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Sapporo Sentinels 8, Entebbe BC 1                           2046-05-01 · #1394
at Adams Coliseum
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                        1    R    H    E
Entebbe                 1    1    1    1
Sapporo                 8    8    6    0

ENTEBBE BC
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Guillén     2b ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Morejón     ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Ford        3b ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
Ramón       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ramírez     1b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Maldonado   lf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Carneiro    cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Mendoza     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  a-Uberoi  2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Kennedy     j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
Carrascal   j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  24   1   1   0   0   0   0   3  13   0   0  0.042
  SB: Ford (1), Carrascal (4).
  CS: Morejón (3), Ford 2 (2).
  E: Guillén (3).
  HBP: Ford 2 (2), Ramírez (1).
  GIDP: Guillén (1).
  a-Entered at 2B in the 7th.

SAPPORO SENTINELS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Limar       lf ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Nembhard    1b ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
O'Connell   c  ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Barros      2b ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
Giammalva   cf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Shane       ss ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Yochum      3b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Villahermos rf ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Jimenez     p  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   2   0   0  0.000
Arias       j  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Ludloff     j  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Yu          j  ......    2   1   2   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  1.000
Totals                  30   8   6   0   0   0   7   5  11   0   0  0.200
  CS: Shane (1), Ludloff (6).
  HBP: Villahermosa (1).
  GIDP: Arias (3).


ENTEBBE BC PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Mendoza (L, 1-1) ....    21   14  52%    3    5    5    3    6    0   89    -
Severino ............    15   13  48%    3    3    3    2    5    0   68  2-1

SAPPORO SENTINELS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Jimenez (W, 4-2) ....    29   27 100%    0    1    1    3   13    0  117    -

  Batting order: Sapporo Sentinels (home) batted first; Entebbe BC batted second.
  First pitch 6:30 PM YAKT. Weather: 43°F · Wind cross · Overcast. seed 692061.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 7 Randall Villahermosa Maciek Limar (3B) 0–1
B 10 Sam O'Connell Dexter Nembhard (3B) 0–2
B 10 Remington Barros Song Yu (3B) 0–3
B 13 Song Yu Randall Villahermosa (3B) 0–4
B 13 Evan Shane Remington Barros (2B) 0–5
B 15 Carlos Jimenez Sam O'Connell (3B) 0–6
B 18 Remington Barros Randall Villahermosa (2B) 0–7
B 20 Basil Arias Marcos Yochum (3B) 0–8
T 22 Yeferson Guillén Leonardo Carrascal (3B) 1–8
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Adams Coliseum's actual outfield dimensions (LF 357' · CF 412' · RF 308' · 9' wall). Balanced.
Entebbe BC — Batted Balls
10 BIP· 0 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Zachary Uberoi — ground_out · EV 63 mph · LA -10° · 60 ft Michael Mendoza — fly_out · EV 60 mph · LA +27° · 119 ft Yeferson Guillén — double_play · EV 53 mph · LA +20° · 73 ft Gregory Ramón — ground_out · EV 68 mph · LA -5° · 64 ft Leonardo Carrascal — ground_out · EV 55 mph · LA +24° · 90 ft Francisco Maldonado — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +14° · 76 ft Michael Mendoza — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA -4° · 49 ft Yasiel Morejón — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Yeferson Guillén — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +41° · 229 ft Francisco Maldonado — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +15° · 117 ft
Sapporo Sentinels — Batted Balls
16 BIP· 6 1B · 0 XBH · 0 HR
357' 412' 308' Remington Barros — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +34° · 313 ft Song Yu — single · EV 77 mph · LA +19° · 149 ft Evan Shane — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +24° · 170 ft Maciek Limar — fly_out · EV 92 mph · LA +60° · 293 ft Randall Villahermosa — single · EV 76 mph · LA +21° · 153 ft Sam O'Connell — single · EV 92 mph · LA +20° · 220 ft Remington Barros — single · EV 78 mph · LA +18° · 148 ft Damion Ludloff — fly_out · EV 96 mph · LA +15° · 183 ft Evan Shane — ground_out · EV 80 mph · LA +9° · 77 ft Marcos Yochum — error · EV 73 mph · LA -11° · 70 ft Song Yu — single · EV 83 mph · LA +25° · 211 ft Randall Villahermosa — fielders_choice · EV 82 mph · LA +3° · 78 ft Sam O'Connell — line_out · EV 53 mph · LA +13° · 60 ft Remington Barros — ground_out · EV 93 mph · LA +18° · 208 ft Basil Arias — double_play · EV 92 mph · LA +7° · 87 ft Evan Shane — single · EV 68 mph · LA +17° · 103 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Entebbe BC
1% deserve-to-win  ·  0.4 expected runs
actual 1 run  ·  +0.6 vs expected
contact: 3.2 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 0.0 (-3.2 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 3 CS (-1.7 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Yeferson Guillén 53 / +20° Center Double Play 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Leonardo Carrascal 55 / +24° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Yasiel Morejón 76 / +12° Center Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Francisco Maldonado 76 / +15° Oppo Out 0.5 → 0 -0.50
Francisco Maldonado 64 / +14° Oppo Out 0.4 → 0 -0.42
Sapporo Sentinels
99% deserve-to-win  ·  5.4 expected runs
actual 8 runs  ·  +2.6 vs expected
contact: 9.9 est bases + 6 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 6.0 (-3.9 on contact)
running: 0 SB · 2 CS (-1.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Damion Ludloff 96 / +15° Center Out 1.2 → 0 -1.18
Remington Barros 92 / +34° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Remington Barros 93 / +18° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Song Yu 83 / +25° Pull Single 0.4 → 1 +0.61
Evan Shane 76 / +24° Pull Out 0.6 → 0 -0.60
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