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Smirnykh Storms 6, Barquisimeto Grocery 4                   2046-05-01 · #1393
at Cele Stadium
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                        1    R    H    E
Smirnykh                6    6    4    0
Barquisimeto            4    4    4    0

SMIRNYKH STORMS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Ionov       2b ......    1   2   1   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
Jonesov     ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Mykolenko   rf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Karavayev   lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   2   0   0  0.000
Vatutin     c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mykhayliche 1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rongo       3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
  a-Fuimaon ph ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Tcherne 2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Tursuno ph ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   1   0   0  0.500
  d-Simakin ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  e-Wildero ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  f-Lazarev pr ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Gormanov    j  ......    4   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Amini       j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Totals                  28   6   4   2   0   1   4   6  13   0   0  0.143
  2B: Gormanov (8), Rongo (1).
  HR: Ionov (2), off Weld.
  a-Batted in the 4th.
  b-Replaced Gormanov at 2B in the 4th.
  c-Batted in the 4th.
  d-Walked in the 5th.
  e-Batted in the 5th.
  f-Ran for Simakin in the 5th.

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solano      1b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
O'Meara     c  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Salas       cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
Sandoval    3b ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.500
Capozzi     rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Pal         lf ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0  0.000
Sulfsted    ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Weld        p  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   1   0  0.333
  a-Warneke cf ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Alonso- pr ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  c-Nakayam ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Zivkovi pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Heslip      j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Concepción  j  ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Totals                  26   4   4   1   0   0   4   7  10   1   0  0.154
  2B: Warneke (6).
  CS: Pal (1).
  GIDP: O'Meara (4).
  a-Entered at CF in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Warneke in the 6th.
  c-Struck out in the 9th.
  d-Ran in the 9th.

SMIRNYKH STORMS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Pattenov (W, 1-0) ...    30   25  93%    3    3    3    7   10    0  119    -
Handin ..............     2    2   7%    1    1    1    0    0    0    7  3-1

BARQUISIMETO GROCERY PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Weld ................     4    4  15%    1    2    1    0    1    1   17    -
Pulido ..............    16   14  52%    2    1    1    2    8    0   66    -
Montero (L, 0-3) ....     5    2   7%    1    2    2    2    1    0   14  1-1
Schott ..............     8    7  26%    0    1    1    2    3    0   30  2-1

  Batting order: Barquisimeto Grocery (home) batted second; Smirnykh Storms batted first.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 78°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 288787.
  Walk-Back runs: off Weld 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 0 Valery Ionov Valery Ionov (HR) 1–0
T 0 Jan-michael Jonesov Valery Ionov (3B) 2–0
T 14 Mário Karavayev Terrance Gormanov (3B) 3–0
T 20 Artur Tursunov Shea Rongo (3B) 4–0
T 20 Artur Tursunov Samson Fuimaono (2B) 5–0
T 25 Samson Fuimaono Artur Tursunov (3B) 6–0
B 14 Levar Warneke Heissler Concepción (1B) 6–1
B 18 Jack Weld Rómulo Sandoval (3B) 6–2
B 25 Debasish Pal Zxavian Alonso-Corcelles (3B) 6–3
B 25 Zane Sulfsted Noah Zivkovic (3B) 6–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Cele Stadium's actual outfield dimensions (LF 350' · CF 419' · RF 347' · 12' wall). Balanced.
Smirnykh Storms — Batted Balls
11 BIP· 1 1B · 2 XBH · 1 HR
350' 419' 347' Valery Ionov — hr · EV 100 mph · LA +38° · 389 ft Andriy Mykolenko — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 201 ft Roman Mykhaylichenko — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA -12° · 84 ft Shea Rongo — ground_out · EV 95 mph · LA +2° · 90 ft Nikolay Tchernenko — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +2° · 83 ft Alen Lazareva — ground_out · EV 86 mph · LA +15° · 149 ft Mário Karavayev — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA -13° · 80 ft Shea Rongo — double · EV 110 mph · LA +20° · 313 ft Artur Tursunov — single · EV 84 mph · LA +16° · 154 ft Nikolay Tchernenko — ground_out · EV 85 mph · LA +4° · 81 ft Terrance Gormanov — double · EV 96 mph · LA +23° · 263 ft
Barquisimeto Grocery — Batted Balls
8 BIP· 3 1B · 1 XBH · 0 HR
350' 419' 347' Yandy Solano — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -6° · 66 ft Darwin O'Meara — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA +4° · 49 ft Rómulo Sandoval — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Levar Warneke — double · EV 92 mph · LA +30° · 290 ft Yandy Solano — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +47° · 231 ft Jack Weld — single · EV 76 mph · LA -10° · 72 ft Zane Sulfsted — single · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 118 ft Jack Weld — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -4° · 87 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Smirnykh Storms
97% deserve-to-win  ·  6.2 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -0.2 vs expected
contact: 9.5 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-0.5 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Valery Ionov 100 / +38° Center Home Run 2.1 → 4 +1.91
Andriy Mykolenko 93 / +18° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Terrance Gormanov 96 / +23° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Alen Lazareva 86 / +15° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.61
Shea Rongo 95 / +2° Pull Out 0.5 → 0 -0.49
Barquisimeto Grocery
3% deserve-to-win  ·  1.0 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +3.0 vs expected
contact: 2.7 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 5.0 (+2.3 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 1 CS (-0.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Levar Warneke 92 / +30° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Jack Weld 76 / -10° Pull Stay 0.2 → 1 +0.76
Rómulo Sandoval 76 / +6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Zane Sulfsted 76 / +15° Center Single 0.5 → 1 +0.50
Jack Weld 92 / -4° Center Out 0.4 → 0 -0.43
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