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Bridgetown Royal Provisioners 12, Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub 5 2046-05-01 · #1399
at Crescent Genia Park
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                        1    R    H    E
Bridgetown             12   12   15    1
Itelka                  5    5   10    0

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Castrovilli lf ......    5   1   3   2   0   0   4   0   2   0   0  0.600
MacCracken  ss ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.333
Pohjanpalo  rf ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.500
Cardona     c  ......    3   0   1   0   1   0   3   0   0   0   1  0.333
Boston      3b ......    4   0   2   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.500
Mehmedbasic cf ......    4   1   2   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Céspedes    1b ......    4   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.250
Valdez      2b ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
Bocanegra   p  ......    4   3   2   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.500
Ison        j  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Totals                  36  12  15   3   1   0  12   3   6   0   1  0.417
  2B: Castrovilli 2 (16), Mehmedbasich (1).
  3B: Cardona (1).
  SB: Boston (1).
  E: Boston (1).
  GIDP: MacCracken (3).


ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Jonesov     2b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   0   0   0   0  0.333
Muzaev      3b ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.500
Kovalev     lf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
McKinzin    c  ......    3   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Polák       rf ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Santana     ss ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0  0.500
Pustovyi    cf ......    2   0   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
  a-Kukushk ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Klubnik     p  ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0  0.000
  b-Samsono c  ......    3   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.000
Chalova     j  ......    3   1   1   1   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.333
Fitzgibbon  j  ......    3   2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.667
Difo        j  ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.333
Totals                  32   5  10   5   0   0   4   3   8   0   0  0.312
  2B: Chalova (5), Jonesov (2), Muzaev (3), Fitzgibbon (8), Difo (4).
  SB: Santana (1).
  CS: Santana (4), Klubnik (3).
  GIDP: Difo (5).
  a-Struck out for Pustovyi in the 9th.
  b-Entered at C in the 7th.

BRIDGETOWN ROYAL PROVISIONERS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Bocanegra (W, 3-4) ..    33   26  96%   10    4    4    3    7    0  110    -
Manning .............     2    1   4%    0    1    1    0    1    0    5  2-1

ITELKA BEYSBOL'NYY KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Klubnik .............    10    7  26%    3    2    2    1    1    0   36    -
Prozorova ...........     5    3  11%    2    3    3    1    0    0   12  2-2
Yerokhin (L, 2-2) ...    14    8  30%    6    5    5    1    1    0   52  2-1
Smolina .............     9    9  33%    3    2    2    0    4    0   26  3-2

  Batting order: Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub (home) batted second; Bridgetown Royal Provisioners batted first.
  First pitch 5:45 PM PETT. Weather: 55°F · Wind cross · Clear · Light rain · Dry. seed 846262.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 7 Bryan Castrovilli Luis Céspedes (3B) 1–0
T 7 Bryan Castrovilli Clifford Ison (2B) 2–0
T 8 Martín Cardona Prakash Bocanegra (3B) 3–0
T 9 Clifford Ison Bryan Castrovilli (3B) 4–0
T 10 Tripp Mehmedbasich Knahlij MacCracken (3B) 5–0
T 11 Prakash Bocanegra Clifford Ison (3B) 6–0
T 12 Bryan Castrovilli Fernando Valdez (2B) 7–0
T 14 Martín Cardona Prakash Bocanegra (3B) 8–0
T 14 Martín Cardona Veikko Pohjanpalo (1B) 9–0
T 18 Bryan Castrovilli Tripp Mehmedbasich (3B) 10–0
T 19 Knahlij MacCracken Luis Céspedes (3B) 11–0
T 20 Veikko Pohjanpalo Prakash Bocanegra (3B) 12–0
B 5 Victor Santana Rick Fitzgibbon (3B) 12–1
B 13 Semyon Chalova Yury Kovalev (2B) 12–2
B 14 Geraldo Difo Semyon Chalova (3B) 12–3
B 26 Teymuraz Muzaev Rick Fitzgibbon (3B) 12–4
B 26 Chase Jonesov Teymuraz Muzaev (2B) 12–5
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Crescent Genia Park's actual outfield dimensions (LF 330' · CF 433' · RF 307' · 12' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Flag Pole in Play Knothole Gates
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 10 1B · 4 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Knahlij MacCracken — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +40° · 227 ft Martín Cardona — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA +6° · 72 ft Noel Boston — single · EV 53 mph · LA -5° · 50 ft Tripp Mehmedbasich — line_out · EV 69 mph · LA +18° · 111 ft Luis Céspedes — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 98 ft Fernando Valdez — fly_out · EV 84 mph · LA +54° · 267 ft Clifford Ison — single · EV 52 mph · LA -16° · 49 ft Bryan Castrovilli — double · EV 95 mph · LA +50° · 359 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — line_out · EV 77 mph · LA +23° · 171 ft Noel Boston — ground_out · EV 52 mph · LA +15° · 60 ft Tripp Mehmedbasich — double · EV 92 mph · LA +32° · 304 ft Prakash Bocanegra — fielders_choice · EV 92 mph · LA +10° · 114 ft Knahlij MacCracken — double_play · EV 52 mph · LA -15° · 49 ft Martín Cardona — triple · EV 97 mph · LA +18° · 222 ft Bryan Castrovilli — double · EV 95 mph · LA +25° · 278 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — single · EV 59 mph · LA +4° · 56 ft Noel Boston — ground_out · EV 76 mph · LA -8° · 72 ft Tripp Mehmedbasich — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 95 ft Luis Céspedes — fielders_choice · EV 80 mph · LA +2° · 76 ft Prakash Bocanegra — single · EV 92 mph · LA +8° · 94 ft Knahlij MacCracken — single · EV 76 mph · LA +12° · 93 ft Martín Cardona — fly_out · EV 87 mph · LA +34° · 280 ft Fernando Valdez — fielders_choice · EV 81 mph · LA +3° · 77 ft Bryan Castrovilli — single · EV 93 mph · LA +5° · 88 ft Veikko Pohjanpalo — single · EV 79 mph · LA +11° · 96 ft Noel Boston — single · EV 83 mph · LA +12° · 114 ft
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub — Batted Balls
22 BIP· 5 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
330' 433' 307' Rick Fitzgibbon — double · EV 91 mph · LA +31° · 297 ft Taras Samsonova — ground_out · EV 64 mph · LA -10° · 61 ft Kamron McKinzin — single · EV 92 mph · LA +6° · 87 ft Geraldo Difo — ground_out · EV 72 mph · LA +9° · 62 ft Stanislav Polák — line_out · EV 92 mph · LA +16° · 184 ft Victor Santana — single · EV 82 mph · LA +7° · 78 ft Chase Jonesov — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +26° · 195 ft Yury Kovalev — fielders_choice · EV 77 mph · LA -1° · 73 ft Taras Samsonova — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -2° · 63 ft Semyon Chalova — double · EV 106 mph · LA +31° · 399 ft Kamron McKinzin — ground_out · EV 84 mph · LA +7° · 79 ft Geraldo Difo — double · EV 107 mph · LA +23° · 330 ft Victor Santana — ground_out · EV 66 mph · LA -1° · 63 ft Chase Jonesov — double · EV 90 mph · LA +18° · 186 ft Vitaliy Pustovyi — infield_single · EV 72 mph · LA -4° · 68 ft Teymuraz Muzaev — double · EV 78 mph · LA +37° · 237 ft Yury Kovalev — single · EV 88 mph · LA +13° · 137 ft Rick Fitzgibbon — single · EV 86 mph · LA +16° · 156 ft Kamron McKinzin — fielders_choice · EV 63 mph · LA -4° · 60 ft Geraldo Difo — double_play · EV 54 mph · LA -10° · 51 ft Stanislav Polák — ground_out · EV 69 mph · LA -11° · 66 ft Chase Jonesov — error · EV 81 mph · LA -13° · 77 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Bridgetown Royal Provisioners
67% deserve-to-win  ·  7.1 expected runs
actual 12 runs  ·  +4.9 vs expected
contact: 13.0 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+6.0 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Martín Cardona 97 / +18° Pull Triple 1.3 → 3 +1.68
Bryan Castrovilli 95 / +50° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.22
Bryan Castrovilli 95 / +25° Center Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Tripp Mehmedbasich 92 / +32° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +0.97
Prakash Bocanegra 92 / +10° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Itelka Beysbol'nyy Klub
33% deserve-to-win  ·  4.9 expected runs
actual 5 runs  ·  +0.1 vs expected
contact: 11.8 est bases + 3 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 15.0 (+3.2 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 2 CS (-1.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Teymuraz Muzaev 78 / +37° Center Double 0.1 → 2 +1.87
Rick Fitzgibbon 91 / +31° Pull Double 0.8 → 2 +1.21
Stanislav Polák 92 / +16° Center Out 1.0 → 0 -1.00
Chase Jonesov 90 / +18° Pull Double 1.0 → 2 +1.00
Vitaliy Pustovyi 72 / -4° Center Single 0.3 → 1 +0.72
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