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Yekaterinburg Mustangs 2, Frivuda Plumbers 0                2046-05-01 · #1392
at Harbor Yards
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                        1    R    H    E
Yekaterinburg           2    2    2    0
Frivuda                 0    0    7    0

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ko          j  ......    2   1   2   1   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  1.000
Farkes      j  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Ulaanbat    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Totals                   3   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  0.667
  2B: Ko (5).


FRIVUDA PLUMBERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Edwards     lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Alexander-A c  ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  a-Noel    pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Ibrahim     3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  b-Dragoni 3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Schell      1b ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  c-Quiñone pr ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Lansere     2b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Anwunahov   p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Larin   ph ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
  e-Huang   ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Lombard ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  g-Bedin   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  h-Avdeeva rf ......    2   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  i-Robinso ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
  j-Campbel ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  k-Rahman  ph ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Zelyonov    j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Makarov     j  ......    4   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.250
Totals                  27   0   7   1   0   0   0   2   8   0   0  0.259
  2B: Avdeeva (4).
  SB: Noel (5).
  GIDP: Makarov (5), Campbellov (1).
  a-Ran for Alexander-Arnold in the 2nd.
  b-Replaced Ibrahim at 3B in the 6th.
  c-Ran for Schell in the 2nd.
  d-Batted in the 2nd.
  e-Struck out in the 3rd.
  f-Batted for Zelyonov in the 3rd.
  g-Replaced Noel at RF in the 5th.
  h-Replaced Makarov at RF in the 5th.
  i-Replaced Quiñones at SS in the 6th.
  j-Replaced Huang at SS in the 7th.
  k-Singled in the 9th.

YEKATERINBURG MUSTANGS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Nadarajah (W, 3-0) ..    28   27 100%    6    0    0    2    8    0  108    -

FRIVUDA PLUMBERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Anwunahov (L, 1-3) ..     3    1   4%    1    2    2    1    0    0    9    -

  Batting order: Frivuda Plumbers (home) batted first; Yekaterinburg Mustangs batted second.
  First pitch 2:00 PM YAKT. Weather: 52°F · Wind out · Clear · Humid. seed 585601.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Yuan-hao Ko Boldbaatar Ulaanbat (2B) 1–0
T 1 Yuan-hao Ko Yuan-hao Ko (1B) 2–0
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Harbor Yards's actual outfield dimensions (LF 277' · CF 355' · RF 297' · 14' wall). The Bandbox.
Yekaterinburg Mustangs — Batted Balls
2 BIP· 0 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
277' 355' 297' Wall 14' Deiton Farkes — fly_out · EV 116 mph · LA +21° · 351 ft Yuan-hao Ko — double · EV 98 mph · LA +38° · 373 ft
Frivuda Plumbers — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 5 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
277' 355' 297' Wall 14' Davion Edwards — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +22° · 165 ft Crawford Zelyonov — fly_out · EV 80 mph · LA +35° · 245 ft Donni Schell — single · EV 76 mph · LA +17° · 131 ft Lance Larin — single · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Grigori Lansere — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +35° · 217 ft Liam Anwunahov — line_out · EV 80 mph · LA +13° · 116 ft Eduardo Bedin — fly_out · EV 68 mph · LA +34° · 173 ft Jayson Campbellov — double_play · EV 86 mph · LA +1° · 82 ft Nasum Rahman — single · EV 76 mph · LA +10° · 80 ft Crawford Zelyonov — single · EV 92 mph · LA -17° · 87 ft Lance Larin — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -1° · 87 ft Grigori Lansere — single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 79 ft Liam Anwunahov — line_out · EV 59 mph · LA +15° · 69 ft Nico Lombardo — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -8° · 65 ft Bogdan Avdeeva — double · EV 92 mph · LA +36° · 320 ft Aslan Makarov — double_play · EV 58 mph · LA +1° · 55 ft Crawford Zelyonov — ground_out · EV 89 mph · LA -11° · 85 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Yekaterinburg Mustangs
25% deserve-to-win  ·  2.2 expected runs
actual 2 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 3.3 est bases + 1 walk/HBP  ·  actual batted 2.0 (-1.3 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Deiton Farkes 116 / +21° Center Out 1.7 → 0 -1.73
Yuan-hao Ko 98 / +38° Center Double 1.6 → 2 +0.44
Frivuda Plumbers
75% deserve-to-win  ·  3.8 expected runs
actual 0 runs  ·  -3.8 vs expected
contact: 7.3 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 7.0 (-0.3 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Bogdan Avdeeva 92 / +36° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Lance Larin 76 / -8° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Liam Anwunahov 80 / +13° Oppo Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Davion Edwards 77 / +22° Center Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
Crawford Zelyonov 92 / -17° Center Single 0.4 → 1 +0.55
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