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Osijek Moose 6, Split BK 4                                  2046-05-01 · #1398
at Léon Field
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                        1    R    H    E
Osijek                  6    6    7    1
Split                   4    4   10    0

OSIJEK MOOSE
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sainio      1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  a-Hahnema pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Nieminen    ss ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.000
  b-Wirtz   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Tah         2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Korhonen    lf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Chigumbu    rf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Knudsen     3b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Greinacher  p  ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1  0.000
  c-Brand   ss ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  d-Grasso  nf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Ahtinen     j  ......    1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0   0  0.000
Koskinen    j  ......    3   0   3   0   0   0   4   0   0   2   0  1.000
Dragoni     j  ......    2   1   3   2   0   0   2   0   0   1   0  1.500
Totals                  21   6   7   2   0   0   6   3   5   3   1  0.333
  2B: Dragoni 2 (15).
  E: Tah (1).
  HBP: Sainio (3).
  a-Ran for Sainio in the 6th.
  b-Ran for Nieminen in the 5th.
  c-Entered at SS in the 7th.
  d-Entered at NF in the 8th.

SPLIT BK
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Solis       lf ......    1   1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
Honka       ss ......    1   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  1.000
  a-Franssi pr ......    2   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Šarić       rf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  b-Saravan pr ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Šarić       1b ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  c-Lynch   1b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Berger      2b ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   1  0.000
Moten       cf ......    1   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  1.000
  d-Johanne ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  e-Clardy  ph ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  f-Wagner  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  g-Westerl ph ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   0  0.000
  h-Mokh    lf ......    1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
  i-Becker  3b ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
  j-Jantune cf ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Franssi     j  ......    3   0   3   0   0   0   1   0   0   1   0  1.000
Pikkujämsä  j  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.333
Totals                  30   4  10   2   0   0   3   1  10   2   1  0.333
  2B: Solis (9), Honka (10).
  SB: Lynch (3).
  CS: Saravanan (1).
  HBP: Mokh (1).
  a-Ran for Honka in the 1st.
  b-Ran for Šarić in the 1st.
  c-Replaced Šarić at 1B in the 5th.
  d-Grounded out in the 1st.
  e-Batted in the 2nd.
  f-Ran in the 3rd.
  g-Batted in the 3rd.
  h-Replaced Pikkujämsä at LF in the 4th.
  i-Replaced Johannes at 3B in the 5th.
  j-Replaced Wagner at CF in the 6th.

OSIJEK MOOSE PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Greinacher (W, 6-0) .    32   27 100%   10    4    2    1   10    0  145    -

SPLIT BK PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Pitkänen ............     8    7  26%    2    0    0    0    1    0   22    -
Hakala (L, 1-1) .....    10    7  26%    3    3    3    2    2    0   43  1-0
Kovač ...............     7    5  19%    2    3    3    1    2    0   18  1-1

  Batting order: Split BK (home) batted first; Osijek Moose batted second.
  First pitch 6:00 PM. Weather: 93°F · Wind cross · Clear. seed 220964.
  Powerplays: Osijek Moose — Grasso NF (O7)
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
B 0 Henrik Honka Owen Solis (3B) 0–1
B 9 Eemil Franssi Manuel Wagner (3B) 0–2
B 21 Surya Saravanan Vilho Franssi (3B) 0–3
B 23 Thilo Becker Ivan Mokh (3B) 0–4
T 13 Pasi Koskinen Mats Greinacher (3B) 1–4
T 14 Vincenzo Dragoni Martin Wirtz (3B) 2–4
T 14 Vincenzo Dragoni Eemeli Ahtinen (3B) 3–4
T 19 Pasi Koskinen Vincenzo Dragoni (3B) 4–4
T 19 Pasi Koskinen Kadarius Hahnemann (3B) 5–4
T 19 Pasi Koskinen Eemeli Ahtinen (2B) 6–4
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Léon Field's actual outfield dimensions (LF 310' · CF 451' · RF 341' · 14' wall). Short Porch (Left).
Osijek Moose — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 5 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Niilo Nieminen — fly_out · EV 107 mph · LA +22° · 317 ft Mika Korhonen — single · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 174 ft Eemeli Ahtinen — ground_out · EV 77 mph · LA +6° · 73 ft Pasi Koskinen — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +18° · 195 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — double · EV 106 mph · LA +33° · 405 ft Maurizio Grasso — ground_out · EV 73 mph · LA -16° · 69 ft Manfred Tah — fly_out · EV 88 mph · LA +52° · 303 ft Mats Greinacher — fielders_choice · EV 69 mph · LA +1° · 66 ft Mika Korhonen — line_out · EV 79 mph · LA +21° · 165 ft Tawanda Chigumbu — fly_out · EV 91 mph · LA +36° · 316 ft Pasi Koskinen — single · EV 81 mph · LA +9° · 84 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — single · EV 94 mph · LA +17° · 198 ft Dennis Brand — line_out · EV 93 mph · LA +19° · 217 ft Manfred Tah — line_out · EV 64 mph · LA +18° · 99 ft Vincenzo Dragoni — double · EV 89 mph · LA +20° · 205 ft Pasi Koskinen — single · EV 84 mph · LA +11° · 107 ft Pasi Koskinen — single · EV 75 mph · LA +13° · 97 ft
Split BK — Batted Balls
17 BIP· 8 1B · 2 XBH · 0 HR
310' 451' 341' Wall 14' Owen Solis — double · EV 92 mph · LA +17° · 193 ft Henrik Honka — double · EV 92 mph · LA +46° · 338 ft Alba Šarić — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 145 ft Deniz Johannes — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +27° · 185 ft Hubertus Moten — single · EV 92 mph · LA -5° · 87 ft Eemil Franssi — ground_out · EV 92 mph · LA -22° · 87 ft Markku Pikkujämsä — single · EV 76 mph · LA -6° · 72 ft Vilho Franssi — error · EV 76 mph · LA +16° · 120 ft Thilo Becker — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +34° · 214 ft Eemil Franssi — infield_single · EV 52 mph · LA +3° · 49 ft Wayne Clardy — ground_out · EV 75 mph · LA -22° · 71 ft Gearoid Lynch — single · EV 76 mph · LA +5° · 72 ft Helmut Berger — line_out · EV 57 mph · LA +12° · 60 ft Thilo Becker — single · EV 83 mph · LA -14° · 79 ft Eemil Franssi — single · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Niko Westerlund — single · EV 76 mph · LA -14° · 72 ft Eemil Franssi — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA -1° · 76 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Osijek Moose
94% deserve-to-win  ·  10.0 expected runs
actual 6 runs  ·  -4.0 vs expected
contact: 14.4 est bases + 4 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 9.0 (-5.4 on contact)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Niilo Nieminen 107 / +22° Center Out 1.6 → 0 -1.56
Vincenzo Dragoni 106 / +33° Center Double 3.0 → 2 -1.03
Tawanda Chigumbu 91 / +36° Oppo Out 1.0 → 0 -1.03
Pasi Koskinen 92 / +18° Pull Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Vincenzo Dragoni 89 / +20° Center Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Split BK
6% deserve-to-win  ·  2.6 expected runs
actual 4 runs  ·  +1.4 vs expected
contact: 7.1 est bases + 2 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 12.0 (+4.9 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 1 CS (-0.5 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Owen Solis 92 / +17° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Eemil Franssi 52 / +3° Oppo Single 0.1 → 1 +0.85
Henrik Honka 92 / +46° Center Double 1.2 → 2 +0.78
Markku Pikkujämsä 76 / -6° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
Eemil Franssi 76 / +6° Oppo Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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