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Pyongyang Central Spartans 18, Berlin Baseball Klub 14      2046-05-02 · #1431
at Pyongyang Central Dome
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                        1      2    R    H    E
Berlin                 13      1   14   10    0
Pyongyang Central      18      -   18   14    2

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Sigourney   lf ......    4   3   3   2   1   0   4   1   0   0   0  0.750
Shelton     rf ......    4   2   2   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Bailey      cf ......    3   3   1   0   0   1   2   1   1   0   0  0.333
Dillingham  2b ......    3   0   1   1   0   0   1   1   1   0   0  0.333
Lyle        c  ......    2   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Wiesner     1b ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.250
Morgan      ss ......    3   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0  0.000
Altuve      3b ......    4   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   2   0   0  0.000
Rojas       p  ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   1  0.500
Javed       j  ......    5   2   1   0   0   0   1   0   1   0   0  0.200
Totals                  34  14  10   4   1   1  12   6  12   0   1  0.294
  2B: Sigourney 2 (4), Shelton (3), Dillingham (5).
  3B: Sigourney (2).
  HR: Bailey (1), off Luzhanska.
  SB: Javed (1).
  HBP: Lyle (1), Rojas (1).
  GIDP: Morgan (2).


PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS
                        AB   R   H  2B  3B  HR RBI  BB   K  2C  SH   H/AB
Lombardi    ss ......    4   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.250
Kuehn       c  ......    5   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0  0.200
Pfister     lf ......    5   3   3   2   0   0   5   0   0   0   0  0.600
Cabalceta   1b ......    4   1   2   0   0   0   0   0   2   1   0  0.500
  a-Heinzen pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Addison     3b ......    2   2   1   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0  0.500
Richards    rf ......    3   1   1   0   0   0   2   0   0   0   0  0.333
  b-Donkoh  pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
Balbirnie   cf ......    2   1   1   1   0   0   2   1   1   0   0  0.500
Luzhanska   p  ......    2   1   2   2   0   0   2   0   0   0   1  1.000
  c-Pandya  ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  d-Santana c  ......    5   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   3   0   0  0.000
  e-Gorzny  ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   0   0   0   .000
  f-Edwards ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
  g-Dunne   pr ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   .000
  h-Vizcaín ph ......    0   0   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0   0   .000
  i-Mthembu ph ......    1   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0  0.000
Onyedika    j  ......    1   1   1   0   0   0   2   1   0   0   0  1.000
Tippmann    j  ......    2   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   0   0  0.500
Griffith    j  ......    0   1   0   0   0   0   1   2   0   0   0   .000
Totals                  38  18  14   5   0   0  15   7   9   2   1  0.368
  2B: Pfister 2 (6), Balbirnie (1), Luzhanska 2 (3).
  SB: Santana (2), Addison (1).
  E: Onyedika 2 (3).
  HBP: Richards (1).
  GIDP: Santana (1).
  a-Ran for Cabalceta in the 7th.
  b-Ran for Richards in the 7th.
  c-Grounded out for Luzhanska in the 7th.
  d-Entered at C in the 7th.
  e-Walked for Griffith in the 7th.
  f-Grounded out for Onyedika in the 7th.
  g-Ran in the 8th.
  h-Walked for Heinzen in the 8th.
  i-Grounded out for Onyedika in the 8th.

BERLIN BASEBALL KLUB PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Rojas (L, 0-1) ......    11    4  15%    5    5    5    1    2    0   28    -
Shibata .............     9    5  19%    4    4    4    0    2    0   31  2-0
Encarnación .........    13   10  37%    3    2    2    2    3    0   48  1-1
Kossmann ............     4    1   4%    0    3    3    2    0    0   18  3-3
Chittenden ..........     4    3  11%    1    2    2    0    2    0   18  3-0
Romero ..............     5    3  11%    1    2    2    2    0    0   19  2-2

PYONGYANG CENTRAL SPARTANS PITCHING
                         BF  OUT  OS%    H    R   ER   BB    K   HR    P   IR
Luzhanska ...........    14    7  26%    3    6    3    2    4    1   58    -
Steinmetz ...........    15    8  30%    4    5    1    4    1    0   56  1-1
Kiptoo (W, 2-0) .....    13   12  44%    3    3    3    0    7    0   49  3-2

  Batting order: Pyongyang Central Spartans (home) batted second; Berlin Baseball Klub batted first.
  Seconds: BB1 o26 (13-0), PCS o26 (18-13).
  First pitch 8:10 PM. Weather: 77°F · Wind out · Overcast. seed 404431.
  Walk-Back runs: off Luzhanska 1.
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Scoring Events
Half Outs Batter Runner (from) Score
T 1 Nicholas Bailey Armondo Sigourney (1B) 1–0
T 1 Nicholas Bailey Nicholas Bailey (HR) 2–0
T 1 Usman Javed Nicholas Bailey (3B) 3–0
T 6 Armondo Sigourney Usman Javed (3B) 4–0
T 6 Armondo Sigourney Heath Morgan (2B) 5–0
T 6 Eddie Shelton Armondo Sigourney (1B) 6–0
T 7 Cameron Dillingham Eddie Shelton (2B) 7–0
T 12 Eloy Rojas Nicholas Bailey (3B) 8–0
T 12 Usman Javed Eloy Rojas (2B) 9–0
T 12 Armondo Sigourney Usman Javed (1B) 10–0
T 14 Lenoir Wiesner Armondo Sigourney (3B) 11–0
T 14 Lenoir Wiesner Eddie Shelton (3B) 12–0
T 18 Armondo Sigourney Lenoir Wiesner (1B) 13–0
B 3 Glen Richards Mekhi Pfister (3B) 13–1
B 3 Seamus Balbirnie Eulis Cabalceta (3B) 13–2
B 3 Seamus Balbirnie Glen Richards (1B) 13–3
B 3 Erik Luzhanska George Addison (3B) 13–4
B 4 Mekhi Pfister Seamus Balbirnie (3B) 13–5
B 7 Glen Richards Tomás Santana (3B) 13–6
B 9 Erik Luzhanska George Addison (3B) 13–7
B 9 Mekhi Pfister Erik Luzhanska (3B) 13–8
B 9 Mekhi Pfister Ethan Kuehn (1B) 13–9
B 13 Erik Luzhanska Mekhi Pfister (3B) 13–10
B 19 Francisco Griffith Roger Heinzen (3B) 13–11
B 19 Doug Gorzny Omarian Lombardi (3B) 13–12
B 19 Glen Richards Cory Tippmann (3B) 13–13
B 19 Damon Onyedika Francisco Griffith (3B) 13–14
B 22 Mekhi Pfister Gavin Dunne (3B) 13–15
B 22 Mekhi Pfister Nick Donkoh (2B) 13–16
B 23 Ronald Vizcaíno Damon Onyedika (3B) 13–17
B 23 Damon Onyedika Mekhi Pfister (3B) 13–18
seconds_first 0 Eddie Shelton Eloy Rojas (3B) 14–18
Spray Charts Hybrid-physics overlay — EV / LA / spray sampled per BIP. Hover a dot for details. Engine outcome is the categorical hit_type; the dot's position is the visualization.
Out Single 2B/3B HR Reached on Error
Charts drawn to Pyongyang Central Dome's actual outfield dimensions (LF 354' · CF 427' · RF 294' · 13' wall). Short Porch (Right).
Crow's Nest
Berlin Baseball Klub — Batted Balls
18 BIP· 4 1B · 5 XBH · 1 HR
354' 427' 294' Nicholas Bailey — hr · EV 109 mph · LA +28° · 395 ft Usman Javed — error · EV 92 mph · LA +14° · 154 ft Lenoir Wiesner — ground_out · EV 94 mph · LA +15° · 178 ft Armondo Sigourney — error · EV 85 mph · LA -4° · 81 ft Heath Morgan — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA -14° · 63 ft Eloy Rojas — single · EV 77 mph · LA -6° · 73 ft Eddie Shelton — double · EV 100 mph · LA +47° · 399 ft Usman Javed — line_out · EV 94 mph · LA +14° · 170 ft Cameron Dillingham — error · EV 100 mph · LA -12° · 95 ft Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 100 mph · LA +12° · 156 ft Nicholas Bailey — ground_out · EV 88 mph · LA +3° · 84 ft Usman Javed — single · EV 100 mph · LA -5° · 95 ft Lenoir Wiesner — single · EV 76 mph · LA +3° · 72 ft Armondo Sigourney — triple · EV 100 mph · LA +22° · 281 ft Eddie Shelton — ground_out · EV 91 mph · LA -14° · 87 ft Cameron Dillingham — double · EV 83 mph · LA +36° · 262 ft Armondo Sigourney — double · EV 102 mph · LA +11° · 162 ft Eddie Shelton — single · EV 80 mph · LA +12° · 108 ft
Pyongyang Central Spartans — Batted Balls
26 BIP· 11 1B · 5 XBH · 0 HR
354' 427' 294' Mekhi Pfister — fielders_choice · EV 73 mph · LA +4° · 69 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 77 mph · LA +10° · 83 ft Glen Richards — single · EV 90 mph · LA +14° · 155 ft Seamus Balbirnie — double · EV 96 mph · LA +19° · 227 ft Erik Luzhanska — double · EV 97 mph · LA +20° · 238 ft George Addison — single · EV 80 mph · LA +9° · 80 ft Cory Tippmann — single · EV 92 mph · LA +21° · 229 ft Axar Pandya — fly_out · EV 63 mph · LA +30° · 137 ft Damon Onyedika — single · EV 67 mph · LA +24° · 133 ft Ethan Kuehn — line_out · EV 81 mph · LA +17° · 147 ft Mekhi Pfister — single · EV 76 mph · LA +20° · 152 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 76 mph · LA +2° · 72 ft Omarian Lombardi — fly_out · EV 76 mph · LA +37° · 224 ft Tomás Santana — error · EV 84 mph · LA -12° · 80 ft Erik Luzhanska — double · EV 108 mph · LA +11° · 174 ft George Addison — line_out · EV 76 mph · LA +11° · 84 ft Ethan Kuehn — single · EV 102 mph · LA +9° · 126 ft Mekhi Pfister — double · EV 86 mph · LA +17° · 166 ft Eulis Cabalceta — single · EV 71 mph · LA +15° · 99 ft Omarian Lombardi — fly_out · EV 65 mph · LA +27° · 137 ft Ethan Kuehn — single · EV 76 mph · LA +29° · 194 ft Mekhi Pfister — line_out · EV 70 mph · LA +25° · 151 ft Omarian Lombardi — single · EV 92 mph · LA +27° · 276 ft Ethan Kuehn — fly_out · EV 78 mph · LA +26° · 190 ft Mekhi Pfister — double · EV 106 mph · LA +19° · 278 ft Tomás Santana — double_play · EV 66 mph · LA -2° · 63 ft
Luck Ledger Deserve-to-win is a Pythagorean on expected runs — each ball's (EV, LA) contact quality turned into an expected event line, plus actual walks/HBP, run through O27-fitted BaseRuns (so a walk-and-advance offense counts). The table below is the batted-ball view: estimated bases per ball vs. what it produced. The gap is contact luck — hard contact that found a glove, or weak contact that fell in.
Berlin Baseball Klub
45% deserve-to-win  ·  10.9 expected runs
actual 14 runs  ·  +3.1 vs expected
contact: 15.6 est bases + 7 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+3.4 on contact)
running: 1 SB · 0 CS (+0.2 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Nicholas Bailey 109 / +28° Center Home Run 2.4 → 4 +1.65
Cameron Dillingham 83 / +36° Center Double 0.5 → 2 +1.48
Armondo Sigourney 100 / +22° Pull Triple 1.5 → 3 +1.46
Usman Javed 92 / +14° Center Reached on Error 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Lenoir Wiesner 94 / +15° Pull Out 0.9 → 0 -0.86
Pyongyang Central Spartans
55% deserve-to-win  ·  11.9 expected runs
actual 18 runs  ·  +6.1 vs expected
contact: 16.3 est bases + 8 walks/HBP  ·  actual batted 19.0 (+2.7 on contact)
running: 2 SB · 0 CS (+0.4 runs)
PlayerEV/LASprayResult Est→ActLuck
Mekhi Pfister 86 / +17° Pull Double 0.7 → 2 +1.29
Ethan Kuehn 81 / +17° Pull Out 0.7 → 0 -0.71
Seamus Balbirnie 96 / +19° Oppo Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Erik Luzhanska 97 / +20° Center Double 1.3 → 2 +0.68
Erik Luzhanska 108 / +11° Pull Double 1.4 → 2 +0.62
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