2B) 0–2
B 5 Maodo Moukoko Sikhumbuzo Mthembu (2B) 0–3
B 5 Maodo Moukoko Reeza Maritz (1B) 0–4
B 15 Aubrey du Toit Gleyber Chávez (3B) 0–5
B 16 Sarel Greyling Wynand Strydom (3B) 0–6
B 20 Élie Ratsimbazafy Aubrey du Toit (2B) 0–7
B 22 Jean Randrianomenjanahary Élie Ratsimbazafy (3B) 0–8
T 0 Edwin Polanco Heorhiy Trubin (1B) 1–8
T 0 Denys Pavlenko Edwin Polanco (2B) 2–8
T 0 Marat Tsybysheva Denys Pavlenko (1B) 3–8
T 0 Marat Tsybysheva Marat Tsybysheva (HR) 4–8
T 1 Do-hyun Yeom Marat Tsybysheva (3B) 5–8
T 1 Do-hyun Yeom Philipp Savinykh (1B) 6–8
T 3 Konstantin Iakovlev Do-hyun Yeom (2B) 7–8
T 5 Edwin Polanco Konstantin Iakovlev (2B) 8–8
T 5 Edwin Polanco Hanley Tejada (1B) 9–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Tide Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 303' · CF 418' · RF 353' · 32' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Flag Pole in Play
Verkhnegrad Imperials — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 1 1B · 4 XBH · 1 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Edwin Polanco — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 158 ft Denys Pavlenko — single · EV 95 mph · LA +33° · 329 ft Marat Tsybysheva — hr · EV 119 mph · LA +28° · 472 ft Do-hyun Yeom — double · EV 98 mph · LA +49° · 384 ft Alan Buchina — line_out · EV 100 mph · LA +18° · 241 ft Konstantin Iakovlev — double · EV 116 mph · LA +14° · 245 ft Heorhiy Trubin — fly_out · EV 119 mph · LA +55° · 480 ft Edwin Polanco — double · EV 100 mph · LA +34° · 372 ft
Casablanca Elk — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 3 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
303' 418' 353' Wall 32' Massinissa Cherif — double · EV 108 mph · LA +15° · 237 ft Leonardo Russo — double · EV 109 mph · LA +15° · 240 ft Hamari Mpasi — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +29° · 244 ft Faf Nel — single · EV 74 mph · LA +19° · 134 ft Maodo Moukoko — double · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 221 ft Devis Gosso — line_out · EV 98 mph · LA +19° · 239 ft Aubrey du Toit — single · EV 108 mph · LA -13° · 102 ft Élie Ratsimbazafy — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +17° · 227 ft Sarel Greyling — single · EV 105 mph · LA +5° · 100 ft Gleyber Chávez — ground_out · EV 78 mph · LA -15° · 74 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Verkhnegrad Imperials
66% deserve-to-win  ·  7.3 expected runs
actual 9 runs  ·  +1.7 vs expected
contact: 12.9 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 13.0 (+0.1 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Heorhiy Trubin 119 / +55° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.66
Alan Buchina 100 / +18° Center Out 1.5 → 0 -1.54
Do-hyun Yeom 98 / +49° Oppo Double 0.8 → 2 +1.22
Marat Tsybysheva 119 / +28° Center Home Run 3.0 → 4 +0.97
Edwin Polanco 100 / +12° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.74
Casablanca Elk
34% deserve-to-win  ·  5.3 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +2.7 vs expected
contact: 10.8 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+1.2 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Élie Ratsimbazafy 100 / +17° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Devis Gosso 98 / +19° Pull Out 1.3 → 0 -1.32
Aubrey du Toit 108 / -13° Pull Single 1.8 → 1 -0.84
Massinissa Cherif 108 / +15° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.60
Leonardo Russo 109 / +15° Center Double 1.4 → 2 +0.60
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